cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brashard Smith /SMU

Brashard Smith

RB · SMU · Sr · #1

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLKansas City — drafted 2025, Rd 7, Pick 12, #228 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Kansas CityEntering 2nd NFL season

#228Rd 7 · Pick 12
Kansas CityEntering 2nd NFL season

RB · SMU · ACC

Brashard Smith

  • 4
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 196 lb
  • Richmond Heights, FL

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#21

1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 3 · Recognized

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2021

Miami · RB

2022

Miami · RB

2023

Miami · RB

2024

SMU · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 7, Pick 12 · #228 overall · Kansas City

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2024
23.02021
22.02022
1322023
1,3302024

+5683%

Up 5683% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#206 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 · #228
Kansas City · 2025

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 196 lb
HometownRichmond Heights, FL
Primary teamSMU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 206 recruit
Composite rating 0.9198 HighSchool
Signed with Miami 2021
Origin Miami Palmetto Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9198 No. 206 recruit | HighSchool | Miami

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#21Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#22Where the full season sim points
Win probability1.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability42.3%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Miami

Composite

0.9198

#206 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 7, Pick 12

#228 overall · Kansas City

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brashard Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brashard Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brashard Smith is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,330 rushing yards, 39 catches, and 318 return yards for SMU. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #21 1.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 29.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 206 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,657 1,330 rush | 327 rec | #10/735 (99th pct)
Rush TD 14 234 carries | #13/739 (98th pct)
Yards/carry 5.7 Per-rush efficiency | #152/735 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
234 99th
YDS
1,330 99th
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
14 98th

Receiving

REC
39 99th
YDS
327 98th
YPR
8.4 66th
TD
4 100th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Miami7-5HC: Jess Simpson · Balanced
2022Miami5-7HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024SMU2341,3305.714--
2023Miami913214.71--
2022Miami3227.30--
2021Miami6233.80--
Career4 loaded seasons2521,5076.015--
SeasonTeam
2024SMU393278.44--
2023Miami2226312.02--
2022Miami333089.30--
2021Miami1419914.22--
Career4 loaded seasons1081,09710.28--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 39 327 rec yds | #8/552 (99th pct)
Usage 29.0% 45.4% rush share | #16/738 (98th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.24 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #26/362 (93rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,330 #10/735 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 14 #13/739 98th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.7 #152/735 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 39 #8/552 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 327 #13/548 98th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.24 #26/362 93rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 237 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 29.0% #16/738 98th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 234 #10/739 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 71 #58/733 92nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 33 #106/540 81st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.4 #190/548 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #2/552 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 320 #17/200 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 22.9 #44/199 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 14 #14/206 94th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 1 #20/29 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return avg -2.0 #27/27 4th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Punt return yards -2 #27/27 4th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 45.4% #30/738 96th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 35.1% #10/738 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 34.2% #16/738 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 29.3% #23/738 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 17.0% #48/738 94th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 16.2% #49/738 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 10.2% #30/738 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rhett Lashlee

Pass share

53.7%

460 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

65.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

333 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

2 coaches
2021
Jim Leavitt
SMU
2022
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
era →
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2024
Rhett Lashlee
SMU

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Leavitt → Rhett Lashlee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRichmond Heights, FL
Height5'10"
Weight196 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-ACC all_conference SMU | ACC SPEC

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 SMU RB4 #21 #22 1.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Miami RB4 #467 #467 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Miami RB4 #1575 #1954 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Miami RB4 #1542 #1678 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 SMU ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Richmond Heights, FL
2023 Miami ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Richmond Heights, FL
2022 Miami ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Richmond Heights, FL
2021 Miami ACC RB 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Richmond Heights, FL