cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brendon Lewis /Memphis

Brendon Lewis

QB · Memphis · Sr · #2

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Brendon Lewis arrives at Memphis with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

2,673PASS YDS16PASS TD660RUSH YDS

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.47

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 118 plays

Read the story so far

Brendon Lewis arrived as a 3-star prospect, the No.465 recruit nationally. He lines up at QB for Memphis.

On the field, the headline is 2,673 pass yds, with 16 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Seth Henigan (3-star).

The number to watch: +0.47 — rushing value · wepa.

QB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromSeth Henigan 3★
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 118 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Memphis for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Memphis

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Memphis player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (51 in / 47 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Memphis · Last season: 8-5 (AP #22) · Talent rank #59 · 2026 recruiting class #60

QB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Brendon Lewis

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-3 | 210 lb
  • Melissa, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

68

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#102

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
1,5402021
92.02022
1,3132023
2,2902024
2,6732025

+74%

Up 74% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#465 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-3 | 210 lb
HometownMelissa, TX
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 465 recruit
Composite rating 0.8847 HighSchool
Signed with Colorado 2020
Origin Melissa Melissa, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8847 No. 465 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Memphis 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 20, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Nevada -> Memphis 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2023 Colorado -> Nevada 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#102Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#192Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2673 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (660).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Colorado

Composite

0.8847

#465 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brendon Lewis

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brendon Lewis

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 13g
2,673Pass yards
16Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
205.6Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Final
2,673Pass yards
16Pass TDs
7INT

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Brendon Lewis's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Memphis, he has 2,673 passing yards and 16 touchdown passes, but he also adds 660 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #102 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 55.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,673 16 TD | 7 INT | #55/382 (86th pct)
Completion rate 68.8% 253/368 completions | #76/383 (80th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.3 Explosiveness through the air | #145/382 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
253 92nd
ATT
368 89th
CMP%
68.8% 80th
Y/A
7.3 62nd

Passing Production

YDS
2,673 86th
TD
16 85th
INT
7 23rd

Rushing

CAR
151 96th
YDS
660 96th
YPC
4.4 71st
TD
9 95th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga22/28199117.173.9
Wk 2W 38-16@ Georgia State16/20196009.885.3
Wk 3W 28-7@ Troy17/27213107.948.2
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas15/30199116.661.5
Wk 5W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic13/191962010.375.1
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa22/30266328.976.13 TD passes
Wk 8L 24-31@ UAB9/1068006.837.3
Wk 9W 34-31vs South Florida27/44307207.058.0Clean 2-TD game
Wk 10W 38-14@ Rice18/222250010.291.6
Wk 11L 32-38vs Tulane29/34317219.363.1Season-high 317 yds
Wk 12L 27-31@ East Carolina32/43209114.980.1
Wk 14L 17-28vs Navy19/36172204.835.9
BowlL 7-31@ NC State14/25106114.225.6
Total253/36826731677.562.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Colorado4-8HC: Karl Dorrell · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2022Colorado1-11HC: Mike Sanford Jr. · Balanced, slow tempo
2023Nevada2-10HC: Ken Wilson · Run-leaning
2024Nevada3-10HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis25336868.8%2,6737.3167140.3----
2024Nevada21131267.6%2,2907.3167141.7----
2023Nevada13123655.5%1,3135.626100.0----
2022Colorado152462.5%923.80094.7----
2021Colorado14925758.0%1,5406.0103118.8----
Career5 loaded seasons7591,19763.4%7,9086.64423127.2----
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis1516604.49--
2024Nevada1577754.98--
2023Nevada1204954.14--
2022Colorado12433.60--
2021Colorado981881.92--
Career5 loaded seasons5382,1614.023--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 660 9 rush TD | #17/408 (96th pct)
Usage 55.3% 85.6% pass share | 27.5% rush share | #37/428 (92nd pct)
Passing WEPA +0.21 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #139/200 (31st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,673 #55/382 86th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 16 #63/407 85th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 253 #31/383 92nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 68.8% #76/383 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.3 #145/382 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 660 #17/408 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.21 #139/200 31st pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 365 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 55.3% #37/428 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 368 #44/407 89th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 7 #316/407 23rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 151 #19/408 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 27 #122/391 69th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #23/408 95th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #120/407 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 85.6% #92/428 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 66.2% #67/428 85th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 63.2% #12/428 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 58.3% #113/428 74th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 50.2% #31/428 93rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 48.8% #43/428 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 27.5% #22/428 95th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.47 #3/140 99th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 118 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g2431.87.30.8
Road7g1730.77.70.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins8g2251.28.50.5
Losses5g1741.26.00.6

