cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brandon Chatman /Navy

Brandon Chatman

WR · Navy · Sr · #24

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

159 REC YDS · 17 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Navy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Navy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Navy

Returning around him

  • 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Navy players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (0 in / 3 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Navy · Last season: 11-2 (AP #22) · 2026 recruiting class #131

WR · NAVY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Brandon Chatman

  • 4
  • #24
  • 5-9 | 174 lb
  • Coral Springs, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

24

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#166

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
2542023
2572024
1592025

-37%

Sharp dropoff (-37%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Navy
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey24
Measurements5-9 | 174 lb
HometownCoral Springs, FL
Primary teamNavy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#166Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#181Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brandon Chatman

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Navy Football Interview: Brandon Chatman &nbsp;&nbsp; Naval Academy Athletics"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brandon Chatman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
159Rec yards
17Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
12.2Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
159Rec yards
17Receptions
0Rec TDs

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Brandon Chatman is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #166 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 50 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 17 0 rec TD | #454/1110 (59th pct)
Receiving yards 159 9.4 per catch | #528/1107 (52nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 590 Total offensive yardage | #528/1107 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
17 59th
YDS
159 52nd
YPR
9.4 28th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
57 99th
YDS
431 99th
YPC
7.6 77th
TD
3 100th

Returns

PR YDS
50 53rd
PR AVG
8.3 55th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs VMI
Wk 2W 38-24vs UAB12020.0020
Wk 3W 42-23@ Tulsa177.007
Wk 5W 21-13vs Rice12626.0026
Wk 6W 34-31vs Air Force4184.509
Wk 7W 32-31@ Temple11010.0010
Wk 9W 42-32vs Florida Atlantic5438.6023Season-high 43 yds
Wk 10L 17-31@ North Texas
Wk 11L 10-49@ Notre Dame
Wk 12W 41-38vs South Florida273.505
Wk 14W 28-17@ Memphis12727.0027
Wk 16W 17-16vs Army
BowlW 35-13@ Cincinnati111.001
Total1715912.0027
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Navy5-7HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Navy10-3HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
2025Navy11-2HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Navy171599.40--
2024Navy1825714.34--
2023Navy1925413.40--
Career3 loaded seasons5467012.44--
SeasonTeam
2025Navy57431--50--
2024Navy4825023----
2023Navy42165------
Career3 loaded seasons1478462350--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.7% 11.6% pass-game share | #400/1137 (65th pct)
Return yards 50 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 17 #454/1110 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 159 #528/1107 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.4 #799/1106 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 50 #106/224 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.6% #400/1137 65th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 431 #3/397 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 57 #4/407 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 36 #24/346 93rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 7.6 #90/393 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 3 #2/411 100th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 27 #636/1105 43rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 8.3 #101/222 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 6 #113/237 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 13.1% #29/1137 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 9.7% #75/1137 93rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.7% #163/1137 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 8.0% #10/1137 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.3% #368/1137 68th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.3% #673/1137 41st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.3% #795/1137 30th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Value Rushing WEPA +0.23 #1/8 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 52 weighted playsvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g1.916.312.50.0
Road6g0.77.511.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins11g1.514.512.00.0
Losses2g

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g1.311.711.40.0
Weeks 8+6g1.312.813.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

24Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (99th). Strength: rush tds (98th). Concern: rec tds (6th).

Rush yards#3 / 287 · 99th pct
431rush
Rush TDs#2 / 287 · 99th pct
3rush
Receptions#454 / 558 · 18th pct
17rece
Yards / catch#488 / 558 · 12th pct
9.4rece
Long catch#495 / 558 · 11th pct
27rece
Rec yards#512 / 558 · 8th pct
159rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.23Elite (≥p90) (n=2)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Brandon ChatmanNavyAaron TurnerRice· 55% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 52% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 49% sim
Rush yards
99
Chatman
98
Turner
76
Gibson
89
Jr.
Rush TDs
99
Chatman
99
Turner
39
Gibson
39
Jr.
Receptions
18
Chatman
92
Turner
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
Yards / catch
12
Chatman
1
Turner
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
Long catch
11
Chatman
65
Turner
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
Rec yards
8
Chatman
48
Turner
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Chatman
68
Turner
7
Gibson
24
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dior Scott’s 2022 season.

Dior Scott

82%match

Hawai'i · 2022

#2

Christian Leary

Western Michigan · 2025

82%
#3

Brandon Chatman

Navy · 2023

79%
#4

Omarion Dollison

South Florida · 2021

79%
#5

Bryce Farrell

Stanford · 2023

76%

Matches Dior on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Dior on

Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Garrett Cody’s path through Fordham.

Garrett Cody

99%match

Fordham · 2024

#2

Owen Glascoe

Long Island University · 2023

98%
#3

Chedon James

Incarnate Word · 2025

96%
#4

Efton Chism III

Eastern Washington · 2024

96%
#5

Landon Wolf

Oklahoma State · 2020

96%

Matches Garrett on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Dior Scott's junior season at Hawai'i (2022).

Dior Scott

89%match

Hawai'i · 2022

#2

Kevin Davis

Miami (OH) · 2022

83%
#3

Courtney Reese

UNLV · 2022

83%
#4

Malik Jackson

UL Monroe · 2022

82%
#5

Antonio Jones

Temple · 2024

80%

Matches Dior on

Weight
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Newberry

Pass share

22.5%

182 pass / 626 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

138 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Brian Newberry
Navy
2024
Brian Newberry
Navy
2025
Brian Newberry
Navy

Played his entire career under Brian Newberry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCoral Springs, FL
Height5'9"
Weight174 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey24

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Navy WR4 #166 #181 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Navy WR4 #2548 #3128 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Navy WR4 #4738 #4945 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Navy American Athletic WR 4 No. 24 | 5-9 | 174 lb | Coral Springs, FL
2024 Navy American Athletic WR 4 No. 24 | 5-9 | 174 lb | Coral Springs, FL
2023 Navy American Athletic WR 4 No. 24 | 5-9 | 174 lb | Coral Springs, FL
2022 Navy American Athletic WR 4 No. 24 | 5-9 | 174 lb | Coral Springs, FL