CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 99th percentile.
Austin Mack
On Trialas of 2026-06-22
Austin Mack arrives at Alabama with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
228PASS YDS2PASS TD22RUSH YDS
4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT
No.230
recruiting national rank
Alabama fans are litigating his worthiness — the eye test against the résumé.
low confidence1 source
Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Alabama for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Alabama
Returning around him
- 43% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 10 Alabama players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (17 in / 24 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Alabama · Last season: 11-4 (AP #11) · Talent rank #2 · 2026 recruiting class #3
QB · ALABAMA · SEC
Austin Mack
- 2
- #10
- 6-6 | 235 lb
- Folsom, CA
Heisman Heat
#117
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words
176 windows · 2025 fan posts
austin×84.0start×43.0mack×117.6deboer×126.0scrimmage×141.1upside×141.1nothing×100.8ceiling×132.3
“Nothing wrong with your take except you can’t use the A-Day scrimmage to put him over Mack, really. We all know Austin Mack was banged up during that scrimmage.”
youtube/BAMA FOOTBALL ON YOUTUBE WITH KYLE HENDERSON · fan post, verbatim
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025+485%
Up 485% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Alabama
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#18 in market ▲ from #20 · 5 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9167 | No. 230 recruit | HighSchool | Washington |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Washington -> Alabama | 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Washington
Composite
0.9167
#230 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Austin Mack
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
58
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=50
- National · n=6
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Austin Mack
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 4g
228Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
57Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
741Pass yards
6Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 228): needs 308/game over remaining 9.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 228): needs 419.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.7/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Austin Mack's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Highly efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
24 45th
ATT
32 44th
CMP%
75.0% 91st
Y/A
7.1 57th
Passing Production
YDS
228 43rd
TD
2 52nd
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
9 35th
YDS
22 41st
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 73-0vs UL Monroe | 8/10 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 8.0 | 93.8 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-14vs Wisconsin | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | |
| Wk 13 | W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois | 5/5 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | 95.2 | |
| Bowl | L 3-38@ Indiana | 11/16 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 70.2 | |
| Total | 24/32 | 228 | 2 | 0 | 5.8 | 64.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 228 | #219/382 | 43rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 2 | #198/407 | 52nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 24 | #213/383 | 45th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 75.0% | #37/383 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.1 | #165/382 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 22 | #240/408 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.5% | #234/428 | 46th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 32 | #229/407 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 20 | #177/391 | 55th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 9 | #267/408 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.4 | #226/407 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 26.6% | #228/428 | 47th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 23.8% | #226/428 | 47th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 18.0% | #245/428 | 43rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.0% | #237/428 | 45th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.7% | #227/428 | 47th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.9% | #228/428 | 47th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 4.1% | #298/428 | 31st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 41.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 103 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 41.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
| Losses1g | 103 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 61.0 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 45.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
49Mid-pack
Elite: completion % (99th). Strength: interceptions (99th). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Austin MackAlabamaCade KlubnikClemson· 58% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 57% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 56% sim
Completion %
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalen DeBoer
Pass share
53.4%
523 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
65.3
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
384 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
Played his entire career under Kalen DeBoer.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFolsom, CA
Height6'6"
Weight235 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAlabama
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Alabama | QB2 | #117 | #62 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Washington | QB2 | #698 | #399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Alabama | SEC | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 235 lb | Folsom, CA |
| 2024 | Alabama | SEC | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 235 lb | Folsom, CA |
| 2023 | Washington | Pac-12 | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 235 lb | Folsom, CA |