cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chauncey Bowens /Georgia

Chauncey Bowens

RB · Georgia · Fr · #33

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

526 RUSH YDS · 6 RUSH TD · 103 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Georgia

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 8 Georgia players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (9 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia · Last season: 12-2 (AP #2) · Talent rank #1 · 2026 recruiting class #2

RB · GEORGIA · SEC

Chauncey Bowens

  • 1
  • #33
  • 5-11 | 225 lb
  • Port Saint Lucie, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1017

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
58.02024
5262025

+807%

Up 807% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#225 national
CFB
College
Georgia
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey33
Measurements5-11 | 225 lb
HometownPort Saint Lucie, FL
Primary teamGeorgia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 225 recruit
Composite rating 0.9174 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia 2024
Origin The Benjamin School North Palm Beach, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9174 No. 225 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1017Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#897Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Georgia

Composite

0.9174

#225 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chauncey Bowens

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

73

Grounded Optimism

Sample 11 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 11 mentions · belief +46 · "Everydayer Club If you never miss an episode, it’s time to make it official. Joi"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=11

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chauncey Bowens

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.130

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #36 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 46th

Why it matters

#36 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.130 EPA/carry on 92 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.130 (46th)

MODERATE · n=92 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#30 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#48 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
526Rush yards
103Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
43.8Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
569.8Rush yards
112Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 526): needs 224/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 526): needs 474/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 526): needs 974/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 14/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Chauncey Bowens's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1017 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 225 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 608 526 rush | 82 rec | #149/735 (80th pct)
Rush TD 6 103 carries | #83/739 (89th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
103 79th
YDS
526 80th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
6 89th

Receiving

REC
14 72nd
YDS
82 64th
YPR
5.9 36th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-7vs Marshall6335.5021
Wk 2W 28-6vs Austin Peay11565.1214
Wk 3W 44-41@ Tennessee12322.7013
Wk 5L 21-24vs Alabama121199.9143Season-high 119 yds
Wk 6W 35-14vs Kentucky15704.7019
Wk 7W 20-10@ Auburn451.312
Wk 8W 43-35vs Ole Miss10616.1017
Wk 10W 24-20@ Florida9707.8136
Wk 11W 41-21@ Mississippi State7284.017
Wk 12W 35-10vs Texas8192.409
Wk 15W 28-7@ Alabama4235.8019
BowlL 34-39vs Ole Miss5102.006
Total1035264.8643
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Georgia11-3HC: Kirby Smart · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia12-2HC: Kirby Smart · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia1035265.16--
2024Georgia16583.60--
Career2 loaded seasons1195844.96--
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia14825.90--
2024Georgia----------
Career2 loaded seasons14825.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 14 82 rec yds | #153/552 (72nd pct)
Usage 13.4% 21.1% rush share | #215/738 (71st pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.13 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #156/362 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 526 #149/735 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #83/739 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 14 #153/552 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 82 #201/548 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.13 #156/362 57th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 92 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 13.4% #215/738 71st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 103 #158/739 79th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 43 #211/733 71st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #365/540 33rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.9 #351/548 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 21.1% #246/738 67th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 15.4% #222/738 70th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 15.4% #218/738 71st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.1% #206/738 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 8.7% #258/738 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.2% #277/738 63rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.0% #231/738 69th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g52.65.10.4
Road5g31.64.30.6

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins10g39.74.50.5
Losses2g64.56.00.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g46.44.50.6
Weeks 8+5g40.25.20.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rush TDs#83 / 349 · 72nd pct
6rush
Yards / carry#139 / 349 · 58th pct
5.1rush
Rush yards#149 / 349 · 57th pct
526rush
Receptions#144 / 338 · 57th pct
14rece
Carries#158 / 349 · 55th pct
103rush
Rec yards#181 / 338 · 46th pct
82rece
Long run#184 / 349 · 46th pct
43rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Chauncey BowensGeorgiaSire GainesBoise State· 84% simKamari MoultonIowa· 83% simTae MeadowsTroy· 82% sim
Rush TDs
72
Bowens
84
Gaines
62
Moulton
72
Meadows
Yards / carry
58
Bowens
53
Gaines
62
Moulton
29
Meadows
Rush yards
57
Bowens
82
Gaines
84
Moulton
74
Meadows
Receptions
57
Bowens
45
Gaines
63
Moulton
45
Meadows
Carries
55
Bowens
84
Gaines
86
Moulton
84
Meadows
Rec yards
46
Bowens
41
Gaines
53
Moulton
38
Meadows
Long run
46
Bowens
51
Gaines
33
Moulton
53
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Girard Pringle Jr.’s 2025 season.

Girard Pringle Jr.

70%match

Miami · 2025

#2

Roydell Williams

Alabama · 2023

68%
#3

Adam Mohammed

Washington · 2025

68%
#4

Raheim Sanders

Arkansas · 2021

67%
#5

Montrell Johnson

Florida · 2022

67%

Matches Girard on

Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate

Differs from Girard on

Receiving share (higher)
Height (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kevin Harris’s path through South Carolina.

Kevin Harris

92%match

South Carolina · 2021

#2

CJ Marable

Coastal Carolina · 2020

91%
#3

Demetric Felton

UCLA · 2020

NFL Rd 6
91%
#4

Master Teague

Ohio State · 2021

90%
#5

Kadarius Calloway

New Mexico State · 2025

89%

Matches Kevin on

Weight
Yards per carry
Height

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Adam Mohammed's sophomore season at Washington (2025).

Adam Mohammed

70%match

Washington · 2025

#2

Brandon Tullis

Michigan State · 2025

69%
#3

Brock Townsend

Central Michigan · 2025

69%
#4

Jayden Scott

NC State · 2025

68%
#5

Daelen Alexander

Rice · 2025

65%

Matches Adam on

Height

Differs from Adam on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirby Smart

Pass share

42.5%

417 pass / 565 run

Plays / game

70.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2025
Kirby Smart
Georgia

Played his entire career under Kirby Smart.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPort Saint Lucie, FL
Height5'11"
Weight225 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey33

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia RB1 #1017 #897 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia SEC RB 1 No. 33 | 5-11 | 225 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2024 Georgia SEC RB 1 No. 33 | 5-11 | 225 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL