cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryan Jackson /USC

Bryan Jackson

RB · USC · So · #21

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

123 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 36 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to USC for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to USC for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · USC

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 3 USC players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (9 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

USC · Last season: 9-4 (AP #16) · Talent rank #17 · 2026 recruiting class #14

RB · USC · BIG TEN

Bryan Jackson

  • 2
  • #21
  • 6-0 | 235 lb
  • McKinney, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

15

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#481

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
1882024
1232025

-35%

Sharp dropoff (-35%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#644 national
CFB
College
USC
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey21
Measurements6-0 | 235 lb
HometownMcKinney, TX
Primary teamUSC

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 644 recruit
Composite rating 0.8803 HighSchool
Signed with USC 2024
Origin McKinney McKinney, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8803 No. 644 recruit | HighSchool | USC

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#481Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#472Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to USC

Composite

0.8803

#644 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryan Jackson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Ran for 35 yards and a touchdown."RivalsNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "[Source](https://x.com/chris_hummer/status/2008914479417852105) Made with the /"National
  • Rivals · n=1
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryan Jackson

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
123Rush yards
36Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
15.4Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
199.9Rush yards
58Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 123): needs 125.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 123): needs 175.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 123): needs 275.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.2/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryan Jackson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For USC, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #481 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 140 123 rush | 17 rec | #408/735 (45th pct)
Rush TD 4 36 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 3.4 Per-rush efficiency | #591/735 (20th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
36 51st
YDS
123 45th
YPC
3.4 20th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
17 27th
YPR
8.5 67th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 73-13vs Missouri State5112.216
Wk 7W 31-13vs Michigan5357.0129Season-high 35 yds
Wk 8L 24-34@ Notre Dame6223.708
Wk 10W 21-17@ Nebraska5204.0010
Wk 11W 38-17vs Northwestern581.605
Wk 12W 26-21vs Iowa4143.529
Wk 13L 27-42@ Oregon5163.206
Wk 14W 29-10vs UCLA1-3-3.000
Total361232.8429
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024USC7-6HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning
2025USC9-4HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025USC361233.44--
2024USC361885.21--
Career2 loaded seasons723114.35--
SeasonTeam
2025USC2178.50--
2024USC1--0.00--
Career2 loaded seasons3175.70--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 17 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 7.2% 14.3% rush share | #421/738 (43rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.12 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #173/362 (52nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 123 #408/735 45th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.4 #591/735 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 17 #400/548 27th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.12 #173/362 52nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 36 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.2% #421/738 43rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 36 #360/739 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 29 #303/733 59th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 17 #264/540 51st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.5 #183/548 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 14.3% #368/738 50th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.4% #377/738 49th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.4% #412/738 44th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.6% #361/738 51st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #600/738 19th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 4.2% #509/738 31st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.1% #495/738 33rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g13.02.30.8
Road3g19.33.60.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g14.22.60.7
Losses2g19.03.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-72g23.04.61.0
Weeks 8+6g12.82.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

15Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Long run#253 / 349 · 27th pct
29rush
Rec yards#303 / 338 · 11th pct
17rece
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Yards / carry#335 / 349 · 4th pct
3.4rush
Rush yards#348 / 349 · 1st pct
123rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
36rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.12Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Bryan JacksonUSCTae MeadowsTroy· 51% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 51% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 50% sim
Rush TDs
50
Jackson
72
Meadows
50
Brunson
62
Wright
Long run
27
Jackson
53
Meadows
73
Brunson
49
Wright
Rec yards
11
Jackson
38
Meadows
3
Brunson
10
Wright
Receptions
5
Jackson
45
Meadows
2
Brunson
32
Wright
Yards / carry
4
Jackson
29
Meadows
41
Brunson
33
Wright
Rush yards
1
Jackson
74
Meadows
80
Brunson
84
Wright
Carries
0
Jackson
84
Meadows
85
Brunson
92
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lincoln Riley

Pass share

50.4%

420 pass / 414 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

313 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Lincoln Riley
USC
2025
Lincoln Riley
USC

Played his entire career under Lincoln Riley.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMcKinney, TX
Height6'0"
Weight235 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 USC RB2 #481 #472 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 USC Big Ten RB 2 No. 21 | 6-0 | 235 lb | McKinney, TX
2024 USC Big Ten RB 2 No. 21 | 6-0 | 235 lb | McKinney, TX