CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 98th percentile.
Chandler Rivers
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
59 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Baltimore2026 NFL rookie season
#162Rd 5 · Pick 22
Baltimore2026 NFL rookie season
CB · DUKE · ACC
Chandler Rivers
- 4
- 5-10 | 185 lb
- Beaumont, TX
Heisman Heat
#4012
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Duke · CB
—
2023
Duke · CB
—
2024
Duke · CB
—
★
2025
Duke · CB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 5, Pick 22 · #162 overall · Baltimore
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Duke
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 · #162
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8696 | No. 776 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8696
#776 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 5, Pick 22
#162 overall · Baltimore
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chandler Rivers
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chandler Rivers
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
59Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
59Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Chandler Rivers is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Duke's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
59 92nd
SOLO
37 93rd
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
8 98th
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-17vs Elon | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 19-45vs Illinois | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 3 | L 27-34@ Tulane | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-33vs NC State | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | W 38-3@ Syracuse | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-21@ California | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-27vs Georgia Tech | 7 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 10 | W 46-45@ Clemson | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | L 34-37@ UConn | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-34vs Virginia | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 32-25@ North Carolina | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-32vs Wake Forest | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 15 | W 27-20@ Virginia | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 8 tackles |
| Total | 59 | 37 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 8 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 59 | #413/4942 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.5 | #869/4972 | 83rd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 8 | #45/2184 | 98th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 37 | #303/4584 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Road7g | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Losses5g | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 5.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort
67Solid starter
Elite: passes defended (97th). Strength: solo tackles (89th). Concern: sacks (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · CB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Chandler RiversDukeBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 90% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 86% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 84% sim
Passes defended
Solo tackles
Tackles
Interceptions
Tackles for loss
QB hurries
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Volume Tackler
Targeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter.
CB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to A.J. Odums’s 2025 season.
A.J. Odums
80%match
#2
Davon Ferguson
All-MAC
82%
#3
Chandler Rivers
NFL Rd 5
81%
#4
Jacob Finley
76%
#5
Montre Miller
76%
Matches A.J. on
Class year
Height
PD rate
Differs from A.J. on
Weight (higher)
Tackle volume (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Davon Ferguson's senior season at Bowling Green (2023).
Davon Ferguson
89%match
All-MAC
#2
Mac McWilliams
NFL Rd 5
87%
#3
Nikko Reed
87%
#4
Donte Kent
All-MACNFL Rd 7
84%
#5
Robert Kennedy
83%
Matches Davon on
Class year
Height
Interceptions
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
53.3%
506 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
67.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coaches2022
Mike Elko
Duke
2023era →
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2024era →
Manny Diaz
Duke
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke
Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Elko, Trooper Taylor, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBeaumont, TX
Height5'10"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionCB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamDuke
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥈
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2025)
All-ACC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-ACC | all_conference | Duke | ACC | DB |
| 2025 | All-ACC | all_conference | Duke | ACC | CB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.