cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Carson Strong /Nevada

Carson Strong

QB · Nevada · So · #12

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSNevada 2021 alumnus

QB · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST

Carson Strong

  • 2
  • #12
  • 6-4 | 215 lb
  • Vacaville, CA

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#183

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2171 national
CFB
College
Nevada
2021
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey12
Measurements6-4 | 215 lb
HometownVacaville, CA
Primary teamNevada

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2171 recruit
Composite rating 0.8043 HighSchool
Signed with Nevada 2018
Origin Will C. Wood Vacaville, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8043 No. 2171 recruit | HighSchool | Nevada

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#183Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#246Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Nevada

Composite

0.8043

#2171 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Carson Strong

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Carson Strong

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Carson Strong already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #183 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 66.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2021 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2021 season snapshot | final

2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 4,186 36 TD | 8 INT | #2/382 (100th pct)
Completion rate 70.0% 367/524 completions | #67/383 (83rd pct)
Yards/attempt 8.0 Explosiveness through the air | #92/382 (76th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientPocket-leaning

2021 Season · Final

2021 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
367 100th
ATT
524 100th
CMP%
70.0% 83rd
Y/A
8.0 76th

Passing Production

YDS
4,186 100th
TD
36 100th
INT
8 17th

Rushing

CAR
51 69th
YDS
-208 0th
YPC
-4.1 3rd
TD
0 44th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Nevada8-4HC: Vai Taua · Pass-heavy
SeasonTeam
2021Nevada36752470.0%4,1868.0368156.8----
Career1 loaded season36752470.0%4,1868.0368156.8----
SeasonTeam
2021Nevada51-208-4.10--
Career1 loaded season51-208-4.10--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -208 0 rush TD | #409/409 (0th pct)
Usage 66.5% 95.4% pass share | 5.7% rush share | #3/428 (100th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.56 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #4/200 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 4,186 #2/382 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 36 #2/407 100th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 367 #1/383 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 70.0% #67/383 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.0 #92/382 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -208 #409/409 0th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.56 #4/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 533 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 66.5% #3/428 100th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 524 #1/407 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 8 #339/407 17th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 51 #126/408 69th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 13 #243/391 38th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -4.1 #395/407 3rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 95.4% #20/428 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 79.7% #5/428 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 75.0% #21/428 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 68.5% #4/428 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 61.5% #2/428 100th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 60.2% #4/428 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.7% #260/428 39th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2021

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Choate

Pass share

42.6%

306 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

59.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

251 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021

1 coach
2021
Vai Taua
Nevada

Played his entire career under Vai Taua.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownVacaville, CA
Height6'4"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2021)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2021 All-Mountain West all_conference Nevada | Mountain West QB
2020 All-Mountain West all_conference Nevada | Mountain West QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2021 Nevada QB2 #183 #246 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2021 Nevada Mountain West QB 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Vacaville, CA