CFB Zeitgeist Score
40
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 63rd percentile.
Aidan Swartz
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
21 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Air Force for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive tackle · Air Force
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129
DT · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Aidan Swartz
- 4
- #99
- 6-4 | 275 lb
- Sylvania, OH
Heisman Heat
#14313
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Air Force
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8006 | No. 2419 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Air Force
Composite
0.8006
#2419 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Aidan Swartz
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Aidan Swartz
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 9g
21Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
4.3Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 21): needs 14.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 21): needs 19.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.4/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 2.4/game over remaining 4.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Aidan Swartz is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Air Force's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
21 61st
SOLO
4 34th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
1 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | L 30-49@ Utah State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 31-34@ Navy | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 48-51@ UNLV | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Wyoming | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-20vs Army | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 26-16@ San José State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 16-26@ UConn | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 3-20vs New Mexico | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | Season-high 4 tackles |
| Wk 14 | W 42-21@ Colorado State | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 21 | 4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | — | 0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Air Force9-4HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 21 | #1929/4942 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.0 | #1006/4972 | 80th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.5 | #1501/4972 | 70th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 4 | #3005/4584 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses6g | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort
40Mid-pack
Concern: solo tackles (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DT · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Aidan SwartzAir ForceMicah DaveyUTEP· 50% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 50% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 50% sim
Tackles for loss
QB hurries
Sacks
Tackles
Passes defended
Solo tackles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Two-Gap Base
Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nathan Kapongo’s 2024 season.
Nathan Kapongo
93%match
#2
Tre'Vonn Rybka
92%
#3
Chris Agyemang
86%
#4
Emmanuel Jones
85%
#5
JH Tevis
85%
Matches Nathan on
Weight
TFL rate
Height
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Tre'Vonn Rybka's junior season at Kentucky (2023).
Tre'Vonn Rybka
95%match
#2
Nathan Kapongo
88%
#3
Antonio Moultrie
All-Conference USA
88%
#4
Tyler Batty
All-Big 12
86%
#5
Jeff Marks
85%
Matches Tre'Vonn on
Class year
Height
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSylvania, OH
Height6'4"
Weight275 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey99
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAir Force
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.