cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / C.J. Mims /North Carolina

C.J. Mims

DL · North Carolina · Jr · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

41 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to North Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to North Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · North Carolina

Returning around him

  • 16% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (20 in / 31 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

North Carolina · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #31 · 2026 recruiting class #41

DL · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

C.J. Mims

  • 3
  • #92
  • 6-2 | 300 lb
  • New Bern, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12459

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1631 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey92
Measurements6-2 | 300 lb
HometownNew Bern, NC
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1631 recruit
Composite rating 0.8344 HighSchool
Signed with East Carolina 2022
Origin West Craven Vanceboro, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8344 No. 1631 recruit | HighSchool | East Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12459Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12418Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to East Carolina

Composite

0.8344

#1631 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on C.J. Mims

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about C.J. Mims

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
41Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
48Tackles
3.0Tackles for loss
2.4Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 41): needs 19.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 41): needs 29.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

C.J. Mims is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on North Carolina's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12459 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 41 20 solo | #872/4942 (82nd pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
41 82nd
SOLO
20 78th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
2.0 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 14-48vs TCU320.00.00
Wk 2W 20-3@ Charlotte110.00.00
Wk 3W 41-6vs Richmond420.00.00
Wk 4L 9-34@ UCF330.00.00
Wk 6L 10-38vs Clemson531.01.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 8L 18-21@ California400.50.00
Wk 9L 16-17vs Virginia411.01.00
Wk 11W 20-15vs Stanford520.00.00
Wk 12L 12-28@ Wake Forest520.00.00
Wk 13L 25-32vs Duke220.00.00
Wk 14L 19-42@ NC State520.00.00
Total41202.52.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina41202.52.0------
2023East Carolina1411.50.5------
Career2 loaded seasons55214.02.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 41 #872/4942 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 20 #1029/4584 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.80.30.30.0
Road5g3.60.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.30.00.00.0
Losses8g3.90.30.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.20.20.20.0
Weeks 8+6g4.20.20.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

53Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#872 / 2975 · 70th pct
41defe
Solo tackles#1029 / 2975 · 64th pct
20defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
C.J. MimsNorth CarolinaJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 75% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 73% simJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 70% sim
Sacks
80
Mims
63
Vaughns
89
Montgomery
89
Jr.
Tackles
70
Mims
99
Vaughns
99
Montgomery
99
Jr.
Solo tackles
64
Mims
96
Vaughns
82
Montgomery
100
Jr.
Tackles for loss
56
Mims
85
Vaughns
85
Montgomery
91
Jr.
QB hurries
22
Mims
22
Vaughns
22
Montgomery
55
Jr.
Passes defended
18
Mims
48
Vaughns
67
Montgomery
48
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mason Narcisse’s 2021 season.

Mason Narcisse

92%match

Louisiana · 2021

#2

Keyon Ware-Hudson

Oregon · 2023

91%
#3

Jaxson Moi

Stanford · 2023

91%
#4

Wykevious Thomas

South Alabama · 2023

90%
#5

Khris Banks

Boston College · 2023

90%

Matches Mason on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Caden Haws's junior season at BYU (2022).

Caden Haws

89%match

BYU · 2022

#2

Jason Williams

Central Michigan · 2023

88%
#3

Khalil Laufau

Houston · 2025

85%
#4

Alex VanSumeren

Michigan State · 2025

84%
#5

Fitzgerald West Jr.

Louisiana · 2025

84%

Matches Caden on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2025
Bill Belichick
North Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mack Brown → Bill Belichick. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNew Bern, NC
Height6'2"
Weight300 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 East Carolina DL3 #12459 #12418 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 East Carolina DL3 #12011 #12297 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 East Carolina DL3 #13523 #13436 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Carolina ACC DL 3 No. 92 | 6-2 | 300 lb | New Bern, NC
2024 East Carolina American Athletic DL 3 No. 92 | 6-2 | 300 lb | New Bern, NC
2023 East Carolina American Athletic DL 3 No. 92 | 6-2 | 300 lb | New Bern, NC
2022 East Carolina American Athletic DL 3 No. 92 | 6-2 | 300 lb | New Bern, NC