CFB Zeitgeist Score
81
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 85th percentile.
Alex Tecza
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
902 RUSH YDS · 10 RUSH TD · 158 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Navy for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Navy
Returning around him
- 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 Navy players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -3 net (0 in / 3 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Navy · Last season: 11-2 (AP #22) · 2026 recruiting class #131
RB · NAVY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Alex Tecza
- 4
- #46
- 6-0 | 199 lb
- Pittsburgh, PA
Heisman Heat
#71
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2023
Navy · RB
—
2024
Navy · RB
—
★
2025
Navy · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+19%
Modest growth (19%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Navy
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (902).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Alex Tecza
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Alex Tecza
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
902Rush yards
158Carries
10Rush TDs
Per game
69.4Rush yards
12Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
902Rush yards
158Carries
10Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 902.
✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 10.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Alex Tecza already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
158 92nd
YDS
902 93rd
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
10 96th
Receiving
REC
13 71st
YDS
125 78th
YPR
9.6 74th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-7vs VMI | 15 | 89 | 5.9 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-24vs UAB | 15 | 111 | 7.4 | 1 | 37 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-23@ Tulsa | 15 | 72 | 4.8 | 2 | 39 | |
| Wk 5 | W 21-13vs Rice | 11 | 104 | 9.5 | 0 | 65 | |
| Wk 6 | W 34-31vs Air Force | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 7 | W 32-31@ Temple | 7 | 30 | 4.3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-32vs Florida Atlantic | 16 | 55 | 3.4 | 1 | 9 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-31@ North Texas | 10 | 59 | 5.9 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-49@ Notre Dame | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 12 | W 41-38vs South Florida | 12 | 126 | 10.5 | 1 | 76 | Season-high 126 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 28-17@ Memphis | 26 | 103 | 4.0 | 2 | 12 | |
| Wk 16 | W 17-16vs Army | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | 0 | 24 | |
| Bowl | W 35-13@ Cincinnati | 16 | 80 | 5.0 | 1 | 34 | |
| Total | 158 | 902 | 5.6 | 10 | 76 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Navy5-7HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Navy10-3HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
2025Navy11-2HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 902 | #52/735 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 10 | #33/739 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #152/735 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 13 | #160/552 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 125 | #123/548 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.21 | #52/362 | 86th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 145 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 20.3% | #90/738 | 88th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 158 | #58/739 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 76 | #32/733 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 29 | #133/540 | 76th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.6 | #143/548 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.0% | #198/738 | 73rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 22.3% | #100/738 | 87th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 20.9% | #84/738 | 89th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 20.5% | #130/738 | 83rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 20.3% | #25/738 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.4% | #75/738 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.2% | #42/738 | 94th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 76.9 | 6.5 | 0.6 |
| Road6g | 60.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 74.8 | 5.8 | 0.9 |
| Losses2g | 39.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 69.9 | 5.7 | 0.9 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 68.8 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
81All-Conference
Elite: long run (91st). Strength: rush tds (89th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.21High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Alex TeczaNavyDylan RileyBoise State· 94% simCamryn EdwardsUConn· 88% simChip TrayanumToledo· 88% sim
Long run
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Carries
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to TJ Green’s 2021 season.
TJ Green
72%match
#2
Camryn Edwards
71%
#3
Dylan Sampson
NFL Rd 4
70%
#4
Sieh Bangura
All-MAC
70%
#5
Antwan Raymond
All-Big Ten
69%
Matches TJ on
Receiving share
Rush TD rate
Yards / carry
Differs from TJ on
Yards / reception (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.
Asim Rose
100%match
#2
Calvin Turner
All-Mountain West
96%
#3
Trey Ragas
All-Sun Belt
95%
#4
Ulysses Bentley IV
All-AAC
92%
#5
Kewan Lacy
91%
Matches Asim on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Charles McClelland's junior season at Cincinnati (2022).
Charles McClelland
79%match
#2
Jordan Mims
All-Mountain West
77%
#3
Zion Webb
69%
#4
Camryn Edwards
70%
#5
Xazavian Valladay
All-Mountain West
69%
Matches Charles on
Receiving share
Yards / reception
Height
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brian Newberry
Pass share
22.5%
182 pass / 626 run
Plays / game
62.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.2%
138 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Brian Newberry
Navy
2024
Brian Newberry
Navy
2025
Brian Newberry
Navy
Played his entire career under Brian Newberry.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPittsburgh, PA
Height6'0"
Weight199 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey46
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNavy
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-AAC | all_conference | Navy | AAC | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Navy | RB4 | #71 | #68 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Navy | RB4 | #725 | #1020 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Navy | RB4 | #3814 | #3884 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Navy | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 46 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 2024 | Navy | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 46 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 2023 | Navy | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 46 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 2022 | Navy | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 46 | 6-0 | 199 lb | Pittsburgh, PA |