cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brandon Cleveland /NC State

Brandon Cleveland

DT · NC State · Sr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

36 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Las Vegas — Rd 7, Pick 13, #229 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Las Vegas2026 NFL rookie season

#229Rd 7 · Pick 13
Las Vegas2026 NFL rookie season

DT · NC STATE · ACC

Brandon Cleveland

  • 4
  • #44
  • 6-4 | 315 lb
  • Tampa, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11680

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#384 national
CFB
College
NC State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #229
Las Vegas &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey44
Measurements6-4 | 315 lb
HometownTampa, FL
Primary teamNC State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 384 recruit
Composite rating 0.8933 HighSchool
Signed with NC State 2022
Origin Carrollwood Day Tampa, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8933 No. 384 recruit | HighSchool | NC State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11680Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11747Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to NC State

Composite

0.8933

#384 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 7, Pick 13

#229 overall · Las Vegas

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brandon Cleveland

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brandon Cleveland

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
36Tackles
7Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
39Tackles
7.6Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 36): needs 44/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 36): needs 64/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brandon Cleveland is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on NC State's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11680 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 384 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 36 12 solo | #1060/4942 (79th pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
36 79th
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
3 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 24-17vs East Carolina100.00.00
Wk 2W 35-31vs Virginia100.50.00
Wk 4L 33-45@ Duke522.51.002.5 TFL
Wk 5L 21-23vs Virginia Tech410.00.00
Wk 6W 56-10vs Campbell321.00.00
Wk 7L 7-36@ Notre Dame411.00.00
Wk 9L 34-53@ Pittsburgh630.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 10W 48-36vs Georgia Tech200.00.00
Wk 12L 7-41@ Miami410.00.00
Wk 13W 21-11vs Florida State310.00.00
Wk 14W 42-19vs North Carolina211.51.00
BowlW 31-7vs Memphis100.50.00
Total36127.02.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
2023NC State9-4HC: Dave Doeren · Run-leaning
2025NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025NC State36127.02.0------
2023NC State28134.53.0------
2022NC State5--1.00.5------
Career3 loaded seasons692512.55.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 36 #1060/4942 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g2.10.40.10.0
Road4g4.80.90.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g1.90.50.10.0
Losses5g4.60.70.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.70.80.10.0
Weeks 8+5g3.40.30.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

65Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (89th). Strength: qb hurries (81st). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#1060 / 2975 · 64th pct
36defe
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Brandon ClevelandNC StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 73% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 71% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 71% sim
Tackles for loss
90
Cleveland
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
91
Davey
QB hurries
82
Cleveland
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Davey
Sacks
80
Cleveland
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
63
Davey
Tackles
64
Cleveland
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Solo tackles
40
Cleveland
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Passes defended
18
Cleveland
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
18
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Fabien Lovett Sr.’s 2023 season.

Fabien Lovett Sr.

91%match

Florida State · 2023

#2

Jordan Jefferson

LSU · 2023

91%
#3

Jaray Bledsoe

Mississippi State · 2025

88%
#4

Lee Hunter

UCF · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 17
85%
#5

Bryson Eason

Tennessee · 2023

85%

Matches Fabien on

Weight
Height
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Fabien Lovett Sr.'s senior season at Florida State (2023).

Fabien Lovett Sr.

95%match

Florida State · 2023

#2

Jordan Jefferson

LSU · 2023

94%
#3

Bryson Eason

Tennessee · 2023

90%
#4

Josaih Hayes

Kentucky · 2023

88%
#5

Myles Murphy

North Carolina · 2023

87%

Matches Fabien on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Doeren

Pass share

49.7%

411 pass / 416 run

Plays / game

63.6

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

307 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dave Doeren
NC State
2023
Dave Doeren
NC State
2025
Dave Doeren
NC State

Played his entire career under Dave Doeren.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTampa, FL
Height6'4"
Weight315 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 NC State DT4 #11680 #11747 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 NC State DT4 #5555 #6148 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 NC State DT4 #9356 #9208 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 NC State ACC DT 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Tampa, FL
2024 NC State ACC DT 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Tampa, FL
2023 NC State ACC DT 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Tampa, FL
2022 NC State ACC DT 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Tampa, FL