cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ashton Bethel-Roman /Texas A&M

Ashton Bethel-Roman

WR · Texas A&M · Fr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

503 REC YDS · 24 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas A&M for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas A&M for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Texas A&M

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 10 Texas A&M players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (19 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas A&M · Last season: 11-2 (AP #7) · Talent rank #8 · 2026 recruiting class #9

WR · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Ashton Bethel-Roman

  • 1
  • #3
  • 6-0 | 185 lb
  • Missouri City, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3210

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#229 national
CFB
College
Texas A&M
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class1
Jersey3
Measurements6-0 | 185 lb
HometownMissouri City, TX
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 229 recruit
Composite rating 0.9167 HighSchool
Signed with Texas A&M 2024
Origin Ridge Point Missouri City, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9167 No. 229 recruit | HighSchool | Texas A&M

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3210Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2913Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas A&M

Composite

0.9167

#229 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ashton Bethel-Roman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ashton Bethel-Roman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

21.0

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

Best by a Texas A&M WR since Ainias Smith 2022.

National rank #6 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 99th

Why it matters

#6 of 531 All FBS WRs at 21.0 yards per reception (24 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 21.0 (99th)

MODERATE · n=24 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#218 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 vs South Carolina — 139 ypr

Result W 31-30

The week the volume broke through — put up 139 yds vs South Carolina.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
503Rec yards
24Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
50.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
653.9Rec yards
31Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 503): needs 65.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 503): needs 165.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 24): needs 12/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 24): needs 18.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ashton Bethel-Roman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas A&M, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3210 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 229 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 24 5 rec TD | #358/1110 (68th pct)
Receiving yards 503 21.0 per catch | #222/1107 (80th pct)
Scrimmage yards 503 Total offensive yardage | #222/1107 (80th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
24 68th
YDS
503 80th
YPR
21.0 95th
TD
5 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA12020.0020
Wk 2W 44-22vs Utah State34816.0025
Wk 5W 16-10vs Auburn11818.0018
Wk 8W 45-42@ Arkansas48320.8137
Wk 9W 49-25@ LSU14747.0047
Wk 11W 38-17@ Missouri22613.0122
Wk 12W 31-30vs South Carolina413934.8176Season-high 139 yds
Wk 13W 48-0vs Samford26130.52582 TD catches
Wk 14L 17-27@ Texas2178.5011
BowlL 3-10vs Miami44411.0015
Total2450322.0576
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M2450321.05--
Career1 loaded season2450321.05--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.0% 10.5% pass-game share | #464/1137 (59th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 24 #358/1110 68th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 503 #222/1107 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 21.0 #61/1106 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 10.5% #464/1137 59th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 76 #44/1105 96th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.5% #419/1137 63rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.9% #603/1137 47th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.0% #482/1137 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.6% #440/1137 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.4% #594/1137 48th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.3% #509/1137 55th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.555.021.70.5
Road4g2.243.222.30.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g2.255.225.00.6
Losses2g3.030.59.80.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.232.516.20.0
Weeks 8+6g2.562.225.80.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

70Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Strength: long catch (92nd).

Yards / catch#10 / 558 · 98th pct
21.0rece
Long catch#40 / 558 · 93rd pct
76rece
Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Rec yards#222 / 558 · 60th pct
503rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Receptions#358 / 558 · 35th pct
24rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Ashton Bethel-RomanTexas A&MAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 71% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 71% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 70% sim
Yards / catch
98
Bethel-Roman
87
Smith
80
Jr.
78
III
Long catch
93
Bethel-Roman
86
Smith
96
Jr.
65
III
Rec TDs
78
Bethel-Roman
92
Smith
68
Jr.
68
III
Rec yards
60
Bethel-Roman
98
Smith
96
Jr.
94
III
Fumbles lost
36
Bethel-Roman
36
Smith
36
Jr.
36
III
Receptions
35
Bethel-Roman
93
Smith
93
Jr.
90
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Shae Wyatt’s 2022 season.

Shae Wyatt

70%match

Tulane · 2022

#2

Jeff Foreman

Arkansas State · 2020

61%
#3

Cyrus Allen

Louisiana Tech · 2022

NFL Rd 5
67%
#4

Jordyn Tyson

Colorado · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 8
66%
#5

Eddie Lewis

Memphis · 2021

65%

Matches Shae on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Reception volume

Differs from Shae on

Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dennis Houston’s path through Western Illinois.

Dennis Houston

96%match

Western Illinois · 2021

#2

Micahi Danzy

Florida State · 2025

90%
#3

Marvin Mims

Oklahoma · 2022

All-Big 12NFL Rd 2 · Pk 32
88%
#4

Dez Fitzpatrick

Louisville · 2020

NFL Rd 4
84%
#5

Tayvian Cunningham

Arizona · 2021

82%

Matches Dennis on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Malcolm Simmons's sophomore season at Auburn (2025).

Malcolm Simmons

61%match

Auburn · 2025

#2

Micahi Danzy

Florida State · 2025

57%
#3

Jsi Hatfield

East Carolina · 2021

57%
#4

Collin Dixon

Illinois · 2025

57%
#5

Dannis Jackson

Ole Miss · 2021

57%

Matches Malcolm on

EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Differs from Malcolm on

TD rate (higher)
Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M

Played his entire career under Mike Elko.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMissouri City, TX
Height6'0"
Weight185 lb
Class1
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M WR1 #3210 #2913 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas A&M SEC WR 1 No. 3 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Missouri City, TX
2024 Texas A&M SEC WR 1 No. 3 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Missouri City, TX