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g1961.37.80.7
Weeks 8+6g2161.27.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

68Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (90th). Strength: completion % (90th).

Rush yards#17 / 183 · 91st pct
660rush
Completion %#17 / 183 · 91st pct
68.8%pass
Rush TDs#21 / 183 · 86th pct
9rush
Pass yards#55 / 183 · 70th pct
2673pass
Pass TDs#63 / 183 · 64th pct
16pass
Yards / att#76 / 183 · 57th pct
7.3pass
Interceptions#92 / 183 · 44th pct
7pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

107/156 (68.6%) · 8 TD · 4 INT

Short

0–9 yds
52%of completions
56 comp5.0 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
31%of completions
33 comp13.5 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds
17%of completions
18 comp34.6 yds avg3 TD

Overall 68.6% completion on 156 attempts · 18 deep completions averaging 34.6 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.210
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.21Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.47Elite (≥p90) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Brendon LewisMemphisHaynes KingGeorgia Tech· 88% simGunner StocktonGeorgia· 88% simBear BachmeierBYU· 87% sim
Rush yards
91
Lewis
96
King
80
Stockton
83
Bachmeier
Completion %
91
Lewis
95
King
94
Stockton
69
Bachmeier
Rush TDs
86
Lewis
97
King
91
Stockton
93
Bachmeier
Pass yards
70
Lewis
78
King
77
Stockton
81
Bachmeier
Pass TDs
64
Lewis
58
King
85
Stockton
60
Bachmeier
Yards / att
57
Lewis
83
King
63
Stockton
73
Bachmeier
Interceptions
44
Lewis
56
King
67
Stockton
44
Bachmeier
Fumbles lost
38
Lewis
38
King
38
Stockton
18
Bachmeier

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Surgeon

High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brendon Lewis’s 2024 season.

Brendon Lewis

87%match

Nevada · 2024

#2

Bishop Davenport

South Alabama · 2025

74%
#3

Dustin Crum

Kent State · 2021

All-MAC
70%
#4

Gunnar Holmberg

Duke · 2021

68%
#5

Riley Leonard

Duke · 2022

NFL Rd 6
68%

Matches Brendon on

Yards / attempt
Completion %
Rush yards / carry

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Cameran Brown’s path through Georgia State.

Cameran Brown

94%match

Georgia State · 2025

#2

Parker McKinney

Eastern Kentucky · 2023

91%
#3

Jalon Jones

Charlotte · 2023

87%
#4

Ken Seals

TCU · 2025

85%
#5

Tony Muskett

Virginia · 2024

84%

Matches Cameran on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Braylon Braxton's graduate season at Southern Miss (2025).

Braylon Braxton

46%match

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Jacob Zeno

UAB · 2024

46%
#3

Brady Cook

Missouri · 2024

46%
#4

Grayson James

Boston College · 2025

All-ACC
46%
#5

Taisun Phommachanh

Massachusetts · 2024

45%

Matches Braylon on

Height

Differs from Braylon on

Weight (lower)
TD rate (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2022
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMelissa, TX
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Nevada QB4 #102 #192 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Nevada QB4 #1296 #1914 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Colorado QB4 #1321 #1737 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Colorado QB4 #283 #414 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Melissa, TX
2024 Nevada Mountain West QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Melissa, TX
2023 Nevada Mountain West QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Melissa, TX
2022 Colorado Pac-12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Melissa, TX
2021 Colorado Pac-12 QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Melissa, TX