cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Alex Kilgore /SMU

Alex Kilgore

LB · SMU · Jr · #54

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

60 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to SMU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to SMU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · SMU

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 SMU player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (14 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31

LB · SMU · ACC

Alex Kilgore

  • 3
  • #54
  • 6-1 | 230 lb
  • Katy, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4622

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#633 national
CFB
College
SMU
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey54
Measurements6-1 | 230 lb
HometownKaty, TX
Primary teamSMU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 633 recruit
Composite rating 0.8786 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Paetow Katy, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8786 No. 633 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4622Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4882Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8786

#633 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Alex Kilgore

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Alex Kilgore

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
60Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
71Tackles
4.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 60): needs 10/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 60): needs 20/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Alex Kilgore is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on SMU's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4622 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 3.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 60 31 solo | #401/4942 (92nd pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
60 92nd
SOLO
31 89th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-13vs East Texas A&M000.00.010
Wk 4L 24-35@ TCU420.00.00
Wk 6W 31-18vs Syracuse210.00.01
Wk 7W 34-10vs Stanford510.00.00
Wk 8W 35-24@ Clemson1181.00.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 9L 12-13@ Wake Forest731.00.01
Wk 10W 26-20vs Miami610.00.00
Wk 11W 45-13@ Boston College1060.00.00
Wk 13W 38-6vs Louisville320.00.00
Wk 14L 35-38@ California951.50.00
BowlW 24-19vs Arizona320.00.010
Total60313.50.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2025SMU9-4HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025SMU60313.50.022--
2024SMU55193.01.03----
2023SMU32246.54.0--11
Career3 loaded seasons1477413.05.0531
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 1 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 60 #401/4942 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 31 #483/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 10 #411/578 29th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 5.0 #432/578 25th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 1 #13/119 90th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.20.00.00.2
Road5g8.20.70.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g5.00.10.00.1
Losses3g6.70.80.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.80.00.00.2
Weeks 8+6g7.70.60.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

58Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (86th). Strength: solo tackles (83rd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#401 / 2975 · 86th pct
60defe
Solo tackles#483 / 2975 · 83rd pct
31defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Alex KilgoreSMUTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 86% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 83% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 82% sim
Tackles
86
Kilgore
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
99
Benefield
Solo tackles
83
Kilgore
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
100
Benefield
Interceptions
75
Kilgore
31
Martin
75
Benefield
Tackles for loss
69
Kilgore
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
94
Benefield
Passes defended
67
Kilgore
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
78
Benefield
Sacks
24
Kilgore
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
24
Benefield
QB hurries
22
Kilgore
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
55
Benefield

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kameron Arnold’s 2021 season.

Kameron Arnold

89%match

Boston College · 2021

#2

Caden Fordham

NC State · 2023

86%
#3

Ashanti Cistrunk

Ole Miss · 2022

85%
#4

Gavin Willis

Charlotte · 2025

85%
#5

Malachi Langley

Fresno State · 2021

84%

Matches Kameron on

TFL rate
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kip Lewis's junior season at Oklahoma (2024).

Kip Lewis

93%match

Oklahoma · 2024

#2

Gavin Willis

Charlotte · 2025

87%
#3

Stone Combs

Nevada · 2024

87%
#4

Shemar James

Florida · 2024

NFL Rd 5
87%
#5

Liona Lefau

Texas · 2025

83%

Matches Kip on

Class year
TFL rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rhett Lashlee

Pass share

53.7%

460 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

65.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

333 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2024
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2025
Rhett Lashlee
SMU

Played his entire career under Rhett Lashlee.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKaty, TX
Height6'1"
Weight230 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey54

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 SMU LB3 #4622 #4882 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 SMU LB3 #5029 #5589 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 SMU ACC LB 3 No. 54 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Katy, TX
2024 SMU ACC LB 3 No. 54 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Katy, TX
2023 SMU American Athletic LB 3 No. 54 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Katy, TX