cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cam Davis /Minnesota

Cam Davis

RB · Minnesota · Sr · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

111 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 35 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Minnesota

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Minnesota player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Minnesota · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #41 · 2026 recruiting class #49

RB · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN

Cam Davis

  • 4
  • #23
  • 6-1 | 215 lb
  • Upland, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

18

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#502

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
3082021
5222022
1902024
1112025

-64%

Sharp dropoff (-64%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#279 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey23
Measurements6-1 | 215 lb
HometownUpland, CA
Primary teamMinnesota

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 279 recruit
Composite rating 0.9058 HighSchool
Signed with Washington 2019
Origin Upland Upland, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.9058 No. 279 recruit | HighSchool | Washington

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#502Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#497Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Washington

Composite

0.9058

#279 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cam Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cam Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
111Rush yards
35Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
9.2Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
120.2Rush yards
38Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 111): needs 639/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 111): needs 889/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 111): needs 1,389/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 18/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cam Davis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Minnesota, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #502 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 279 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 230 111 rush | 119 rec | #418/735 (43rd pct)
Rush TD 2 35 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.2 Per-rush efficiency | #611/735 (17th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
35 51st
YDS
111 43rd
YPC
3.2 17th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
18 83rd
YDS
119 76th
YPR
6.6 46th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-10vs Buffalo4123.004
Wk 2W 66-0vs Northwestern State2136.517
Wk 3L 14-27@ California15442.9114Season-high 44 yds
Wk 5W 31-28vs Rutgers382.708
Wk 6L 3-42@ Ohio State284.005
Wk 7W 27-20vs Purdue
Wk 8W 24-6vs Nebraska155.005
Wk 9L 3-41@ Iowa242.009
Wk 10W 23-20vs Michigan State111.001
Wk 12L 13-42@ Oregon4143.505
Wk 14W 17-7vs Wisconsin
BowlW 20-17vs New Mexico122.002
Total351113.3214
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Washington4-8HC: Jimmy Lake · Balanced
2022Washington11-2HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
2024Washington6-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota351113.22--
2024Washington441904.30--
2022Washington1075224.913--
2021Washington853083.62--
Career4 loaded seasons2711,1314.217--
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota181196.60--
2024Washington1415611.10--
2022Washington191377.20--
2021Washington141158.20--
Career4 loaded seasons655278.10--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 18 119 rec yds | #96/552 (83rd pct)
Usage 9.2% 13.0% rush share | #342/738 (54th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.07 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #263/362 (28th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 111 #418/735 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.2 #611/735 17th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 18 #96/552 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 119 #132/548 76th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.07 #263/362 28th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 34 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.2% #342/738 54th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 35 #362/739 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #488/733 34th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #218/540 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.6 #295/548 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 34 #120/200 40th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 17.0 #118/199 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 2 #109/206 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 13.0% #400/738 46th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 10.4% #340/738 54th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.2% #344/738 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.2% #227/738 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.1% #338/738 54th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.0% #471/738 36th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 6.2% #111/738 85th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g5.13.40.1
Road4g17.53.10.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins8g5.13.40.1
Losses4g17.53.10.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g12.43.50.3
Weeks 8+5g4.82.90.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

18Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Receptions#93 / 338 · 71st pct
18rece
Rec yards#123 / 338 · 63rd pct
119rece
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Yards / carry#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
3.2rush
Long run#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
14rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
111rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
35rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.07Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Cam DavisMinnesotaSeth McGowanKentucky· 49% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 48% simTae MeadowsTroy· 48% sim
Receptions
71
Davis
75
McGowan
85
Henderson
45
Meadows
Rec yards
63
Davis
67
McGowan
79
Henderson
38
Meadows
Rush TDs
26
Davis
94
McGowan
72
Henderson
72
Meadows
Yards / carry
3
Davis
29
McGowan
18
Henderson
29
Meadows
Long run
3
Davis
11
McGowan
43
Henderson
53
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Davis
76
McGowan
79
Henderson
74
Meadows
Carries
0
Davis
85
McGowan
90
Henderson
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

P.J. Fleck

Pass share

51.7%

397 pass / 371 run

Plays / game

59.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2022
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2024
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota

Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownUpland, CA
Height6'1"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington RB4 #502 #497 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Washington RB4 #1430 #925 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Washington RB4 #114 #110 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Washington RB4 #1039 #1314 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Minnesota Big Ten RB 4 No. 23 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Upland, CA
2024 Washington Big Ten RB 4 No. 23 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Upland, CA
2023 Washington Pac-12 RB 4 No. 23 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Upland, CA
2022 Washington Pac-12 RB 4 No. 23 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Upland, CA
2021 Washington Pac-12 RB 4 No. 23 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Upland, CA