CFB Zeitgeist Score
50
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 91st percentile.
Cameron Bates
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
307 REC YDS · 18 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Boise State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Boise State
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62
WR · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Cameron Bates
- 2
- #80
- 5-10 | 170 lb
- Mansfield, TX
Heisman Heat
#2533
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Boise State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8592 | No. 1240 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8592
#1240 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Cameron Bates
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Cameron Bates
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
307Rec yards
18Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
25.6Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
332.6Rec yards
20Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 307): needs 393/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 307): needs 693/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 18): needs 42/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 18): needs 62/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Cameron Bates is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
18 60th
YDS
307 68th
YPR
17.1 87th
TD
1 64th
Rushing
CAR
6 82nd
YDS
78 92nd
YPC
13.0 93rd
TD
2 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-34@ South Florida | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | 0 | 31 | |
| Wk 2 | W 51-14vs Eastern Washington | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs App State | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-28@ Notre Dame | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-25vs New Mexico | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 8 | W 56-31vs UNLV | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-3@ Nevada | 1 | 37 | 37.0 | 0 | 37 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-30vs Fresno State | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 12 | L 7-17@ San Diego State | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 13 | W 49-21vs Colorado State | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 0 | 42 | |
| Wk 14 | W 25-24@ Utah State | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 15 | W 38-21vs UNLV | 3 | 65 | 21.7 | 1 | 44 | Season-high 65 yds |
| Total | 18 | 307 | 16.5 | 1 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 18 | 307 | 17.1 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 18 | 307 | 17.1 | 1 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 6 | 78 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 6 | 78 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 18 | #444/1110 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 307 | #354/1107 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 17.1 | #145/1106 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.7% | #497/1137 | 56th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 78 | #34/397 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 35 | #26/346 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 13.0 | #28/393 | 93rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 6 | #76/407 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #7/411 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 44 | #368/1105 | 67th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.1% | #229/1137 | 80th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.9% | #603/1137 | 47th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.7% | #572/1137 | 50th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.3% | #452/1137 | 60th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.0% | #393/1137 | 66th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.6% | #851/1137 | 25th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.4% | #146/1137 | 87th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 1.7 | 29.7 | 15.5 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 1.2 | 19.8 | 18.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 1.8 | 31.6 | 18.2 | 0.1 |
| Losses4g | 1.0 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 0.8 | 11.0 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.0 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
50Mid-pack
Elite: rush tds (95th). Strength: yards / catch (90th). Concern: receptions (19th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Cameron BatesBoise StateHank BeattyIllinois· 56% simKevin ConcepcionTexas A&M· 55% simGermie BernardAlabama· 55% sim
Rush TDs
Yards / catch
Rush yards
Long catch
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Money Parks’s 2022 season.
Money Parks
81%match
#2
Tayvian Cunningham
73%
#3
Jordan Smart
73%
#4
De'Vion Warren
73%
#5
Spencer Curtis
72%
Matches Money on
Weight
TD rate
Reception volume
Differs from Money on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Derek Eusebio's sophomore season at Arizona State (2025).
Derek Eusebio
73%match
#2
De'Vion Warren
70%
#3
Money Parks
68%
#4
Peyton Higgins
66%
#5
Micah Tease
66%
Matches Derek on
Reception volume
Height
TD rate
Differs from Derek on
Yards / reception (higher)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
46.6%
472 pass / 540 run
Plays / game
72.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMansfield, TX
Height5'10"
Weight170 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey80
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBoise State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State | WR2 | #2533 | #2178 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 80 | 5-10 | 170 lb | Mansfield, TX |
| 2024 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 80 | 5-10 | 170 lb | Mansfield, TX |