cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Camden Overton /Georgia State

Camden Overton

TE · Georgia State · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

132 REC YDS · 15 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Georgia State

Returning around him

  • 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Georgia State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #77 · 2026 recruiting class #67

TE · GEORGIA STATE · SUN BELT

Camden Overton

  • 4
  • 6-4 | 245 lb
  • Marietta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

21

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 43rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Georgia State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements6-4 | 245 lb
HometownMarietta, GA
Primary teamGeorgia State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Camden Overton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Camden Overton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
132Rec yards
15Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
26.4Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
343.2Rec yards
39Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 132): needs 71/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 132): needs 108.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 15): needs 5.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 15): needs 8.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Camden Overton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 15 2 rec TD | #141/475 (71st pct)
Receiving yards 132 8.8 per catch | #165/475 (65th pct)
Scrimmage yards 132 Total offensive yardage | #165/475 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
15 71st
YDS
132 65th
YPR
8.8 39th
TD
2 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-63@ Ole Miss177.007
Wk 2L 16-38vs Memphis22713.5020
Wk 3W 37-21vs Murray State2189.0115
Wk 4L 21-70@ Vanderbilt3155.009
Wk 6L 7-14vs James Madison7659.3119Season-high 65 yds
Total151328.8220
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Georgia State1-11HC: Dell McGee · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State151328.82--
Career1 loaded season151328.82--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.3% 11.0% pass-game share | #70/468 (85th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #79/475 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 15 #141/475 71st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 132 #165/475 65th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #79/475 84th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 8.8 #291/475 39th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 11.0% #70/468 85th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 20 #253/475 47th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 10.5% #17/468 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.3% #46/468 90th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.9% #43/468 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.3% #40/468 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 5.3% #67/468 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #120/468 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g3.736.710.60.7
Road2g2.011.06.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g2.018.09.01.0
Losses4g3.228.58.70.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.026.48.80.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

21Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (9th).

Rec TDs#76 / 175 · 43rd pct
2rece
Yards / catch#140 / 175 · 19th pct
8.8rece
Receptions#141 / 175 · 17th pct
15rece
Rec yards#156 / 175 · 11th pct
132rece
Long catch#158 / 175 · 9th pct
20rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Camden OvertonGeorgia StateBryce CaufieldOregon State· 69% simHayden HansenFlorida· 68% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 65% sim
Rec TDs
43
Overton
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
19
Overton
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Receptions
17
Overton
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry
Rec yards
11
Overton
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Long catch
9
Overton
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Elijah Mojarro’s 2024 season.

Elijah Mojarro

82%match

Rice · 2024

#2

Thomaz Whitford

New Mexico State · 2023

82%
#3

Thomaz Whitford

New Mexico State · 2021

80%
#4

Bentley Hanshaw

Liberty · 2024

80%
#5

Brandon Crum

South Alabama · 2021

80%

Matches Elijah on

Height
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Elijah on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Cade Brewer's sophomore season at Texas (2021).

Cade Brewer

87%match

Texas · 2021

#2

Raymond Pauwels Jr.

Fresno State · 2021

86%
#3

Nick Muse

South Carolina · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 7
86%
#4

Niko Hea

Missouri · 2021

85%
#5

Brayden Willis

Oklahoma · 2021

NFL Rd 7
85%

Matches Cade on

TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dell McGee

Pass share

56.5%

472 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

69.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Dell McGee
Georgia State

Played his entire career under Dell McGee.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMarietta, GA
Height6'4"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionTE

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia State Sun Belt TE 4 6-4 | 245 lb | Marietta, GA