CFB Zeitgeist Score
22
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 62nd percentile.
Caleb Coombs
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Caleb Coombs arrives at Jacksonville State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
277REC YDS37REC0REC TD
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Jacksonville State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Jacksonville State
Returning around him
- 84% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (20 in / 13 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Jacksonville State · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #111 · 2026 recruiting class #110
WR · JACKSONVILLE STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Caleb Coombs
- 4
- #16
- 5-11 | 187 lb
- Leesburg, VA
Heisman Heat
#4495
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+1529%
Up 1529% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8800 | No. 520 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic -> Jacksonville State | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Marshall -> Florida Atlantic | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8800
#520 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Caleb Coombs
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Coombs
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving yards (total)
277
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #414 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 22nd
Why it matters
#414 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 277 yards on 37 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 277 (22th)
HIGH · n=37 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#476 / 531
- Yards per reception#508 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 at Georgia Southern — 58 receiving_yards_total
Result L 34-41
The week the volume broke through — put up 58 yds at Georgia Southern.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
277Rec yards
37Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
21.3Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
277Rec yards
37Receptions
0Rec TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Caleb Coombs's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Jacksonville State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
37 81st
YDS
277 66th
YPR
7.5 15th
TD
0 45th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
-11 2nd
YPC
-11.0 1st
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-17@ UCF | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 34-24vs Liberty | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | L 34-41@ Georgia Southern | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | 0 | 16 | Season-high 58 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 45-10vs Murray State | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 5 | L 25-42@ Southern Miss | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 7 | W 29-27@ Sam Houston | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | W 38-25vs Delaware | 5 | 29 | 5.8 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-21@ Middle Tennessee | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 11 | W 30-27@ UTEP | 5 | 42 | 8.4 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 12 | W 35-26vs Kennesaw State | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-27@ Florida International | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | W 37-34vs Western Kentucky | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 15 | L 15-19vs Kennesaw State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 37 | 277 | 6.6 | 0 | 24 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Marshall7-5HC: Charles Huff · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Marshall9-4HC: Charles Huff · Run-heavy
2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2025Jacksonville State9-5HC: Charles Kelly · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | 37 | 277 | 7.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Marshall | 39 | 310 | 7.9 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Marshall | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Marshall | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 80 | 624 | 7.8 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | 1 | -11 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Marshall | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Marshall | 1 | -3 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Marshall | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 2 | -14 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 37 | #212/1110 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 277 | #375/1107 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.5 | #943/1106 | 15th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 16.6% | #183/1137 | 84th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -11 | #389/397 | 2nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -11.0 | #391/393 | 1st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 24 | #689/1105 | 38th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.8% | #386/1137 | 66th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.5% | #428/1137 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.6% | #338/1137 | 70th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.9% | #379/1137 | 67th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.2% | #369/1137 | 68th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.9% | #435/1137 | 62nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.2% | #374/1137 | 67th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.5 | 19.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 3.1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 2.5 | 20.0 | 7.7 | 0.0 |
| Losses5g | 3.4 | 23.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.0 | 25.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.7 | 18.1 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
22Below cohort
Concern: yards / catch (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Caleb CoombsJacksonville StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 80% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 67% simLewis BondBoston College· 62% sim
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Long catch
Rec TDs
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Talik Keaton’s 2022 season.
Talik Keaton
82%match
#2
Caleb Coombs
82%
#3
Donny Navarro
81%
#4
Caullin Lacy
80%
#5
Skyler Bell
NFL Rd 4
78%
Matches Talik on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Differs from Talik on
Reception volume (higher)
Class year (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Xavier Smith’s path through Florida A&M.
Xavier Smith
98%match
#2
Bo Belquist
97%
#3
Cyrus Wallace
96%
#4
Damoriea Vick
96%
#5
Phoenix Sproles
95%
Matches Xavier on
Yards per reception
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Will Nixon's graduate season at Syracuse (2025).
Will Nixon
80%match
#2
Jacob Gill
75%
#3
Chris Tyree
74%
#4
Rahmir Johnson
73%
#5
Jaden Nixon
All-MAC
72%
Matches Will on
Total EPA (college ability)
Recruiting rating
Yards / reception
Differs from Will on
Weight (lower)
Reception volume (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Charles Kelly
Pass share
33.8%
328 pass / 642 run
Plays / game
69.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
243 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
—
Jacksonville State
2022
—
Jacksonville State
2023era →
Rich Rodriguez
Jacksonville State
2025era →
Charles Kelly
Jacksonville State
Coaching transition mid-career: Rich Rodriguez → Charles Kelly. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLeesburg, VA
Height5'11"
Weight187 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey16
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamJacksonville State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | WR4 | #4495 | #4798 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Marshall | WR4 | #2122 | #2631 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Marshall | WR4 | #2343 | #2152 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2021 | Marshall | WR4 | #2177 | #2133 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | WR | 4 | No. 16 | 5-11 | 187 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 16 | 5-11 | 187 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2023 | Marshall | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 16 | 5-11 | 187 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2022 | Marshall | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 16 | 5-11 | 187 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2021 | Marshall | Conference USA | WR | 4 | No. 16 | 5-11 | 187 lb | Leesburg, VA |