cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bishop Fitzgerald /USC

Bishop Fitzgerald

S · USC · Sr · #19

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

51 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to USC for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to USC for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · USC

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 3 USC players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (9 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

USC · Last season: 9-4 (AP #16) · Talent rank #17 · 2026 recruiting class #14

S · USC · BIG TEN

Bishop Fitzgerald

  • 4
  • #19
  • 5-11 | 205 lb
  • Woodbridge, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11716

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R13 Consensus All-American · 2025

2023

NC State · S

2025

USC · S

R13 · Consensus All-American

Elite

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#10 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey19
Measurements5-11 | 205 lb
HometownWoodbridge, VA
Primary teamUSC

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 10 recruit
Composite rating 0.8861 JUCO
Signed with NC State 2023
Origin Coffeyville C.C. Woodbridge, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8861 No. 10 recruit | JUCO | NC State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination USC 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 14, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 NC State -> USC 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11716Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11789Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (AP).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to NC State

Composite

0.8861

#10 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bishop Fitzgerald

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bishop Fitzgerald

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
51Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
66Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
1.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 51): needs 9.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 51): needs 16.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bishop Fitzgerald is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on USC's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and 5 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11716 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 51 34 solo | #579/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
51 88th
SOLO
34 92nd
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
5 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 73-13vs Missouri State410.50.011
Wk 2W 59-20vs Georgia Southern660.00.00
Wk 3W 33-17@ Purdue550.00.020
Wk 4W 45-31vs Michigan State420.00.00
Wk 5L 32-34@ Illinois660.00.00
Wk 7W 31-13vs Michigan541.01.020
Wk 8L 24-34@ Notre Dame1040.00.01Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 10W 21-17@ Nebraska531.00.00
Wk 11W 38-17vs Northwestern430.00.01
Wk 12W 26-21vs Iowa200.00.00
Total51342.51.053
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023NC State9-4HC: Dave Doeren · Run-leaning
2025USC9-4HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025USC51342.51.035--
2023NC State42160.50.032--
Career2 loaded seasons93503.01.067--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 5 1 pick-six TD | #6/869 (99th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 51 #579/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 5 #6/869 99th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 86 #27/578 96th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 34 #386/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 17.2 #252/578 57th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 1 #13/119 90th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

CONSENSUS AA

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

CONSENSUS AA · Rung 13 of 16

Why he’s here

Consensus All-American — 1st team on at least three of the five NCAA selectors.

What moves him up

Sweep the remaining selectors for Unanimous status.

What moves him down

Fall below three selectors and this returns to plain All-American.

Accolade streams

All-America statusCONSENSUS

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

AP1st
FWAA1st
AFCA1st
WCFF1st
SN1st
SI1st

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.20.20.20.3
Road4g6.50.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g4.40.30.10.2
Losses2g8.00.00.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g5.00.20.20.2
Weeks 8+4g5.20.20.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

69Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (98th). Strength: solo tackles (86th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#6 / 817 · 98th pct
5inte
Solo tackles#386 / 2975 · 87th pct
34defe
Tackles#579 / 2975 · 80th pct
51defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Bishop FitzgeraldUSCDalton JohnsonArizona· 89% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 87% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 87% sim
Interceptions
98
Fitzgerald
95
Johnson
98
Moses
75
Lafayette
Solo tackles
87
Fitzgerald
97
Johnson
98
Moses
98
Lafayette
Tackles
80
Fitzgerald
98
Johnson
99
Moses
99
Lafayette
Passes defended
78
Fitzgerald
96
Johnson
78
Moses
91
Lafayette
Sacks
63
Fitzgerald
63
Johnson
63
Moses
63
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
56
Fitzgerald
47
Johnson
83
Moses
56
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Fitzgerald
22
Johnson
22
Moses
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyson Flowers’s 2025 season.

Tyson Flowers

81%match

Virginia Tech · 2025

#2

A'Khori Jones

Liberty · 2024

81%
#3

Chance Keith

Army · 2024

81%
#4

Owen Goss

Arizona · 2024

80%
#5

Murvin Kenion III

Nevada · 2025

All-Mountain West
81%

Matches Tyson on

Height
Weight
Tackle volume

Differs from Tyson on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Gregory Rubin's junior season at Memphis (2023).

Gregory Rubin

91%match

Memphis · 2023

#2

Chance Keith

Army · 2024

88%
#3

A'Khori Jones

Liberty · 2024

88%
#4

Jett Elad

UNLV · 2023

84%
#5

Jaylen McCollough

Tennessee · 2022

84%

Matches Gregory on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lincoln Riley

Pass share

50.4%

420 pass / 414 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

313 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Lincoln Riley
USC
2025
Lincoln Riley
USC

Played his entire career under Lincoln Riley.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWoodbridge, VA
Height5'11"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

6 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2025)

4 first-team selectors

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

5 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-America (PFF) all_america PFF DB
2025 All-America (WCFF) all_america WCFF DB
2025 All-America (FWAA) all_america FWAA DB
2025 All-America (AP) all_america AP DB
2025 All-America (Consensus) all_america USC | Consensus --
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference USC | Big Ten DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 NC State S4 #11716 #11789 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 NC State S4 #6266 #6734 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 USC Big Ten S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Woodbridge, VA
2024 NC State ACC S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Woodbridge, VA
2023 NC State ACC S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Woodbridge, VA