CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 88th percentile.
Ayden Greene
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Ayden Greene is a cornerstone for Virginia Tech — measured against the line he joined.
516REC YDS31REC3REC TD
TEAM RECEIVING YARDS LEADER
516
Team leader in receiving yards (516).
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Virginia Tech for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Virginia Tech
Returning around him
- 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: +0 net (27 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Virginia Tech · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #40 · 2026 recruiting class #39
WR · VIRGINIA TECH · ACC
Ayden Greene
- 3
- 6-2 | 190 lb
- Knoxville, TN
Heisman Heat
#3124
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words
128 windows · 2025 fan posts
ayden×277.6receiver×15.7wide×17.8
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+821%
Up 821% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Virginia Tech
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8828 | No. 558 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (516).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8828
#558 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ayden Greene
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
57
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=14
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ayden Greene
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
16.6
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #47 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 91st
Why it matters
#47 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.6 yards per reception (31 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 16.6 (91th)
HIGH · n=31 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#202 / 531
- Receiving TDs#222 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 13 vs Miami — 95 ypr
Result L 17-34
The week the volume broke through — put up 95 yds vs Miami.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
516Rec yards
31Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
46.9Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
609.8Rec yards
37Receptions
4Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 516): needs 92/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 516): needs 242/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 31): needs 14.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 31): needs 24.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ayden Greene's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Virginia Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
31 76th
YDS
516 81st
YPR
16.6 84th
TD
3 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 11-24@ South Carolina | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-44vs Vanderbilt | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 3 | L 26-45vs Old Dominion | 1 | 67 | 67.0 | 0 | 67 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-6vs Wofford | 4 | 52 | 13.0 | 1 | 18 | |
| Wk 5 | W 23-21@ NC State | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 6 | L 23-30vs Wake Forest | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 7 | L 20-35@ Georgia Tech | 4 | 72 | 18.0 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-34vs California | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 1 | 27 | |
| Wk 10 | L 16-28vs Louisville | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 12 | L 14-34@ Florida State | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 1 | 31 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-34vs Miami | 5 | 95 | 19.0 | 0 | 39 | Season-high 95 yds |
| Total | 31 | 516 | 19.3 | 3 | 67 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Virginia Tech7-6HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
2025Virginia Tech3-9HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Virginia Tech | 31 | 516 | 16.6 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 36 | 572 | 15.9 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 31 | #268/1110 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 516 | #207/1107 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.6 | #175/1106 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 18.5% | #120/1137 | 90th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 67 | #122/1105 | 89th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.4% | #213/1137 | 81st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.3% | #118/1137 | 90th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.6% | #168/1137 | 85th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.5% | #202/1137 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.7% | #171/1137 | 85th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.5% | #419/1137 | 63rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.4 | 41.4 | 20.8 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 3.5 | 56.5 | 16.6 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 3.0 | 43.3 | 14.9 | 0.7 |
| Losses8g | 2.8 | 48.2 | 20.9 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.0 | 47.3 | 19.9 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.5 | 46.2 | 18.1 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
67Solid starter
Elite: yards / catch (87th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ayden GreeneVirginia TechNik McMillanBuffalo· 76% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 76% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 74% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cam Vaughn’s 2025 season.
Cam Vaughn
84%match
#2
Kaedin Robinson
82%
#3
Stephon Johnson Jr.
81%
#4
Gunner Romney
76%
#5
Dalvin Smith
80%
Matches Cam on
Yards / reception
TD rate
Weight
Differs from Cam on
Class year (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to AJ Wilson’s path through UTSA.
AJ Wilson
99%match
#2
Zane Pope
97%
#3
Corri Milliner
92%
#4
Treyshun Hurry
91%
#5
Jaray Jenkins
91%
Matches AJ on
Height
Weight
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Caleb Goodie's junior season at Cincinnati (2025).
Caleb Goodie
80%match
#2
Darrell Gill Jr.
77%
#3
Marlion Jackson
76%
#4
Rodney Harris II
75%
#5
Dalvin Smith
74%
Matches Caleb on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
TD rate
Differs from Caleb on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Pry
Pass share
42.0%
319 pass / 441 run
Plays / game
63.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.5%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
2025
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
Played his entire career under Brent Pry.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownKnoxville, TN
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamVirginia Tech
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | WR3 | #3124 | #3084 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | WR3 | #2323 | #2411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Virginia Tech | ACC | WR | 3 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Knoxville, TN |
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | ACC | WR | 3 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Knoxville, TN |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | ACC | WR | 3 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Knoxville, TN |