CFB Zeitgeist Score
59
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 81st percentile.
Chase Sowell
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
500 REC YDS · 32 REC · 2 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Penn State
2025Iowa State
2026Penn State
WR · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Chase Sowell
- 3
- 6-3 | 210 lb
- Humble, TX
Heisman Heat
#4177
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+2074%
Up 2074% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8489 | No. 1297 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa State -> Penn State | 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate |
| 2025 | East Carolina -> Iowa State | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Colorado -> East Carolina | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Colorado
Composite
0.8489
#1297 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chase Sowell
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=10
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chase Sowell
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
15.6
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #83 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 84th
Why it matters
#83 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.6 yards per reception (32 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 15.6 (84th)
HIGH · n=32 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#221 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 5 vs Arizona — 146 ypr
Result W 39-14
The week the volume broke through — put up 146 yds vs Arizona.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
500Rec yards
32Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
50Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
650Rec yards
42Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 500): needs 66.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 500): needs 166.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 32): needs 9.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 32): needs 16/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Chase Sowell already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
32 77th
YDS
500 80th
YPR
15.6 80th
TD
2 75th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 16-13vs Iowa | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 3 | W 24-16@ Arkansas State | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 5 | W 39-14vs Arizona | 4 | 146 | 36.5 | 0 | 52 | Season-high 146 yds |
| Wk 6 | L 30-38@ Cincinnati | 5 | 58 | 11.6 | 1 | 31 | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-24@ Colorado | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 9 | L 27-41vs BYU | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 10 | L 19-24vs Arizona State | 6 | 85 | 14.2 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-17@ TCU | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-14vs Kansas | 2 | 60 | 30.0 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 14 | W 20-13@ Oklahoma State | 4 | 54 | 13.5 | 1 | 20 | |
| Total | 32 | 500 | 15.1 | 2 | 52 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Colorado1-11HC: Mike Sanford Jr. · Balanced, slow tempo
2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 32 | 500 | 15.6 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | East Carolina | 47 | 622 | 13.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Colorado | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 81 | 1,145 | 14.1 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 32 | #255/1110 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 500 | #225/1107 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.6 | #227/1106 | 80th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 19.9% | #90/1137 | 92nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 52 | #244/1105 | 78th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.3% | #62/1137 | 95th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.5% | #80/1137 | 93rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.6% | #168/1137 | 85th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.1% | #223/1137 | 80th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.1% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.9% | #335/1137 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 3.0 | 63.4 | 19.6 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 36.6 | 10.6 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 3.0 | 53.8 | 17.3 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 3.5 | 44.2 | 11.8 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 3.0 | 52.2 | 15.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 3.4 | 47.8 | 14.9 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
59Solid starter
Elite: yards / catch (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Chase SowellIowa StateNik McMillanBuffalo· 76% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 75% simSean WilsonDelaware· 72% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryson Green’s 2023 season.
Bryson Green
85%match
#2
Devin Carter
82%
#3
Jahdae Walker
81%
#4
Hayden Eligon II
81%
#5
Austin Watkins
75%
Matches Bryson on
Weight
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Bryson on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ja'Cory Thomas’s path through Old Dominion.
Ja'Cory Thomas
97%match
#2
Cary Angeline
97%
#3
Austin Watkins
97%
#4
Jalen Coker
96%
#5
Erik Ezukanma
94%
Matches Ja'Cory on
Height
Weight
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Isaiah Washington's senior season at Rutgers (2023).
Isaiah Washington
64%match
#2
Jayshon Platt
64%
#3
Jaheim Bell
All-ACCNFL Rd 7
64%
#4
Wesley Grimes
63%
#5
J.Michael Sturdivant
62%
Matches Isaiah on
Reception volume
Yards / reception
TD rate
Differs from Isaiah on
Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHumble, TX
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionWR
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-AAC | all_conference | East Carolina | AAC | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | East Carolina | WR3 | #4177 | #4055 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | East Carolina | WR3 | #2161 | #2878 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Colorado | WR3 | #3890 | #4605 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Humble, TX |
| 2024 | East Carolina | American Athletic | WR | 3 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Humble, TX |
| 2023 | East Carolina | American Athletic | WR | 3 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Humble, TX |
| 2022 | Colorado | Pac-12 | WR | 3 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Humble, TX |