cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Alberto Mendoza /Indiana

Alberto Mendoza

QB · Indiana · Fr · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

286 PASS YDS · 5 PASS TD · 190 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Indiana → Georgia Tech for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Georgia Tech

2025Indiana
2026Georgia Tech

QB · INDIANA · BIG TEN

Alberto Mendoza

  • 1
  • #16
  • 6-2 | 203 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#265

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 266 windows · 2025 fan posts
fernando×64.7indiana×24.8alberto×87.3cristobal×66.5whitmer×58.2mendoza×24.5hoosiers×38.8heisman×15.2

“Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza announces intention to enter 2026 NFL Draft”

reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
6.02024
2862025

+4667%

Up 4667% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1550 national
CFB
College
Indiana
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey16
Measurements6-2 | 203 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamIndiana

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1550 recruit
Composite rating 0.8506 HighSchool
Signed with Indiana 2024
Origin Columbus Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8506 No. 1550 recruit | HighSchool | Indiana

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia Tech 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 20, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Indiana -> Georgia Tech 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#265Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#162Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Indiana

Composite

0.8506

#1550 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Alberto Mendoza

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

57

Quietly Bullish

Sample 22 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 45 mentions · belief +11 · "Indiana Hoosiers shake up the college football landscape, surging into a nationa"Own fansRivals: 6 mentions · belief +8 · "submitted by /u/ihatepulses [link] [comments]"RivalsNational: 27 mentions · belief +63 · "That fourth-down run will live forever in framed photos and on T-shirts. It’s no"National
  • Own fans · n=45
  • Rivals · n=6
  • National · n=27

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Alberto Mendoza

Obsession score 4
Rival mentions 6
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 4 mentions
Grudging respect 17% Neutral 83% Mockery 0%

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
286Pass yards
5Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
35.8Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
464.8Pass yards
8Pass TDs
2INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 286): needs 542.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 286): needs 742.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 5): needs 4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 5.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 5): needs 6/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Alberto Mendoza's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Indiana, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #265 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 286 5 TD | 1 INT | #210/382 (45th pct)
Completion rate 75.0% 18/24 completions | #37/383 (91st pct)
Yards/attempt 11.9 Explosiveness through the air | #21/382 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Highly efficient | Vertical threat | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Highly efficientVertical threatDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
18 40th
ATT
24 41st
CMP%
75.0% 91st
Y/A
11.9 95th

Passing Production

YDS
286 45th
TD
5 64th
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
13 41st
YDS
190 78th
YPC
14.6 99th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2W 56-9vs Kennesaw State3/3351011.799.9
Wk 3W 73-0vs Indiana State6/91042011.677.6Season-high 104 yds
Wk 4W 63-10vs Illinois
Wk 9W 56-6vs UCLA4/745016.493.9
Wk 10W 55-10@ Maryland2/2201010.0100.0
Wk 12W 31-7vs Wisconsin1/16006.088.4
Wk 14W 56-3@ Purdue2/2761038.0100.0
BowlW 38-3vs Alabama
Total18/242865113.993.3
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Indiana11-2HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
2025Indiana16-0HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Indiana182475.0%28611.951235.5----
2024Indiana11100.0%66.000150.4----
Career2 loaded seasons192576.0%29211.751232.1----
SeasonTeam
2025Indiana1319014.61--
2024Indiana2-3-1.50--
Career2 loaded seasons1518712.51--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 190 1 rush TD | #90/408 (78th pct)
Usage 5.3% 9.2% pass share | 3.1% rush share | #338/428 (21st pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 286 #210/382 45th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 5 #149/407 64th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 18 #231/383 40th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 75.0% #37/383 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 11.9 #21/382 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 190 #90/408 78th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 5.3% #338/428 21st pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 24 #243/407 41st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 58 #27/391 93rd pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 14.6 #7/407 99th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 13 #240/408 41st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.2% #317/428 26th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 9.2% #312/428 27th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 5.9% #316/428 26th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.6% #314/428 27th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.2% #366/428 15th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.1% #372/428 13th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 3.1% #334/428 22nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g31.70.58.90.2
Road2g48.01.024.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins8g35.80.614.00.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-74g34.80.811.60.0
Weeks 8+4g36.80.515.10.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

62Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / att (100th). Strength: completion % (99th). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Yards / att#1 / 183 · 100th pct
11.9pass
Completion %#2 / 183 · 99th pct
75.0%pass
Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Rush yards#75 / 183 · 60th pct
190rush
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Pass TDs#148 / 183 · 18th pct
5pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
286pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Alberto MendozaIndianaCade KlubnikClemson· 56% simLuke AltmyerIllinois· 56% simJoe FagnanoUConn· 54% sim
Yards / att
100
Mendoza
63
Klubnik
83
Altmyer
87
Fagnano
Completion %
99
Mendoza
73
Klubnik
87
Altmyer
92
Fagnano
Interceptions
97
Mendoza
56
Klubnik
67
Altmyer
97
Fagnano
Rush yards
60
Mendoza
42
Klubnik
65
Altmyer
52
Fagnano
Rush TDs
26
Mendoza
59
Klubnik
68
Altmyer
49
Fagnano
Pass TDs
18
Mendoza
64
Klubnik
80
Altmyer
93
Fagnano
Pass yards
0
Mendoza
78
Klubnik
81
Altmyer
90
Fagnano

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Curt Cignetti

Pass share

38.7%

404 pass / 641 run

Plays / game

65.3

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

275 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Curt Cignetti
Indiana
2025
Curt Cignetti
Indiana

Played his entire career under Curt Cignetti.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'2"
Weight203 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Indiana QB1 #265 #162 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Indiana Big Ten QB 1 No. 16 | 6-2 | 203 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Indiana Big Ten QB 1 No. 16 | 6-2 | 203 lb | Miami, FL