cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chase Wilson /West Virginia

Chase Wilson

LB · West Virginia · Sr · #30

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

46 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to West Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to West Virginia for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · West Virginia

Returning around him

  • 26% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -16 net (34 in / 50 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

West Virginia · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #63 · 2026 recruiting class #43

LB · WEST VIRGINIA · BIG 12

Chase Wilson

  • 4
  • #30
  • 6-1 | 230 lb
  • Arvada, CO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13271

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

Colorado State · LB

2023

Colorado State · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

West Virginia · LB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2764 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey30
Measurements6-1 | 230 lb
HometownArvada, CO
Primary teamWest Virginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2764 recruit
Composite rating 0.8030 HighSchool
Signed with Colorado State 2020
Origin Ralston Valley Arvada, CO, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8030 No. 2764 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination West Virginia 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Colorado State -> West Virginia 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13271Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13311Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Colorado State

Composite

0.8030

#2764 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chase Wilson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chase Wilson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
46Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
54Tackles
5.3Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 46): needs 17/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 46): needs 27/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 1.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Chase Wilson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on West Virginia's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13271 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 46 24 solo | #706/4942 (86th pct)
TFL 4.5 Backfield disruption | #648/4972 (87th pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
46 86th
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
4.5 87th
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Robert Morris621.51.00
Wk 2L 10-17@ Ohio752.02.0112 sacks
Wk 4L 10-41@ Kansas310.00.00
Wk 5L 14-48vs Utah320.00.00
Wk 6L 24-38@ BYU1150.50.010Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 8L 13-45@ UCF110.00.00
Wk 9L 17-23vs TCU200.50.00
Wk 10W 45-35@ Houston220.00.00
Wk 11W 29-22vs Colorado330.00.00
Wk 12L 23-25@ Arizona State520.00.01
Wk 14L 0-49vs Texas Tech310.00.00
Total46244.53.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Colorado State3-9HC: Jay Norvell · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Colorado State5-7HC: Jay Norvell · Pass-leaning
2025West Virginia4-8HC: Rich Rodriguez · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025West Virginia46244.53.022--
2023Colorado State107448.53.53----
2022Colorado State29152.52.52----
Career3 loaded seasons1828315.59.072--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 46 #706/4942 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.5 #648/4972 87th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 24 #790/4584 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 19 #316/578 46th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 9.5 #375/578 35th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.40.40.20.0
Road6g4.80.40.30.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.70.50.30.0
Losses8g4.40.40.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g6.00.80.60.2
Weeks 8+6g2.70.10.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

74Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (88th).

Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct
4.5defe
Tackles#706 / 2975 · 76th pct
46defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Solo tackles#790 / 2975 · 73rd pct
24defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Chase WilsonWest VirginiaTJ DotteryOle Miss· 85% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 84% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 84% sim
Sacks
89
Wilson
74
Dottery
80
McDuffie
89
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
77
Wilson
83
Dottery
83
McDuffie
85
Montgomery
Tackles
76
Wilson
98
Dottery
99
McDuffie
99
Montgomery
Interceptions
75
Wilson
75
McDuffie
75
Montgomery
Solo tackles
73
Wilson
97
Dottery
99
McDuffie
82
Montgomery
Passes defended
67
Wilson
67
Dottery
78
McDuffie
67
Montgomery
QB hurries
55
Wilson
55
Dottery
72
McDuffie
22
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Khalil Jacobs’s 2025 season.

Khalil Jacobs

94%match

Missouri · 2025

#2

Hunter Barth

California · 2024

83%
#3

Tyquan King

UConn · 2025

80%
#4

Alii Matau

San José State · 2021

79%
#5

Steele Chambers

Ohio State · 2021

78%

Matches Khalil on

PD rate
Sack rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Khalil Jacobs's senior season at Missouri (2025).

Khalil Jacobs

96%match

Missouri · 2025

#2

Jayland Parker

Marshall · 2025

84%
#3

Hunter Barth

California · 2024

83%
#4

Khari Coleman

Ole Miss · 2023

82%
#5

Karene Reid

Utah · 2024

82%

Matches Khalil on

PD rate
Sack rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rich Rodriguez

Pass share

38.7%

327 pass / 517 run

Plays / game

70.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.7%

272 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Neal Brown
West Virginia
2023
Neal Brown
West Virginia
2025
Rich Rodriguez
West Virginia
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Neal Brown → Rich Rodriguez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownArvada, CO
Height6'1"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Mountain West all_conference Colorado State | Mountain West LB
2023 All-Mountain West all_conference Colorado State | Mountain West LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado State LB4 #13271 #13311 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Colorado State LB4 #9827 #10508 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Colorado State LB4 #11362 #11772 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Colorado State LB4 #12674 #12657 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 West Virginia Big 12 LB 4 No. 30 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Arvada, CO
2024 Colorado State Mountain West LB 4 No. 30 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Arvada, CO
2023 Colorado State Mountain West LB 4 No. 30 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Arvada, CO
2022 Colorado State Mountain West LB 4 No. 30 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Arvada, CO
2021 Colorado State Mountain West LB 4 No. 30 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Arvada, CO