CFB Zeitgeist Score
83
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 95th percentile.
Anthony Holmes Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
40 TACKLES · 4.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Texas Tech for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive line · Texas Tech
Returning around him
- 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 9 Texas Tech players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +0 net (21 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Texas Tech · Last season: 12-2 (AP #4) · Talent rank #29 · 2026 recruiting class #48
DL · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12
Anthony Holmes Jr.
- 3
- #33
- 6-3 | 300 lb
- Houston, TX
Heisman Heat
#8065
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8656 | No. 870 recruit | HighSchool | Houston |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston -> Texas Tech | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Houston
Composite
0.8656
#870 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Anthony Holmes Jr.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Anthony Holmes Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 14g
40Tackles
10Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Final
40Tackles
10Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Anthony Holmes Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas Tech's defense, with 4.5 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
40 82nd
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
4.5 97th
QBH
7 96th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
4 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 62-14vs Kent State | 4 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | Season-high 4 tackles |
| Wk 3 | W 45-14vs Oregon State | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-10@ Utah | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-11@ Houston | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 42-17vs Kansas | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 8 | L 22-26@ Arizona State | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-0vs Oklahoma State | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 43-20@ Kansas State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 29-7vs BYU | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 48-9vs UCF | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-0@ West Virginia | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 15 | W 34-7vs BYU | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 0-23vs Oregon | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 40 | 24 | 10.0 | 4.5 | — | 4 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Houston8-5HC: Dana Holgorsen · Pass-leaning
2023Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Balanced
2024Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Tech | 40 | 24 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Houston | 35 | 19 | 8.5 | 2.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Houston | 20 | 12 | 4.5 | 2.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Houston | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 102 | 61 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 4 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 40 | #906/4942 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 10.0 | #103/4972 | 98th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 4.5 | #136/4972 | 97th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 4 | #340/2184 | 84th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 7 | #69/1878 | 96th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 24 | #790/4584 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 2 | #13/736 | 98th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home9g | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins12g | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort
83All-Conference
Elite: qb hurries (96th). Strength: tackles for loss (96th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DL · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Anthony Holmes Jr.Texas TechRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 86% simSammy BrownClemson· 85% simJohn MillerUtah State· 85% sim
QB hurries
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Passes defended
Solo tackles
Tackles
Forced fumbles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The 3-Tech Penetrator
Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to James Smith’s 2025 season.
James Smith
92%match
#2
DJ Hicks
92%
#3
DJ Dale
89%
#4
Tommy Dunn
89%
#5
Jordan van den Berg
All-ACCNFL Rd 6
85%
Matches James on
Class year
Height
TFL rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Keanu Tanuvasa's senior season at BYU (2025).
Keanu Tanuvasa
77%match
#2
JJ Hawkins
73%
#3
Derrick Harmon
All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 21
72%
#4
DeSean Brown
65%
#5
Jaray Bledsoe
61%
Matches Keanu on
Class year
Weight
Sack rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Joey McGuire
Pass share
47.6%
484 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
72.6
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
336 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
2023
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
2024
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
Played his entire career under Joey McGuire.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHouston, TX
Height6'3"
Weight300 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey33
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas Tech
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | DL | 3 | No. 33 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2024 | Houston | Big 12 | DL | 3 | No. 33 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2023 | Houston | Big 12 | DL | 3 | No. 33 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2022 | Houston | American Athletic | DL | 3 | No. 33 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Houston, TX |