cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brian Allen /Iowa

Brian Allen

DE · Iowa · Jr · #90

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

NOW IN NFLLos Angeles — drafted 2018, Rd 4, Pick 11, #111 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Los AngelesEntering 9th NFL season

#111Rd 4 · Pick 11
Los AngelesEntering 9th NFL season

DE · IOWA · BIG TEN

Brian Allen

  • 3
  • #90
  • 6-3 | 264 lb
  • Lake In The H, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7211

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#588 national
CFB
College
Iowa
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #111
Los Angeles &middot; 2018

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class3
Jersey90
Measurements6-3 | 264 lb
HometownLake In The H, IL
Primary teamIowa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 588 recruit
Composite rating 0.8789 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin St. Thomas More Woodstock, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8789 No. 588 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7211Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7637Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8789

#588 national

NFL Draft

2018 · Rd 4, Pick 11

#111 overall · Los Angeles

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brian Allen

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brian Allen

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
16Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
21Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 21.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 28/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.8/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 3.2/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brian Allen is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Iowa's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 0.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7211 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.5 sacks | 0.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 7 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 0.5 Backfield disruption | #2658/4972 (47th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
0.5 47th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs UAlbany110.00.00
Wk 2L 13-16@ Iowa State100.00.00
Wk 4W 38-28@ Rutgers310.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 5L 15-20vs Indiana210.00.00
Wk 7W 37-0@ Wisconsin100.00.01
Wk 8W 25-24vs Penn State320.00.00
Wk 9W 41-3vs Minnesota000.00.00
Wk 13W 20-17vs Michigan State110.00.00
Wk 14W 40-16@ Nebraska210.00.00
BowlW 34-27@ Vanderbilt200.50.50
Total1670.50.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Iowa10-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Iowa8-5HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy
2025Iowa9-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa1670.50.51----
2024Iowa17134.53.01----
2023Iowa1--0.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons34205.03.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.5 #2658/4972 47th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.40.00.00.0
Road5g1.80.10.10.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g1.60.10.10.1
Losses2g1.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.70.10.10.2
Weeks 8+4g1.50.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

40Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (16th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe
Tackles for loss#2332 / 2975 · 18th pct
0.5defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Brian AllenIowaBlake FletcherAir Force· 53% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 52% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 49% sim
QB hurries
72
Allen
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
72
Llewellyn
Sacks
51
Allen
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
24
Llewellyn
Passes defended
48
Allen
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
86
Llewellyn
Forced fumbles
47
Allen
47
Martin
47
Llewellyn
Tackles
21
Allen
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Llewellyn
Tackles for loss
18
Allen
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
80
Llewellyn
Solo tackles
17
Allen
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
95
Llewellyn

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kameron Butler’s 2024 season.

Kameron Butler

89%match

Virginia · 2024

#2

Demitri Washington

Boise State · 2021

84%
#3

Juwuan Jones

Western Kentucky · 2022

83%
#4

Zach Edwards

Troy · 2023

81%
#5

Kristin Booth

Southern Miss · 2022

80%

Matches Kameron on

Height
Weight
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Edwin Kolenge's junior season at Boston College (2025).

Edwin Kolenge

93%match

Boston College · 2025

#2

Trenton Simpson

Clemson · 2022

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
84%
#3

Jordan Hall

Michigan State · 2025

83%
#4

Michael Montgomery

Southern Miss · 2025

82%
#5

Jared Lloyd

Missouri State · 2025

82%

Matches Edwin on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirk Ferentz

Pass share

36.6%

286 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

60.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

228 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2024
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2025
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa

Played his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLake In The H, IL
Height6'3"
Weight264 lb
Class3
PositionDE
Jersey90

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa DE3 #7211 #7637 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Iowa DE3 #8926 #8454 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Iowa DE3 #9726 #9312 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa Big Ten DE 3 No. 90 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Lake In The H, IL
2024 Iowa Big Ten DE 3 No. 90 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Lake In The H, IL
2023 Iowa Big Ten DE 3 No. 90 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Lake In The H, IL
2022 Iowa Big Ten DE 3 No. 90 | 6-3 | 264 lb | Lake In The H, IL