cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ben Ford /Boise State

Ben Ford

WR · Boise State · Sr · #82

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

325 REC YDS · 21 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

WR · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Ben Ford

  • 4
  • #82
  • 5-10 | 187 lb
  • Eagle, ID

CFB Zeitgeist Score

59

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2107

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2275 national
CFB
College
Boise State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey82
Measurements5-10 | 187 lb
HometownEagle, ID
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2275 recruit
Composite rating 0.8083 HighSchool
Signed with Boise State 2021
Origin Eagle Eagle, ID, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8083 No. 2275 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2107Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1848Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Boise State

Composite

0.8083

#2275 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ben Ford

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "The 26 most important players to Boise State football in 2026: No. 7, Ben Ford &"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ben Ford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

15.5

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #86 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 84th

Why it matters

#86 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.5 yards per reception (21 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 15.5 (84th)

MODERATE · n=21 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#366 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Eastern Washington — 82 ypr

Result W 51-14

The week the volume broke through — put up 82 yds vs Eastern Washington.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
325Rec yards
21Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
46.4Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
603.6Rec yards
39Receptions
9Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 325): needs 62.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 325): needs 112.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 21): needs 6.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 21): needs 9.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 0.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 0.8/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ben Ford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Boise State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2107 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 21 5 rec TD | #402/1110 (64th pct)
Receiving yards 325 15.5 per catch | #335/1107 (70th pct)
Scrimmage yards 325 Total offensive yardage | #335/1107 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
21 64th
YDS
325 70th
YPR
15.5 79th
TD
5 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-34@ South Florida44411.0024
Wk 2W 51-14vs Eastern Washington38227.3260Season-high 82 yds
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force12222.0022
Wk 5W 47-14vs App State34515.0118
Wk 6L 7-28@ Notre Dame3289.3013
Wk 7W 41-25vs New Mexico67813.02252 TD catches
Wk 8W 56-31vs UNLV12626.0026
Total2132517.7560
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State2132515.55--
Career1 loaded season2132515.55--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.3% 13.1% pass-game share | #317/1137 (72nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 21 #402/1110 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 325 #335/1107 70th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 15.5 #232/1106 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.1% #317/1137 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 60 #176/1105 84th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.9% #233/1137 80th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.8% #249/1137 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.8% #241/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.3% #334/1137 71st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.5% #450/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #667/1137 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g3.257.820.31.2
Road3g2.731.314.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g2.850.620.71.0
Losses2g3.536.010.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.349.816.30.8
Weeks 8+1g1.026.026.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

59Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (26th).

Yards / catch#111 / 558 · 80th pct
15.5rece
Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Long catch#156 / 558 · 72nd pct
60rece
Rec yards#335 / 558 · 40th pct
325rece
Receptions#402 / 558 · 27th pct
21rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Ben FordBoise StateHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 62% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 62% simJordan HudsonSMU· 61% sim
Yards / catch
80
Ford
78
III
59
Duplessis
46
Hudson
Rec TDs
78
Ford
68
III
78
Duplessis
87
Hudson
Long catch
72
Ford
65
III
81
Duplessis
84
Hudson
Rec yards
40
Ford
94
III
91
Duplessis
86
Hudson
Receptions
27
Ford
90
III
92
Duplessis
90
Hudson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Robert Lewis’s 2022 season.

Robert Lewis

64%match

Georgia State · 2022

#2

Courtney Jackson

Arkansas State · 2023

59%
#3

Devonte Ross

Penn State · 2025

58%
#4

Javon Harvey

Old Dominion · 2023

59%
#5

Adrian Norton

Marshall · 2025

59%

Matches Robert on

Yards / reception

Differs from Robert on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Total EPA (college ability) (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Gabriel Benyard’s path through Kennesaw State.

Gabriel Benyard

99%match

Kennesaw State · 2025

All-Conference USA
#2

Jordan Faison

Notre Dame · 2025

98%
#3

Jermaine Jackson

Idaho · 2023

96%
#4

Jalen Kelsey

Campbell · 2022

96%
#5

Dai'Jean Dixon

Nicholls · 2021

95%

Matches Gabriel on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Robert Lewis's sophomore season at Georgia State (2022).

Robert Lewis

83%match

Georgia State · 2022

All-Sun Belt
#2

Kazmeir Allen

UCLA · 2021

72%
#3

Kacper Rutkiewicz

Northern Illinois · 2022

71%
#4

Avery Davis

Notre Dame · 2021

67%
#5

Devonte Ross

Penn State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
66%

Matches Robert on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Robert on

TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State

Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEagle, ID
Height5'10"
Weight187 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey82

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boise State WR4 #2107 #1848 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Boise State WR4 #3018 #2774 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Boise State WR4 #2788 #2492 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 82 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Eagle, ID
2024 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 82 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Eagle, ID
2023 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 82 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Eagle, ID
2022 Boise State Mountain West WR 4 No. 82 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Eagle, ID