CFB Zeitgeist Score
18
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 82nd percentile.
Cedric Hawkins
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
23 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 4 CARRIES
In Portal · 2026
In transfer portal
2025Arkansas State
DestinationTBD
RB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT
Cedric Hawkins
- 2
- #22
- 5-7 | 196 lb
- Stuttgart, AR
Heisman Heat
#4091
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-85%
Sharp dropoff (-85%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Arkansas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8104 | No. 2182 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Arkansas State -> -- | 2-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Arkansas State
Composite
0.8104
#2182 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Cedric Hawkins
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Cedric Hawkins
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 5g
23Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
4.6Rush yards
1Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
59.8Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 23): needs 90.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 23): needs 122.1/game over remaining 8.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 23): needs 184.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Cedric Hawkins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arkansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
4 16th
YDS
23 20th
YPC
5.8 81st
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
1 16th
YDS
3 7th
YPR
3.0 11th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | L 14-56@ Arkansas | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 5 | L 16-28@ UL Monroe | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Texas State | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | Season-high 16 yds |
| Wk 9 | W 34-24vs Georgia Southern | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 14 | W 30-29@ App State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 4 | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 16 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Arkansas State6-7HC: Butch Jones · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 31 | 156 | 5.0 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 35 | 179 | 5.1 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 23 | #592/735 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.8 | #139/735 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 1 | #467/552 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 3 | #513/548 | 7th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 1.8% | #693/738 | 6th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 16 | #448/733 | 39th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #620/739 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 3 | #515/540 | 5th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.0 | #489/548 | 11th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 45 | #104/200 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 15.0 | #143/199 | 29th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 3 | #85/206 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.1% | #688/738 | 7th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 2.1% | #593/738 | 20th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.0% | #685/738 | 7th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 1.9% | #694/738 | 6th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 1.5% | #632/738 | 14th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 1.4% | #690/738 | 7th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.8% | #526/738 | 29th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Road3g | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 6.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 7.0 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
18Below cohort
Elite: yards / carry (81st). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Cedric HawkinsArkansas StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 44% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 41% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 40% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Butch Jones
Pass share
53.7%
506 pass / 437 run
Plays / game
72.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
367 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
Played his entire career under Butch Jones.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownStuttgart, AR
Height5'7"
Weight196 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey22
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArkansas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arkansas State | RB2 | #4091 | #4315 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | RB2 | #1569 | #1821 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 22 | 5-7 | 196 lb | Stuttgart, AR |
| 2024 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 22 | 5-7 | 196 lb | Stuttgart, AR |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 22 | 5-7 | 196 lb | Stuttgart, AR |