cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Blake Herold /Kansas

Blake Herold

DT · Kansas · So · #94

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

43 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Kansas

Returning around him

  • 41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Kansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (31 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #48 · 2026 recruiting class #72

DT · KANSAS · BIG 12

Blake Herold

  • 2
  • #94
  • 6-3 | 290 lb
  • Shenandoah, IA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11224

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1745 national
CFB
College
Kansas
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class2
Jersey94
Measurements6-3 | 290 lb
HometownShenandoah, IA
Primary teamKansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1745 recruit
Composite rating 0.8367 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas 2023
Origin Shenandoah Shenandoah, IA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8367 No. 1745 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11224Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11692Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas

Composite

0.8367

#1745 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Blake Herold

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Blake Herold

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
43Tackles
5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
47Tackles
5.4Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 43): needs 37/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 43): needs 57/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Blake Herold is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Kansas's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11224 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 5.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 43 19 solo | #804/4942 (84th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
43 84th
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 31-7vs Fresno State110.00.00
Wk 1W 46-7vs Wagner111.00.00
Wk 2L 31-42@ Missouri410.00.00
Wk 4W 41-10vs West Virginia701.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 5L 34-37vs Cincinnati521.51.01
Wk 6W 27-20@ UCF440.00.00
Wk 7L 17-42@ Texas Tech430.00.00
Wk 9L 17-42vs Kansas State740.00.01
Wk 10W 38-21vs Oklahoma State111.01.00
Wk 11L 20-24@ Arizona100.00.00
Wk 13L 14-38@ Iowa State710.50.01
Wk 14L 21-31vs Utah110.00.00
Total43195.02.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas43195.02.03----
2024Kansas20132.51.0------
Career2 loaded seasons63327.53.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 43 #804/4942 84th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.30.60.30.3
Road5g4.00.10.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g2.80.60.20.0
Losses7g4.10.30.10.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.70.50.10.1
Weeks 8+5g3.40.30.20.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

74Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles#804 / 2975 · 73rd pct
43defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Blake HeroldKansasJordan PollardSan José State· 82% simMatt RoseStanford· 82% simRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 82% sim
QB hurries
88
Herold
88
Pollard
82
Rose
88
Biles
Sacks
80
Herold
85
Pollard
89
Rose
95
Biles
Tackles for loss
80
Herold
77
Pollard
93
Rose
100
Biles
Passes defended
78
Herold
86
Pollard
78
Rose
86
Biles
Tackles
73
Herold
99
Pollard
99
Rose
98
Biles
Solo tackles
62
Herold
99
Pollard
97
Rose
91
Biles
Forced fumbles
47
Herold
47
Pollard
47
Rose
47
Biles

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Sean FitzSimmons’s 2024 season.

Sean FitzSimmons

90%match

Pittsburgh · 2024

#2

Amari Comier

San Diego State · 2025

86%
#3

Sean FitzSimmons

Pittsburgh · 2025

85%
#4

Corey McIntyre Jr.

West Virginia · 2025

84%
#5

Daevin Hobbs

Tennessee · 2024

83%

Matches Sean on

Sack rate
Class year
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Corey McIntyre Jr.'s sophomore season at West Virginia (2025).

Corey McIntyre Jr.

84%match

West Virginia · 2025

#2

Ahmad Breaux

LSU · 2025

83%
#3

Caleb Moore

Georgia Southern · 2025

83%
#4

Jaiden Grimes

Kennesaw State · 2025

82%
#5

Takari Hickle

Oregon State · 2025

82%

Matches Corey on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Leipold

Pass share

45.1%

344 pass / 419 run

Plays / game

63.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas

Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownShenandoah, IA
Height6'3"
Weight290 lb
Class2
PositionDT
Jersey94

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas DT2 #11224 #11692 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas DT2 #12361 #12027 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas Big 12 DT 2 No. 94 | 6-3 | 290 lb | Shenandoah, IA
2024 Kansas Big 12 DT 2 No. 94 | 6-3 | 290 lb | Shenandoah, IA
2023 Kansas Big 12 DT 2 No. 94 | 6-3 | 290 lb | Shenandoah, IA