cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Carlos Allen /Houston

Carlos Allen

DL · Houston · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

72 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Houston for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Houston for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Houston

Returning around him

  • 105% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Houston player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Houston · Last season: 10-3 (AP #25) · Talent rank #66 · 2026 recruiting class #52

DL · HOUSTON · BIG 12

Carlos Allen

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-1 | 295 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8793

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Houston
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-1 | 295 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamHouston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8793Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9627Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Carlos Allen

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Carlos Allen

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
72Tackles
7.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
72Tackles
7.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Carlos Allen is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Houston's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 7.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8793 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.5 sacks | 7.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 72 32 solo | #242/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 7.5 Backfield disruption | #234/4972 (95th pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
72 95th
SOLO
32 90th
TFL
7.5 95th
SACK
1.5 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 27-0vs Stephen F. Austin110.00.00
Wk 2W 35-9@ Rice930.00.00
Wk 3W 36-20vs Colorado731.50.01
Wk 5W 27-24@ Oregon State1341.00.00Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 6L 11-35vs Texas Tech540.00.00
Wk 7W 39-17@ Oklahoma State630.00.01
Wk 8W 31-28vs Arizona521.01.00
Wk 9W 24-16@ Arizona State411.00.00
Wk 10L 35-45vs West Virginia531.00.00
Wk 11W 30-27@ UCF430.50.00
Wk 13L 14-17vs TCU511.00.00
Wk 14W 31-24@ Baylor330.00.00
BowlW 38-35vs LSU510.50.51
Total72327.51.53
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Houston10-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Houston72327.51.53----
2024Houston42174.02.5------
Career2 loaded seasons1144911.54.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 72 #242/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.5 #234/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 32 #448/4584 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.70.70.20.3
Road6g6.50.40.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g5.70.60.10.3
Losses3g5.00.70.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.60.40.10.4
Weeks 8+6g4.30.80.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

74Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (91st). Strength: tackles for loss (91st). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#242 / 2975 · 92nd pct
72defe
Tackles for loss#234 / 2975 · 91st pct
7.5defe
Solo tackles#448 / 2975 · 84th pct
32defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Carlos AllenHoustonMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 91% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 91% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 91% sim
Tackles
92
Allen
99
Montgomery
99
Moses
99
Andersen
Tackles for loss
91
Allen
85
Montgomery
83
Moses
90
Andersen
Solo tackles
84
Allen
82
Montgomery
98
Moses
96
Andersen
Passes defended
78
Allen
67
Montgomery
78
Moses
96
Andersen
Sacks
74
Allen
89
Montgomery
63
Moses
74
Andersen
QB hurries
22
Allen
22
Montgomery
22
Moses
22
Andersen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacques Bristol’s 2022 season.

Jacques Bristol

90%match

Central Michigan · 2022

#2

Skyler Gill-Howard

Texas Tech · 2025

NFL Rd 6
89%
#3

Keenan Stewart

UTEP · 2022

88%
#4

Luis Medina

Troy · 2024

88%
#5

Jalen Satchell

Temple · 2022

88%

Matches Jacques on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jacques Bristol's junior season at Central Michigan (2022).

Jacques Bristol

96%match

Central Michigan · 2022

All-MAC
#2

Skyler Gill-Howard

Texas Tech · 2025

All-MACNFL Rd 6
90%
#3

Keenan Stewart

UTEP · 2022

89%
#4

Denver Warren

UAB · 2025

89%
#5

Rodas Johnson

Wisconsin · 2023

88%

Matches Jacques on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Fritz

Pass share

41.4%

377 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2025
Willie Fritz
Houston
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'1"
Weight295 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Houston DL4 #8793 #9627 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Houston Big 12 DL 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 295 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 Houston Big 12 DL 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 295 lb | Atlanta, GA