cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Andrew Marsh /Michigan

Andrew Marsh

WR · Michigan · Fr · #4

Disrespect as Fuelas of 2026-06-22

Andrew Marsh steps into Colston Loveland's shoes — the gap is the story.

651REC YDS45REC4REC TD

4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT

No.117

recruiting national rank

Michigan fans insist he's been overlooked — and they come with receipts.

high confidence4 sources
Read the story so far

Andrew Marsh arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.117 recruit nationally. He lines up at WR for Michigan.

On the field, the headline is 651 rec yds, with 45 rec.

He inherited the WR job from Colston Loveland (4-star).

Michigan fans insist he's been overlooked — and they come with receipts.

The number to watch: No.117 — 4★ · national recruit.

WR successionleap of faith
  • Inherited fromColston Loveland 4★
Why nowThe 2026 preseason slights are already feeding the chip.
  • season totals
  • recruiting national rank
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Michigan

Returning around him

  • 40% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Michigan players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -16 net (17 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan · Last season: 9-4 (AP #18) · Talent rank #11 · 2026 recruiting class #6

WR · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Andrew Marsh

  • 1
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Fulshear, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 293 windows · 2025 fan posts
andrew×63.3marshall×26.4corner×140.8mcculley×79.2followed×24.4starters×22.6michigan×6.3run×9.3

Michigan State's Nick Marsh has entered the transfer portal Michigan has to nab him.”

reddit/MichiganWolverines · fan post, verbatim

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#117 national
CFB
College
Michigan
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class1
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownFulshear, TX
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 117 recruit
Composite rating 0.9448 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2025
Origin Katy Jordan Fulshear, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2025 4-star | 0.9448 No. 117 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (651).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.9448

#117 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Andrew Marsh

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

56

Quietly Bullish

Sample 70 mentions
Confidence HIGH

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 70 mentions · belief +11 · "Anonymous Big Ten coaches say the quiet part out loud: Michigan Wolverines' hype"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "submitted by /u/Randy-Marsh_ [link] [comments]"RivalsNational: 10 mentions · belief +82 · "It's the locked on podcast network your team every day Get your daily college sp"National
  • Own fans · n=70
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=10

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Andrew Marsh

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.5

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #127 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 76th

Why it matters

#127 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.5 yards per reception (45 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.5 (76th)

HIGH · n=45 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#115 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 at Northwestern — 189 ypr

Result W 24-22

The week the volume broke through — put up 189 yds at Northwestern.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
651Rec yards
45Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
54.2Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
705.2Rec yards
49Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 651): needs 49/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 651): needs 349/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 45): needs 15/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 45): needs 35/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Andrew Marsh is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 8.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 117 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 45 4 rec TD | #146/1110 (87th pct)
Receiving yards 651 14.5 per catch | #122/1107 (89th pct)
Scrimmage yards 664 Total offensive yardage | #122/1107 (89th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
45 87th
YDS
651 89th
YPR
14.5 73rd
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
13 54th
YPC
6.5 72nd
TD
1 96th

Returns

KR YDS
378 89th
KR AVG
22.2 72nd
PR YDS
45 50th
PR AVG
11.3 74th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico
Wk 2L 13-24@ Oklahoma
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan13030.0030
Wk 6W 24-10vs Wisconsin48020.0032
Wk 7L 13-31@ USC813817.3169138-yard receiving day
Wk 8W 24-7vs Washington5499.8122
Wk 9W 31-20@ Michigan State35418.0027
Wk 10W 21-16vs Purdue4256.3020
Wk 12W 24-22@ Northwestern1218915.8032Season-high 189 yds
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland57615.2125
Wk 14L 9-27vs Ohio State
BowlL 27-41@ Texas3103.318
Total4565115.1469
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan4565114.54--
Career1 loaded season4565114.54--
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan21337845--
Career1 loaded season21337845--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.5% 19.3% pass-game share | #100/1137 (91st pct)
Return yards 423 0 return TD | #28/238 (89th pct)
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 45 #146/1110 87th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 651 #122/1107 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.5 #302/1106 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 378 #28/238 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 45 #114/224 50th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 19.3% #100/1137 91st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 23 #53/346 85th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 13 #184/397 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.5 #110/393 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 69 #102/1105 91st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 22.2 #67/236 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 17 #21/243 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 11.3 #59/222 74th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 4 #129/237 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.7% #100/1137 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.5% #135/1137 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.2% #290/1137 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.5% #178/1137 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.2% #136/1137 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.1% #630/1137 45th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #274/302 10th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.330.716.50.2
Road6g5.277.813.90.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g4.262.916.40.2
Losses4g2.837.010.30.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.743.017.60.3
Weeks 8+6g4.865.513.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

69Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (85th). Strength: long catch (82nd). Concern: fumbles lost (5th).

Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Long catch#95 / 558 · 83rd pct
69rece
Rec yards#122 / 558 · 78th pct
651rece
Receptions#146 / 558 · 73rd pct
45rece
Yards / catch#163 / 558 · 71st pct
14.5rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Rush yards#144 / 287 · 50th pct
13rush
Fumbles lost#196 / 218 · 6th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Andrew MarshMichiganNik McMillanBuffalo· 85% simTed HurstGeorgia State· 84% simCortez BrahamMemphis· 84% sim
Rush TDs
85
Marsh
Long catch
83
Marsh
65
McMillan
84
Hurst
87
Braham
Rec yards
78
Marsh
96
McMillan
96
Hurst
93
Braham
Receptions
73
Marsh
90
McMillan
97
Hurst
92
Braham
Yards / catch
71
Marsh
84
McMillan
65
Hurst
65
Braham
Rec TDs
68
Marsh
57
McMillan
87
Hurst
95
Braham
Rush yards
50
Marsh
Fumbles lost
6
Marsh

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ryan Williams’s 2025 season.

Ryan Williams

79%match

Alabama · 2025

#2

Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding

Old Dominion · 2025

78%
#3

Rakim Jarrett

Maryland · 2021

78%
#4

Bryce Kirtz

Northwestern · 2023

75%
#5

Chimere Dike

Wisconsin · 2022

NFL Rd 4
75%

Matches Ryan on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Ryan on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Dai'Jean Dixon’s path through Nicholls.

Dai'Jean Dixon

100%match

Nicholls · 2021

#2

Jermaine Jackson

Idaho · 2023

99%
#3

J.C. Santana

Tulsa · 2022

94%
#4

Ben Ratzlaff

Houston Christian · 2020

94%
#5

Makai Jackson

Indiana · 2025

All-Sun Belt
93%

Matches Dai'Jean on

Yards per reception

As a freshman, his production profile tracks closest to Marcel Williams's freshman season at Akron (2025).

Marcel Williams

77%match

Akron · 2025

#2

Nyziah Hunter

California · 2024

76%
#3

Dakorien Moore

Oregon · 2025

72%
#4

Kyri Shoels

San José State · 2025

71%
#5

DeAree Rogers

Northern Illinois · 2025

69%

Matches Marcel on

Weight
EPA / play (adj)
Height

Differs from Marcel on

TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Played his entire career under Sherrone Moore.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFulshear, TX
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class1
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten WR 1 No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Fulshear, TX