CFB Zeitgeist Score
1
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 3rd percentile.
Chad Alexander
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 2 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Georgia Tech for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Georgia Tech
Returning around him
- 81% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 Georgia Tech players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Georgia Tech · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #39 · 2026 recruiting class #21
RB · GEORGIA TECH · ACC
Chad Alexander
- 3
- #27
- 5-9 | 185 lb
- Lawrenceville, GA
Heisman Heat
#2095
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR03 · Backup
Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Georgia Tech
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chad Alexander
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chad Alexander
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 3g
3Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
1Rush yards
1Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
13Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 3): needs 74.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 3): needs 99.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 3): needs 149.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 10.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Chad Alexander's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
2 10th
YDS
3 4th
YPC
1.5 4th
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
2 25th
YDS
-2 1st
YPR
-1.0 2nd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 10 | L 36-48@ NC State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | L 28-42vs Pittsburgh | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | Season-high 3 yds |
| Wk 14 | L 9-16vs Georgia | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Georgia Tech7-6HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
2025Georgia Tech9-4HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 3 | #705/735 | 4th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.5 | #705/735 | 4th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | -2 | #541/548 | 1st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 3.1% | #633/738 | 14th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #667/739 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 2 | #710/733 | 3rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | -1.0 | #540/548 | 2nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.0% | #286/738 | 61st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.7% | #671/738 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.6% | #613/738 | 17th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.3% | #639/738 | 14th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.9% | #318/738 | 57th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 2.9% | #574/738 | 22nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 0.0% | #696/738 | 6th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Losses3g | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 8+3g | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
1Below cohort
Concern: rec yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Chad AlexanderGeorgia TechJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 43% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 42% simTae MeadowsTroy· 42% sim
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Long run
Carries
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Key
Pass share
46.1%
391 pass / 457 run
Plays / game
65.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.0%
221 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
2025
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
Played his entire career under Brent Key.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLawrenceville, GA
Height5'9"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey27
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia Tech
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia Tech | RB3 | #2095 | #2140 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | RB3 | #2737 | #2722 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech | ACC | RB | 3 | No. 27 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Lawrenceville, GA |
| 2024 | Georgia Tech | ACC | RB | 3 | No. 27 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Lawrenceville, GA |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | ACC | RB | 3 | No. 27 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Lawrenceville, GA |