cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / CJ Montes /Kent State

CJ Montes

QB · Kent State · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

140 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 1 RUSH YDS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Kent State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Kent State
DestinationTBD

QB · KENT STATE · MID-AMERICAN

CJ Montes

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Pasadena, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

29

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2878

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
39.02021
1742022
1402025

+259%

Up 259% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1767 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownPasadena, CA
Primary teamKent State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1767 recruit
Composite rating 0.8293 HighSchool
Signed with New Mexico 2021
Origin Paraclete Pasadena, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8293 No. 1767 recruit | HighSchool | New Mexico

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Kent State -> -- 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate
2025 Kent State -> -- 3-star | 0.8400 | Withdrawn
2023 New Mexico -> Fordham 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#2878Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3394Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to New Mexico

Composite

0.8293

#1767 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on CJ Montes

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "CJ Montes Named Starting Quarterback for Kent State Golden Flashes &nbsp;&nbsp; "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about CJ Montes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
140Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
70Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
910Pass yards
6Pass TDs
6INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 140): needs 260/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 140): needs 350.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.1/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

CJ Montes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kent State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2878 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 23.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 140 1 TD | 1 INT | #248/382 (35th pct)
Completion rate 52.6% 10/19 completions | #298/383 (22nd pct)
Yards/attempt 7.4 Explosiveness through the air | #140/382 (64th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Pocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
10 31st
ATT
19 37th
CMP%
52.6% 22nd
Y/A
7.4 64th

Passing Production

YDS
140 35th
TD
1 44th
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
8 32nd
YDS
1 19th
YPC
0.1 18th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 21-17vs Merrimack6/9911010.123.5Season-high 91 yds
Wk 2L 14-62@ Texas Tech4/1049014.92.2
Total10/19140117.512.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021New Mexico3-9HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2022New Mexico2-10HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Kent State5-7HC: Mark Carney · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kent State101952.6%1407.411121.4----
2022New Mexico275152.9%1743.40177.7----
2021New Mexico103330.3%391.20228.1----
Career3 loaded seasons4710345.6%3533.41469.9----
SeasonTeam
2025Kent State810.10--
2022New Mexico22-2-0.11--
2021New Mexico25-10-0.40--
Career3 loaded seasons55-11-0.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 1 0 rush TD | #330/408 (19th pct)
Usage 23.5% 46.0% pass share | 6.2% rush share | #202/428 (53rd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 140 #248/382 35th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 10 #265/383 31st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 52.6% #298/383 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.4 #140/382 64th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #330/408 19th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 23.5% #202/428 53rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 19 #257/407 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 8 #278/408 32nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 7 #339/391 14th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 0.1 #333/407 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 46.0% #191/428 56th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 32.1% #203/428 53rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 28.3% #209/428 51st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 23.4% #189/428 56th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.3% #200/428 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 19.4% #214/428 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 6.2% #242/428 44th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home1g91.01.010.10.0
Road1g49.00.04.91.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g91.01.010.10.0
Losses1g49.00.04.91.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g70.00.57.50.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

29Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Yards / att#74 / 183 · 60th pct
7.4pass
Rush yards#145 / 183 · 21st pct
1rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Completion %#172 / 183 · 7th pct
52.6%pass
Pass TDs#180 / 183 · 1st pct
1pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
140pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
CJ MontesKent StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 55% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 52% simRyan BrownePurdue· 51% sim
Interceptions
97
Montes
44
Vattiato
5
Fife
14
Browne
Yards / att
60
Montes
13
Vattiato
19
Fife
23
Browne
Rush yards
21
Montes
27
Vattiato
20
Fife
61
Browne
Rush TDs
9
Montes
39
Vattiato
26
Fife
59
Browne
Completion %
7
Montes
41
Vattiato
13
Fife
29
Browne
Pass TDs
1
Montes
64
Vattiato
45
Fife
33
Browne
Pass yards
0
Montes
57
Vattiato
58
Fife
56
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mark Carney

Pass share

42.8%

292 pass / 390 run

Plays / game

56.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

242 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Sean Lewis
Kent State
2022
Sean Lewis
Kent State
2025
Mark Carney
Kent State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Sean Lewis → Mark Carney. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPasadena, CA
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 New Mexico QB4 #2878 #3394 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 New Mexico QB4 #2734 #3118 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kent State Mid-American QB 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Pasadena, CA
2022 New Mexico Mountain West QB 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Pasadena, CA
2021 New Mexico Mountain West QB 4 No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Pasadena, CA