cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chase Hendricks /Ohio

Chase Hendricks

WR · Ohio · Jr · #7

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Chase Hendricks arrives at Ohio with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

1,037REC YDS71REC7REC TD

REC YDS · 900-YD CLUB

1,037

1037 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.

Read the story so far

Chase Hendricks arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at WR for Ohio.

On the field, the headline is 1,037 rec yds, with 71 rec.

He inherited the WR job from Coleman Owen.

The number to watch: 1,037 — rec yds · 900-yd club.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromColeman Owen
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • 1037 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Ohio → California for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to California

2025Ohio
2026California

WR · OHIO · MID-AMERICAN

Chase Hendricks

  • 3
  • #7
  • 6-0 | 200 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

80

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1189

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Ohio · WR

2024

Ohio · WR

2025

Ohio · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1082023
4712024
1,0372025

+860%

Up 860% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1111 national
CFB
College
Ohio
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey7
Measurements6-0 | 200 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamOhio

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1111 recruit
Composite rating 0.8600 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin St. Mary's St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8600 No. 1111 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination California 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Ohio -> California 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1189Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1652Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1037 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1037).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8600

#1111 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chase Hendricks

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Cal Football: Chase Hendricks, In His Words: Why I Chose Cal &nbsp;&nbsp; Bear I"Own fansNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Last year we had a few portal classes far exceed expectations (Virginia, Indiana"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chase Hendricks

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.6

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #120 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 78th

Why it matters

#120 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.6 yards per reception (71 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.6 (78th)

HIGH · n=71 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#15 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#36 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs Gardner-Webb — 144 ypr

Result W 52-35

The week the volume broke through — put up 144 yds vs Gardner-Webb.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
1,037Rec yards
71Receptions
7Rec TDs
Per game
86.4Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,123Rec yards
77Receptions
8Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,037.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,037.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 71.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 71): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Chase Hendricks already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #1189 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 71 7 rec TD | #19/1110 (98th pct)
Receiving yards 1,037 14.6 per catch | #15/1107 (99th pct)
Scrimmage yards 1,038 Total offensive yardage | #15/1107 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
71 98th
YDS
1,037 99th
YPR
14.6 74th
TD
7 97th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
1 20th
YPC
1.0 22nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
143 83rd
PR AVG
17.9 92nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 31-34@ Rutgers911512.8026
Wk 2W 17-10vs West Virginia812115.1138
Wk 3L 9-37@ Ohio State37625.3167
Wk 4W 52-35vs Gardner-Webb814418.0143Season-high 144 yds
Wk 5W 35-20vs Bowling Green12525.0125
Wk 6L 14-20@ Ball State810413.0037
Wk 8W 48-21vs Northern Illinois1010810.8030
Wk 9W 28-21@ Eastern Michigan1011211.22282 TD catches
Wk 11W 24-20vs Miami (OH)34013.3018
Wk 12L 13-17@ Western Michigan2136.509
Wk 14W 31-26@ Buffalo59218.4141
BowlW 17-10vs UNLV48721.8042
Total71103715.9767
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Ohio10-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-leaning
2024Ohio11-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-heavy
2025Ohio9-4HC: Brian Smith · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio711,03714.67--
2024Ohio4047111.81--
2023Ohio111089.80--
Career3 loaded seasons1221,61613.28--
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio11--143--
2024Ohio----------
2023Ohio----------
Career3 loaded seasons11--143--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 13.5% 34.1% pass-game share | #3/1137 (100th pct)
Return yards 143 0 return TD
Touchdowns 7 Across offense and returns | #37/1111 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 71 #19/1110 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 1,037 #15/1107 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #37/1111 97th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.6 #291/1106 74th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 143 #38/224 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 34.1% #3/1137 100th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #334/346 4th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #317/397 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #309/393 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 67 #122/1105 89th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 17.9 #18/222 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 8 #91/237 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 18.5% #16/1137 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.7% #12/1137 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.4% #57/1137 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 13.5% #19/1137 98th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 11.5% #38/1137 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 11.2% #53/1137 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.2% #374/1137 67th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g5.787.517.30.5
Road6g6.285.314.50.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g6.191.116.70.8
Losses4g5.577.014.40.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.996.018.70.6
Weeks 8+5g6.073.012.00.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

80All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (97th). Strength: receptions (96th). Concern: rush yards (20th).

Rec yards#15 / 558 · 97th pct
1037rece
Receptions#19 / 558 · 97th pct
71rece
Rec TDs#37 / 558 · 92nd pct
7rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Long catch#112 / 558 · 80th pct
67rece
Yards / catch#154 / 558 · 72nd pct
14.6rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#226 / 287 · 20th pct
1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Chase HendricksOhioTed HurstGeorgia State· 96% simCortez BrahamMemphis· 94% simCooper BarkateDuke· 93% sim
Rec yards
97
Hendricks
96
Hurst
93
Braham
98
Barkate
Receptions
97
Hendricks
97
Hurst
92
Braham
97
Barkate
Rec TDs
92
Hendricks
87
Hurst
95
Braham
92
Barkate
Fumbles lost
81
Hendricks
Long catch
80
Hendricks
84
Hurst
87
Braham
93
Barkate
Yards / catch
72
Hendricks
65
Hurst
65
Braham
79
Barkate
Rush TDs
39
Hendricks
Rush yards
20
Hendricks

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Germie Bernard’s 2025 season.

Germie Bernard

79%match

Alabama · 2025

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 15
#2

Dontario Drummond

Ole Miss · 2021

78%
#3

Cooper Barkate

Duke · 2025

All-ACC
78%
#4

Khalil Shakir

Boise State · 2021

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
77%
#5

Coleman Owen

Ohio · 2024

All-MAC
76%

Matches Germie on

Weight
Reception volume
Height

Differs from Germie on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.

DeVontres Dukes

100%match

South Florida · 2020

#2

Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding

Old Dominion · 2025

99%
#3

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

97%
#4

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7
96%
#5

Kobe Clark

Abilene Christian · 2022

93%

Matches DeVontres on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Moore's junior season at Duke (2023).

Jordan Moore

77%match

Duke · 2023

All-ACC
#2

Jared Brown

Coastal Carolina · 2023

All-Sun Belt
76%
#3

Ronnie Bell

Michigan · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
74%
#4

Amare Thomas

Houston · 2025

73%
#5

Jalen Cropper

Fresno State · 2022

All-Mountain West
72%

Matches Jordan on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
TD rate

Differs from Jordan on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Smith

Pass share

36.6%

311 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

65.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

278 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Tim Albin
Ohio
2024
Tim Albin
Ohio
2025
Brian Smith
Ohio
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Albin → Brian Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-MAC all_conference Ohio | MAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio WR3 #1189 #1652 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Ohio WR3 #1746 #1658 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 7 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2024 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 7 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Ohio Mid-American WR 3 No. 7 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Saint Louis, MO