cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryson Rodgers /Ohio State

Bryson Rodgers

WR · Ohio State · Jr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

79 REC YDS · 6 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Ohio State → South Florida for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to South Florida

2025Ohio State
2026South Florida

WR · OHIO STATE · BIG TEN

Bryson Rodgers

  • 3
  • #13
  • 6-2 | 192 lb
  • Zephyrhills, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 53rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1596

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#361 national
CFB
College
Ohio State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey13
Measurements6-2 | 192 lb
HometownZephyrhills, FL
Primary teamOhio State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 361 recruit
Composite rating 0.8975 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2023
Origin Wiregrass Ranch Zephyrhills, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.8975 No. 361 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination South Florida 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Ohio State -> South Florida 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 Ohio State -> -- 3-star | 0.8900 | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1596Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1207Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.8975

#361 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryson Rodgers

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

42

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 13 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 13 mentions · belief -15 · "Skull Session: Jeremiah Smith is College Football’s WR1, Bryson Rodgers Still Ha"Own fansRivals: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"RivalsNational: 8 mentions · belief +0 · "It's the locked on podcast network your team every day Get your daily college sp"National
  • Own fans · n=13
  • Rivals · n=3
  • National · n=8

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryson Rodgers

Only 3 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
79Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
26.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
342.3Rec yards
26Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 79): needs 62.1/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 79): needs 92.1/game over remaining 10.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 6): needs 5.4/game over remaining 10.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 6): needs 7.4/game over remaining 10.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.7/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryson Rodgers's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ohio State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1596 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 361 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 6 1 rec TD | #696/1110 (37th pct)
Receiving yards 79 13.2 per catch | #700/1107 (37th pct)
Scrimmage yards 79 Total offensive yardage | #700/1107 (37th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
6 37th
YDS
79 37th
YPR
13.2 61st
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 70-0vs Grambling22211.0021
Wk 11W 34-10@ Purdue23015.0019Season-high 30 yds
Wk 12W 48-10vs UCLA22713.5116
Total67913.2121
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Ohio State12-2HC: Ryan Day · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio State67913.21--
Career1 loaded season67913.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.8% 8.2% pass-game share | #591/1137 (48th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 6 #696/1110 37th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 79 #700/1107 37th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.2 #428/1106 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.2% #591/1137 48th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #741/1105 33rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.5% #264/1137 77th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.3% #524/1137 54th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.4% #594/1137 48th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.8% #645/1137 43rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.4% #787/1137 31st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.9% #898/1137 21st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g2.024.512.20.5
Road1g2.030.015.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g2.026.313.20.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.022.011.00.0
Weeks 8+2g2.028.514.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

17Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#258 / 558 · 53rd pct
13.2rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#532 / 558 · 4th pct
21rece
Rec yards#556 / 558 · 1st pct
79rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
6rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Bryson RodgersOhio StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 45% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 40% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 39% sim
Yards / catch
53
Rodgers
9
III
15
Gibson
40
Walker
Rec TDs
24
Rodgers
24
III
7
Gibson
42
Walker
Long catch
4
Rodgers
16
III
56
Gibson
39
Walker
Rec yards
1
Rodgers
70
III
74
Gibson
89
Walker
Receptions
0
Rodgers
92
III
92
Gibson
95
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Day

Pass share

47.0%

408 pass / 461 run

Plays / game

62.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Day
Ohio State

Played his entire career under Ryan Day.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownZephyrhills, FL
Height6'2"
Weight192 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio State WR3 #1596 #1207 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Ohio State WR3 #2192 #1608 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio State Big Ten WR 3 No. 13 | 6-2 | 192 lb | Zephyrhills, FL
2024 Ohio State Big Ten WR 3 No. 13 | 6-2 | 192 lb | Zephyrhills, FL
2023 Ohio State Big Ten WR 3 No. 13 | 6-2 | 192 lb | Zephyrhills, FL