cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bruin Fleischmann /Air Force

Bruin Fleischmann

TE · Air Force · Sr · #88

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

370 REC YDS · 21 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Air Force for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Air Force for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Air Force

Returning around him

  • 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129

TE · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Bruin Fleischmann

  • 4
  • #88
  • 6-5 | 235 lb
  • Pocatello, ID

CFB Zeitgeist Score

81

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5048

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2198 national
CFB
College
Air Force
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey88
Measurements6-5 | 235 lb
HometownPocatello, ID
Primary teamAir Force

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2198 recruit
Composite rating 0.7833 HighSchool
Signed with Air Force 2022
Origin Century Pocatello, ID, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 2-star | 0.7833 No. 2198 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5048Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5654Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (370).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Air Force

Composite

0.7833

#2198 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bruin Fleischmann

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bruin Fleischmann

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

17.6

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #26 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 95th

Why it matters

#26 of 531 All FBS WRs at 17.6 yards per reception (21 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 17.6 (95th)

MODERATE · n=21 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#55 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#335 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 6 at Navy — 166 ypr

Result L 31-34

The week the volume broke through — put up 166 yds at Navy.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
370Rec yards
21Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
33.6Rec yards
2Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
437.3Rec yards
25Receptions
7Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 370): needs 165/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 370): needs 315/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 21): needs 19.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 21): needs 29.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 1/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bruin Fleischmann's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Air Force, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5048 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 21 6 rec TD | #93/475 (81st pct)
Receiving yards 370 17.6 per catch | #48/475 (90th pct)
Scrimmage yards 370 Total offensive yardage | #48/475 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
21 81st
YDS
370 90th
YPR
17.6 95th
TD
6 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 49-13vs Bucknell177.007
Wk 3L 30-49@ Utah State2126.007
Wk 4L 37-49vs Boise State155.015
Wk 5L 35-44vs Hawai'i2199.5114
Wk 6L 31-34@ Navy616627.7168Season-high 166 yds
Wk 7L 48-51@ UNLV23517.5118
Wk 8W 24-21vs Wyoming155.005
Wk 10L 17-20vs Army12121.0021
Wk 11W 26-16@ San José State22914.5018
Wk 12L 16-26@ UConn11010.0010
Wk 14W 42-21@ Colorado State26130.52552 TD catches
Total2137014.0668
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Air Force2137017.66--
Career1 loaded season2137017.66--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.9% 17.6% pass-game share | #13/468 (97th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #6/475 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 21 #93/475 81st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 370 #48/475 90th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #6/475 99th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 17.6 #25/475 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 17.6% #13/468 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 68 #10/475 98th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.3% #104/468 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 6.0% #104/468 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.0% #186/468 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.9% #131/468 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.3% #184/468 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 2.6% #266/468 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.211.49.50.4
Road6g2.552.217.70.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.525.514.20.5
Losses7g2.138.313.80.6

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.340.712.10.7
Weeks 8+5g1.425.216.20.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

81All-Conference
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (99th). Strength: rec tds (94th).

Yards / catch#2 / 175 · 99th pct
17.6rece
Rec TDs#6 / 175 · 95th pct
6rece
Long catch#10 / 175 · 95th pct
68rece
Rec yards#48 / 175 · 73rd pct
370rece
Receptions#93 / 175 · 45th pct
21rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Bruin FleischmannAir ForceJoe RoyerCincinnati· 87% simLake McReeUSC· 86% simPeter ClarkeTemple· 86% sim
Yards / catch
99
Fleischmann
91
Royer
95
McRee
97
Clarke
Rec TDs
95
Fleischmann
80
Royer
80
McRee
95
Clarke
Long catch
95
Fleischmann
97
Royer
92
McRee
81
Clarke
Rec yards
73
Fleischmann
82
Royer
87
McRee
89
Clarke
Receptions
45
Fleischmann
66
Royer
69
McRee
69
Clarke

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Move TE

Lined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gerrit Prince’s 2021 season.

Gerrit Prince

42%match

UAB · 2021

All-Conference USA
#2

Rohan Jones

Arkansas · 2025

36%
#3

Daniel Imatorbhebhe

Kansas State · 2021

25%
#4

Holden Staes

Notre Dame · 2023

23%
#5

Jack Velling

Oregon State · 2022

20%

Matches Gerrit on

Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Gerrit on

Yards / reception (higher)
Reception volume (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Holden Staes's sophomore season at Notre Dame (2023).

Holden Staes

67%match

Notre Dame · 2023

#2

David Cormier

Air Force · 2022

63%
#3

Gerrit Prince

UAB · 2021

All-Conference USA
62%
#4

Carsen Ryan

UCLA · 2023

NFL Rd 7
59%
#5

C.J. Riley

NC State · 2021

57%

Matches Holden on

TD rate
Height
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Holden on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Troy Calhoun

Pass share

20.0%

163 pass / 650 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.6%

151 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force

Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPocatello, ID
Height6'5"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey88

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Air Force TE4 #5048 #5654 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Air Force TE4 #4140 #3857 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Air Force Mountain West TE 4 No. 88 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Pocatello, ID
2024 Air Force Mountain West TE 4 No. 88 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Pocatello, ID
2023 Air Force Mountain West TE 4 No. 88 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Pocatello, ID