CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
CJ Montes
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
140 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 1 RUSH YDS
In Portal · 2026
In transfer portal
QB · KENT STATE · MID-AMERICAN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2878
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025Up 259% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8293 | No. 1767 recruit | HighSchool | New Mexico |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Kent State -> -- | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Kent State -> -- | 3-star | 0.8400 | Withdrawn |
| 2023 | New Mexico -> Fordham | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to New Mexico
Composite
0.8293
#1767 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 140): needs 260/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 140): needs 350.9/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.6/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.1/game over remaining 11.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
CJ Montes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kent State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 21-17vs Merrimack | 6/9 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 10.1 | 23.5 | Season-high 91 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 14-62@ Texas Tech | 4/10 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 4.9 | 2.2 | |
| Total | 10/19 | 140 | 1 | 1 | 7.5 | 12.8 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kent State | 10 | 19 | 52.6% | 140 | 7.4 | 1 | 1 | 121.4 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | New Mexico | 27 | 51 | 52.9% | 174 | 3.4 | 0 | 1 | 77.7 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | New Mexico | 10 | 33 | 30.3% | 39 | 1.2 | 0 | 2 | 28.1 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 47 | 103 | 45.6% | 353 | 3.4 | 1 | 4 | 69.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kent State | 8 | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | New Mexico | 22 | -2 | -0.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | New Mexico | 25 | -10 | -0.4 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 55 | -11 | -0.2 | 1 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 140 | #248/382 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 1 | #228/407 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 10 | #265/383 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 52.6% | #298/383 | 22nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.4 | #140/382 | 64th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1 | #330/408 | 19th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 23.5% | #202/428 | 53rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 19 | #257/407 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 1 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 8 | #278/408 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 7 | #339/391 | 14th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.1 | #333/407 | 18th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 46.0% | #191/428 | 56th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 32.1% | #203/428 | 53rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 28.3% | #209/428 | 51st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 23.4% | #189/428 | 56th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 20.3% | #200/428 | 54th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 19.4% | #214/428 | 50th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.2% | #242/428 | 44th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 91.0 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 49.0 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 91.0 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses1g | 49.0 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 70.0 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2022
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mark Carney
Pass share
42.8%
292 pass / 390 run
Plays / game
56.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.5%
242 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Sean Lewis → Mark Carney. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | New Mexico | QB4 | #2878 | #3394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | New Mexico | QB4 | #2734 | #3118 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kent State | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Pasadena, CA |
| 2022 | New Mexico | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Pasadena, CA |
| 2021 | New Mexico | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Pasadena, CA |