cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryce Caufield /Oregon State

Bryce Caufield

TE · Oregon State · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

219 REC YDS · 29 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Oregon State

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -15 net (20 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #60 · 2026 recruiting class #64

TE · OREGON STATE · PAC-12

Bryce Caufield

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-4 | 243 lb
  • Lake Oswego, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2917

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
43.02023
2192025

+409%

Up 409% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Oregon State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-4 | 243 lb
HometownLake Oswego, OR
Primary teamOregon State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2917Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2857Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryce Caufield

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryce Caufield

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

1

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #402 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 24th

Why it matters

#402 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 1 TDs on 29 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 1 (24th)

MODERATE · n=29 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#482 / 531
  • Yards per reception#504 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 at Texas Tech — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 14-45

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Texas Tech.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
219Rec yards
29Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
27.4Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
355.9Rec yards
47Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 219): needs 96.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 219): needs 156.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 29): needs 6.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 29): needs 10.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryce Caufield's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2917 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 11 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 29 1 rec TD | #58/475 (88th pct)
Receiving yards 219 7.6 per catch | #98/475 (80th pct)
Scrimmage yards 219 Total offensive yardage | #98/475 (80th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
29 88th
YDS
219 80th
YPR
7.6 27th
TD
1 71st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 15-34vs California294.505
Wk 2L 27-36vs Fresno State3155.007
Wk 3L 14-45@ Texas Tech7436.1110
Wk 4L 7-41@ Oregon22110.5015
Wk 5L 24-27vs Houston44812.0030
Wk 10W 10-7vs Washington State2126.007
Wk 11L 17-21vs Sam Houston3155.0010
Wk 14L 8-32@ Washington State6569.3024Season-high 56 yds
Total292197.3130
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Oregon State8-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State292197.61--
2023Oregon State34314.30--
Career2 loaded seasons322628.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.3% 12.0% pass-game share | #52/468 (89th pct)
Return yards 11 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #140/475 (71st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 29 #58/475 88th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 219 #98/475 80th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #140/475 71st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 7.6 #348/475 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 12.0% #52/468 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 30 #134/475 72nd pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 9.0% #36/468 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.3% #46/468 90th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #50/468 90th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.3% #40/468 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 5.5% #60/468 87th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 5.0% #69/468 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #34/55 40th pct Turnoversvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.819.86.50.0
Road3g5.040.08.60.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g2.012.06.00.0
Losses7g3.929.67.50.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.627.27.60.2
Weeks 8+3g3.727.76.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

34Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / catch (6th).

Receptions#58 / 175 · 66th pct
29rece
Rec yards#98 / 175 · 44th pct
219rece
Long catch#105 / 175 · 39th pct
30rece
Fumbles lost#18 / 33 · 27th pct
1fumb
Rec TDs#126 / 175 · 21st pct
1rece
Yards / catch#162 / 175 · 7th pct
7.6rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Bryce CaufieldOregon StateHayden HansenFlorida· 89% simCaden JensenLouisiana· 88% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 85% sim
Receptions
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
66
Jensen
75
Fortenberry
Rec yards
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
47
Jensen
58
Fortenberry
Long catch
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
64
Jensen
32
Fortenberry
Fumbles lost
27
Caufield
27
Hansen
Rec TDs
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
21
Jensen
43
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
12
Jensen
26
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josiah Miamen’s 2022 season.

Josiah Miamen

88%match

Florida International · 2022

#2

Nick Gallo

Virginia Tech · 2022

86%
#3

Reed Tyler

Arkansas State · 2020

79%
#4

Camm McDonald

Florida State · 2022

82%
#5

Jake Roberts

Baylor · 2023

81%

Matches Josiah on

Height
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Camm McDonald's junior season at Florida State (2022).

Camm McDonald

88%match

Florida State · 2022

#2

Nick Gallo

Virginia Tech · 2022

88%
#3

Riley Smith

Boise State · 2022

82%
#4

Drew Biber

Purdue · 2024

81%
#5

Brady Hunt

South Carolina · 2025

All-MAC
80%

Matches Camm on

Yards / reception
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Bray

Pass share

51.7%

431 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

69.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

369 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2025
Trent Bray
Oregon State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLake Oswego, OR
Height6'4"
Weight243 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon State TE4 #2917 #2857 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Oregon State TE4 #1664 #1517 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Oregon State TE4 #2466 #2030 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon State Pac-12 TE 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Lake Oswego, OR
2024 Oregon State Pac-12 TE 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Lake Oswego, OR
2023 Oregon State Pac-12 TE 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Lake Oswego, OR
2022 Oregon State Pac-12 TE 4 No. 8 | 6-4 | 243 lb | Lake Oswego, OR