cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Christian Leary /Western Michigan

Christian Leary

WR · Western Michigan · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

115 REC YDS · 15 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Western Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Western Michigan for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Western Michigan

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (14 in / 13 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Western Michigan · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #105 · 2026 recruiting class #104

WR · WESTERN MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN

Christian Leary

  • 4
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 180 lb
  • Edgewater, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

14

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2997

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
4.02021
6.02022
3092023
1152025

+2775%

Up 2775% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#75 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 180 lb
HometownEdgewater, FL
Primary teamWestern Michigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 75 recruit
Composite rating 0.9672 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2021
Origin Edgewater Orlando, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9672 No. 75 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Western Michigan 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Oct 7, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Georgia Tech -> Western Michigan 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2023 Alabama -> Georgia Tech 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2997Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3010Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9672

#75 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Christian Leary

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "submitted by /u/MittenFootball [link] [comments]"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Hi Knight Nation, When looking for a transfer portal tracker for UCF, I found th"RivalsNational: 3 mentions · belief +75 · "[removed]"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Christian Leary

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 14g
115Rec yards
15Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
8.2Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
115Rec yards
15Receptions
0Rec TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Christian Leary's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Western Michigan, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2997 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 75 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 15 0 rec TD | #484/1110 (56th pct)
Receiving yards 115 7.7 per catch | #596/1107 (46th pct)
Scrimmage yards 161 Total offensive yardage | #596/1107 (46th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
15 56th
YDS
115 46th
YPR
7.7 15th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
10 88th
YDS
46 84th
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
32 36th
KR AVG
16.0 31st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 6-23@ Michigan State
Wk 2L 30-33vs North Texas
Wk 3L 0-38@ Illinois155.005
Wk 4W 14-13vs Toledo22311.5015Season-high 23 yds
Wk 5W 47-14vs Rhode Island2178.5017
Wk 6W 21-3@ Massachusetts3186.0012
Wk 7W 42-0vs Ball State2136.5010
Wk 9L 17-26@ Miami (OH)144.004
Wk 10W 24-21vs Central Michigan2189.0010
Wk 12W 17-13vs Ohio
Wk 13W 35-19@ Northern Illinois2178.5010
Wk 14W 31-21@ Eastern Michigan
Wk 15W 23-13vs Miami (OH)
BowlW 41-6vs Kennesaw State
Total151157.4017
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Alabama12-1HC: Nick Saban · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced
2023Georgia Tech7-6HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
2025Western Michigan10-4HC: Lance Taylor · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Western Michigan151157.70--
2023Georgia Tech2530912.42--
2022Alabama166.00--
2021Alabama242.01--
Career4 loaded seasons4343410.13--
SeasonTeam
2025Western Michigan104632----
2023Georgia Tech2-2463----
2022Alabama----------
2021Alabama322--2--
Career4 loaded seasons15664952--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.1% 5.8% pass-game share | #791/1137 (31st pct)
Return yards 32 0 return TD | #153/238 (36th pct)
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 15 #484/1110 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 115 #596/1107 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 7.7 #937/1106 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 32 #153/238 36th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.8% #791/1137 31st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 46 #65/397 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 21 #60/346 83rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 10 #48/407 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.6 #192/393 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 17 #827/1105 25th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 16.0 #164/236 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 2 #132/243 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.4% #768/1137 33rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.6% #717/1137 37th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.6% #764/1137 33rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.1% #747/1137 34th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.8% #768/1137 33rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.8% #114/1137 90th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g1.08.98.90.0
Road6g1.27.35.90.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g1.310.68.30.0
Losses4g0.52.24.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g1.29.57.50.0
Weeks 8+6g0.86.57.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

14Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (1st).

Rush yards#59 / 287 · 79th pct
46rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Receptions#484 / 558 · 12th pct
15rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#541 / 558 · 3rd pct
7.7rece
Rec yards#542 / 558 · 3rd pct
115rece
Long catch#547 / 558 · 2nd pct
17rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Christian LearyWestern MichiganJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 55% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 51% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 50% sim
Rush yards
79
Leary
76
Gibson
6
III
89
Jr.
Rush TDs
39
Leary
39
Gibson
39
III
39
Jr.
Receptions
12
Leary
92
Gibson
92
III
94
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Leary
7
Gibson
24
III
24
Jr.
Yards / catch
3
Leary
15
Gibson
9
III
28
Jr.
Rec yards
3
Leary
74
Gibson
70
III
84
Jr.
Long catch
2
Leary
56
Gibson
16
III
56
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brandon Chatman’s 2025 season.

Brandon Chatman

82%match

Navy · 2025

#2

Grayson Tempest

Tulsa · 2024

76%
#3

Chris Tyree

Virginia · 2024

76%
#4

Bryce Farrell

Stanford · 2023

75%
#5

Marques Singleton Jr.

Louisiana Tech · 2025

74%

Matches Brandon on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Caleb Burke’s path through New Hampshire.

Caleb Burke

100%match

New Hampshire · 2025

#2

Landon Wolf

Oklahoma State · 2020

99%
#3

Owen Glascoe

Long Island University · 2023

98%
#4

Rico Bussey Jr.

Hawai'i · 2020

97%
#5

Stanley Berryhill III

Arizona · 2021

96%

Matches Caleb on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Chris Tyree's graduate season at Virginia (2024).

Chris Tyree

88%match

Virginia · 2024

#2

Caleb Coombs

Jacksonville State · 2025

69%
#3

Nate Noel

Missouri · 2024

All-Sun Belt
69%
#4

Kentrel Bullock

South Alabama · 2025

All-Sun Belt
64%
#5

Rahmir Johnson

Nebraska · 2024

63%

Matches Chris on

Recruiting rating
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Taylor

Pass share

33.3%

304 pass / 609 run

Plays / game

65.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

248 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Tim Lester
Western Michigan
2022
Tim Lester
Western Michigan
2023
Lance Taylor
Western Michigan
era →
2025
Lance Taylor
Western Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Lester → Lance Taylor. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEdgewater, FL
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia Tech WR4 #2997 #3010 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Georgia Tech WR4 #1092 #1237 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Alabama WR4 #1928 #1375 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Alabama WR4 #1622 #1102 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Western Michigan Mid-American WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Edgewater, FL
2024 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Edgewater, FL
2023 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Edgewater, FL
2022 Alabama SEC WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Edgewater, FL
2021 Alabama SEC WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Edgewater, FL