cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brayden Loftin /Kansas State

Brayden Loftin

TE · Kansas State · Jr · #87

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

55 REC YDS · 6 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Kansas State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35

TE · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Brayden Loftin

  • 3
  • #87
  • 6-5 | 230 lb
  • Omaha, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

7

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2372

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1161 national
CFB
College
Kansas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey87
Measurements6-5 | 230 lb
HometownOmaha, NE
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1161 recruit
Composite rating 0.8533 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas State 2022
Origin Lewis Central Council Bluffs, IA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8533 No. 1161 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2372Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2102Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas State

Composite

0.8533

#1161 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brayden Loftin

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Kansas State football faces a dramatic turning point as head coach Chris Kleiman"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brayden Loftin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
55Rec yards
6Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
9.2Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
119.2Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 55): needs 92.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 55): needs 135/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 6): needs 7.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 6): needs 10.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.4/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brayden Loftin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2372 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 6 0 rec TD | #245/475 (49th pct)
Receiving yards 55 9.2 per catch | #260/475 (45th pct)
Scrimmage yards 55 Total offensive yardage | #260/475 (45th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
6 49th
YDS
55 45th
YPR
9.2 44th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 21-24vs Iowa State11818.0018Season-high 18 yds
Wk 1W 38-35vs North Dakota144.004Season-high 18 yds
Wk 2L 21-24vs Army199.009
Wk 6L 34-35@ Baylor166.006
Wk 9W 42-17@ Kansas199.009
Wk 14W 24-14vs Colorado199.009
Total6559.2018
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State6559.20--
Career1 loaded season6559.20--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.1% 6.1% pass-game share | #223/468 (53rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 6 #245/475 49th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 55 #260/475 45th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 9.2 #266/475 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 6.1% #223/468 53rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 18 #281/475 41st pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.7% #148/468 69th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.2% #227/468 52nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.1% #213/468 55th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.0% #224/468 52nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.8% #282/468 40th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 2.0% #338/468 28th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.010.010.00.0
Road2g1.07.57.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.07.37.30.0
Losses3g1.011.011.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.09.29.20.0
Weeks 8+2g1.09.09.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

7Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#130 / 175 · 26th pct
9.2rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#168 / 175 · 4th pct
18rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
55rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
6rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Brayden LoftinKansas StateBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 56% simLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 54% sim
Yards / catch
26
Loftin
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
53
Lindenmeyer
Rec TDs
7
Loftin
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Lindenmeyer
Long catch
4
Loftin
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
23
Lindenmeyer
Rec yards
0
Loftin
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
63
Lindenmeyer
Receptions
0
Loftin
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
66
Lindenmeyer

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOmaha, NE
Height6'5"
Weight230 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey87

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas State TE3 #2372 #2102 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas State TE3 #2916 #2577 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Kansas State TE3 #2491 #2012 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 87 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2024 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 87 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2023 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 87 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2022 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 87 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE