CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 97th percentile.
Chris Marshall
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
574 REC YDS · 30 REC · 2 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Arkansas
2025Boise State
2026Arkansas
WR · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Chris Marshall
- 3
- #5
- 6-3 | 211 lb
- Missouri City, TX
Heisman Heat
#2239
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+431%
Up 431% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.8989 | No. 6 recruit | JUCO | Boise State |
| 2022 | 5-star | 0.9885 | No. 25 recruit | HighSchool | Texas A&M |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Boise State -> Arkansas | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Texas A&M -> Ole Miss | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Boise State
Composite
0.8989
#6 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chris Marshall
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chris Marshall
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
19.1
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #12 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 98th
Why it matters
#12 of 531 All FBS WRs at 19.1 yards per reception (30 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 19.1 (98th)
HIGH · n=30 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#161 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 2 vs Eastern Washington — 132 ypr
Result W 51-14
The week the volume broke through — put up 132 yds vs Eastern Washington.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
574Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
57.4Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
746.2Rec yards
39Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 574): needs 42/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 574): needs 142/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 30): needs 10/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 30): needs 16.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Chris Marshall's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Boise State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
30 75th
YDS
574 85th
YPR
19.1 92nd
TD
2 75th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-34@ South Florida | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 2 | W 51-14vs Eastern Washington | 4 | 132 | 33.0 | 0 | 46 | Season-high 132 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 49-37@ Air Force | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs App State | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-28@ Notre Dame | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-25vs New Mexico | 5 | 70 | 14.0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 8 | W 56-31vs UNLV | 3 | 96 | 32.0 | 1 | 45 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-3@ Nevada | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 15 | W 38-21vs UNLV | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Bowl | L 10-38@ Washington | 5 | 97 | 19.4 | 0 | 28 | |
| Total | 30 | 574 | 17.6 | 2 | 46 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Texas A&M5-7HC: Jimbo Fisher · Balanced
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 30 | 574 | 19.1 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Texas A&M | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 41 | 682 | 16.6 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 30 | #282/1110 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 574 | #167/1107 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 19.1 | #87/1106 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 15.9% | #204/1137 | 82nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 46 | #325/1105 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 13.1% | #93/1137 | 92nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.4% | #99/1137 | 91st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.0% | #296/1137 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.9% | #221/1137 | 81st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.4% | #375/1137 | 67th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.2% | #369/1137 | 68th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 3.2 | 72.0 | 21.3 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 2.8 | 42.8 | 14.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.7 | 57.1 | 19.0 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 3.7 | 58.0 | 14.5 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.4 | 63.0 | 17.2 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 2.0 | 44.3 | 18.5 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
63Solid starter
Elite: yards / catch (97th). Strength: fumbles lost (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Chris MarshallBoise StateNik McMillanBuffalo· 75% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 69% simKevin ConcepcionTexas A&M· 69% sim
Yards / catch
Fumbles lost
Rec yards
Receptions
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joseph Ngata’s 2021 season.
Joseph Ngata
80%match
#2
Ketron Jackson
72%
#3
Devin Carter
73%
#4
Noah Frith
71%
#5
Marlion Jackson
71%
Matches Joseph on
Yards / reception
Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Joseph on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Williams’s path through Louisiana.
Jalen Williams
96%match
#2
Kevin Austin
90%
#3
T.J. Simmons
89%
#4
Landon Ellis
All-Sun Belt
88%
#5
RaJae Johnson
87%
Matches Jalen on
Height
Yards per reception
Weight
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Marlion Jackson's junior season at Louisiana Tech (2025).
Marlion Jackson
75%match
#2
Chas Nimrod
69%
#3
Mark Walker
67%
#4
Malachi Carter
67%
#5
Chris Parker
66%
Matches Marlion on
Height
Yards / reception
TD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
46.6%
472 pass / 540 run
Plays / game
72.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2025era →
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMissouri City, TX
Height6'3"
Weight211 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBoise State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State | WR3 | #2239 | #1955 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Texas A&M | WR3 | #2330 | #2563 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 211 lb | Missouri City, TX |
| 2024 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 211 lb | Missouri City, TX |
| 2022 | Texas A&M | SEC | WR | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 211 lb | Missouri City, TX |