cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Beau Sparks /Texas State

Beau Sparks

WR · Texas State · Jr · #11

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Beau Sparks arrives at Texas State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

1,200REC YDS84REC10REC TD

REC YDS · 900-YD CLUB

1,200

1200 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.

Read the story so far

He lines up at WR for Texas State.

On the field, the headline is 1,200 rec yds, with 84 rec.

How many games until Mavin Anderson (4★) takes the job from Beau Sparks?

The clock is the open loop — and it is already ticking.

WR successioncontinuity
  • Pushed byMavin Anderson 4★
  • How many games until Mavin Anderson (4★) takes the job from Beau Sparks?
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • 1200 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Texas State

Returning around him

  • 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101

WR · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT

Beau Sparks

  • 3
  • #11
  • 5-11 | 175 lb
  • El Paso, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

85

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4338

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Texas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements5-11 | 175 lb
HometownEl Paso, TX
Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas State 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Nov 29, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Utah Tech -> Texas State 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4338Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4394Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1200 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1200).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Beau Sparks

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Beau Sparks

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #136 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 74th

Why it matters

#136 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.3 yards per reception (84 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.3 (74th)

HIGH · n=84 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#6 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#12 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 11 at Louisiana — 186 ypr

Result L 39-42

The week the volume broke through — put up 186 yds at Louisiana.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
1,200Rec yards
84Receptions
10Rec TDs
Per game
92.3Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Final
1,200Rec yards
84Receptions
10Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,200.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,200.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 84.

✓ Hit 80-catch season · finished with 84.

✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 10.

✓ Hit 10 receiving TDs · finished with 10.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Beau Sparks already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4338 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 84 10 rec TD | #8/1110 (99th pct)
Receiving yards 1,200 14.3 per catch | #6/1107 (100th pct)
Scrimmage yards 1,274 Total offensive yardage | #6/1107 (100th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
84 99th
YDS
1,200 100th
YPR
14.3 71st
TD
10 99th

Rushing

CAR
6 82nd
YDS
74 90th
YPC
12.3 93rd
TD
1 96th

Returns

PR YDS
72 65th
PR AVG
5.5 30th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan78211.74334 TD catches
Wk 2W 43-36@ UTSA515531.0173155-yard receiving day
Wk 3L 15-34@ Arizona State10707.0013
Wk 4W 35-3vs Nicholls66310.5028
Wk 6L 30-31@ Arkansas State35819.3034
Wk 7L 41-48vs Troy77811.1035
Wk 8L 37-40@ Marshall916818.7173168-yard receiving day
Wk 10L 20-52vs James Madison46716.8031
Wk 11L 39-42@ Louisiana1018618.6162Season-high 186 yds
Wk 12W 41-14@ Southern Miss66110.2022
Wk 13W 31-14vs UL Monroe10686.8116
Wk 14W 49-26vs South Alabama35719.0150
BowlW 41-10vs Rice48721.8169
Total84120015.61073
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State841,20014.310--
Career1 loaded season841,20014.310--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State674--72--
Career1 loaded season674--72--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 12.6% 29.7% pass-game share | #11/1137 (99th pct)
Return yards 72 0 return TD
Touchdowns 11 Across offense and returns | #12/1111 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 84 #8/1110 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 1,200 #6/1107 100th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 10 #12/1111 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.3 #318/1106 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 72 #80/224 65th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 29.7% #11/1137 99th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 74 #40/397 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 49 #13/346 97th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 12.3 #29/393 93rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 6 #76/407 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 73 #75/1105 93rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 13 #47/237 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 5.5 #157/222 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 14.9% #49/1137 96th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 13.5% #25/1137 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.7% #104/1137 91st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 12.6% #30/1137 97th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.1% #58/1137 95th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 11.6% #34/1137 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.9% #211/1137 82nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #274/302 10th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g5.971.714.01.0
Road6g7.211617.50.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g5.981.915.91.1
Losses6g7.210415.20.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.084.716.10.9
Weeks 8+6g7.010115.00.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

85All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (99th). Strength: receptions (98th). Concern: fumbles lost (5th).

Rec yards#6 / 558 · 99th pct
1200rece
Receptions#8 / 558 · 99th pct
84rece
Rec TDs#12 / 558 · 98th pct
10rece
Rush yards#35 / 287 · 88th pct
74rush
Long catch#69 / 558 · 87th pct
73rece
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Yards / catch#175 / 558 · 68th pct
14.3rece
Fumbles lost#196 / 218 · 6th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Beau SparksTexas StateCortez BrahamMemphis· 96% simTed HurstGeorgia State· 94% simCooper BarkateDuke· 94% sim
Rec yards
99
Sparks
93
Braham
96
Hurst
98
Barkate
Receptions
99
Sparks
92
Braham
97
Hurst
97
Barkate
Rec TDs
98
Sparks
95
Braham
87
Hurst
92
Barkate
Rush yards
88
Sparks
Long catch
87
Sparks
87
Braham
84
Hurst
93
Barkate
Rush TDs
85
Sparks
Yards / catch
68
Sparks
65
Braham
65
Hurst
79
Barkate
Fumbles lost
6
Sparks

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Charlie Jones’s 2022 season.

Charlie Jones

73%match

Purdue · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
#2

Khalil Shakir

Boise State · 2021

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
73%
#3

Jahan Dotson

Penn State · 2021

All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 16
72%
#4

Dax Milne

BYU · 2020

NFL Rd 7
63%
#5

Jordan Addison

Pittsburgh · 2021

BiletnikoffConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 24
69%

Matches Charlie on

Height
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Charlie on

Reception volume (lower)
Weight (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Quintin Morris’s path through Bowling Green.

Quintin Morris

100%match

Bowling Green · 2020

All-MAC
#2

Keith Corbin

Jackson State · 2021

98%
#3

Tre Walker

San José State · 2020

98%
#4

Darien Chase

Portland State · 2021

97%
#5

Tamorrion Terry

Florida State · 2020

All-ACC
97%

Matches Quintin on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Josh Downs's junior season at North Carolina (2022).

Josh Downs

76%match

North Carolina · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 16
#2

Zay Flowers

Boston College · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
75%
#3

Antonio Williams

Clemson · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 7
75%
#4

Jacob Cowing

Arizona · 2022

All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
74%
#5

Makai Lemon

USC · 2025

BiletnikoffConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 20
70%

Matches Josh on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Height

Differs from Josh on

Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State

Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEl Paso, TX
Height5'11"
Weight175 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Sun Belt AP

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas State WR3 #4338 #4394 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas State Sun Belt WR 3 No. 11 | 5-11 | 175 lb | El Paso, TX
2024 Texas State Sun Belt WR 3 No. 11 | 5-11 | 175 lb | El Paso, TX