cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Aidan Mizell /Florida

Aidan Mizell

WR · Florida · So · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

177 REC YDS · 19 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Florida → UCLA for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to UCLA

2025Florida
2026UCLA

WR · FLORIDA · SEC

Aidan Mizell

  • 2
  • #11
  • 6-2 | 185 lb
  • Orlando, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

15

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 24th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#889

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
25.02023
2022024
1772025

+608%

Up 608% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#98 national
CFB
College
Florida
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey11
Measurements6-2 | 185 lb
HometownOrlando, FL
Primary teamFlorida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 98 recruit
Composite rating 0.9528 HighSchool
Signed with Florida 2023
Origin Boone Orlando, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9528 No. 98 recruit | HighSchool | Florida

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UCLA 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Florida -> UCLA 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#889Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1170Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Florida

Composite

0.9528

#98 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Aidan Mizell

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Hi Knight Nation, When looking for a transfer portal tracker for UCF, I found th"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Aidan Mizell

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
177Rec yards
19Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
25.3Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
328.7Rec yards
35Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 177): needs 87.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 177): needs 137.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 19): needs 6.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 19): needs 10.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.5/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Aidan Mizell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #889 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 98 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 19 1 rec TD | #436/1110 (61st pct)
Receiving yards 177 9.3 per catch | #500/1107 (55th pct)
Scrimmage yards 177 Total offensive yardage | #500/1107 (55th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
19 61st
YDS
177 55th
YPR
9.3 27th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 16-18vs South Florida2189.0010
Wk 3L 10-20@ LSU34113.7122
Wk 6W 29-21vs Texas4184.509
Wk 8W 23-21vs Mississippi State23015.0018
Wk 11L 7-38@ Kentucky2105.006
Wk 12L 24-34@ Ole Miss3144.7013
Wk 14W 40-21vs Florida State34615.3023Season-high 46 yds
Total191779.6123
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Florida5-7HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
2024Florida8-5HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning
2025Florida4-8HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Florida191779.31--
2024Florida1720211.92--
2023Florida22512.50--
Career3 loaded seasons3840410.63--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.0% 9.7% pass-game share | #497/1137 (56th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 19 #436/1110 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 177 #500/1107 55th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.3 #808/1106 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.7% #497/1137 56th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 23 #708/1105 36th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.5% #419/1137 63rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.3% #466/1137 59th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.3% #673/1137 41st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.0% #482/1137 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.9% #401/1137 65th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.4% #642/1137 44th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.828.010.90.0
Road3g2.721.77.80.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g3.031.311.60.0
Losses4g2.520.88.10.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g3.025.79.10.3
Weeks 8+4g2.525.010.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

15Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (6th).

Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Receptions#436 / 558 · 21st pct
19rece
Rec yards#492 / 558 · 12th pct
177rece
Yards / catch#494 / 558 · 11th pct
9.3rece
Long catch#518 / 558 · 7th pct
23rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Aidan MizellFloridaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 59% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 52% simAaron TurnerRice· 51% sim
Rec TDs
24
Mizell
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Receptions
21
Mizell
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Rec yards
12
Mizell
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Yards / catch
11
Mizell
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Long catch
7
Mizell
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Donovan Murph’s 2025 season.

Donovan Murph

81%match

South Carolina · 2025

#2

Landon Collins

Middle Tennessee · 2025

80%
#3

Davis Koetter

Boise State · 2021

80%
#4

John Adams

Temple · 2024

78%
#5

Austin Upshaw

SMU · 2020

73%

Matches Donovan on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Recruiting rating

Differs from Donovan on

Class year (higher)
Weight (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jaylen Johnson’s path through East Carolina.

Jaylen Johnson

95%match

East Carolina · 2023

#2

Al'vonte Woodard

Sam Houston · 2023

94%
#3

Elijah Steward

Lafayette · 2025

94%
#4

Pofele Ashlock

Hawai'i · 2025

All-Mountain West
93%
#5

Derick Eugene

Long Island University · 2021

93%

Matches Jaylen on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Treyshun Hurry's junior season at Louisville (2025).

Treyshun Hurry

76%match

Louisville · 2025

#2

Michael Redding III

Miami · 2022

73%
#3

Marshaun Brown

Nevada · 2025

71%
#4

Shamar Porter

UConn · 2025

71%
#5

David Wells Jr.

Oregon State · 2025

70%

Matches Treyshun on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Treyshun on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Billy Napier

Pass share

49.4%

372 pass / 381 run

Plays / game

62.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.1%

311 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Billy Napier
Florida
2024
Billy Napier
Florida
2025
Billy Napier
Florida

Played his entire career under Billy Napier.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOrlando, FL
Height6'2"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida WR2 #889 #1170 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Florida WR2 #3021 #3247 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida SEC WR 2 No. 11 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Orlando, FL
2024 Florida SEC WR 2 No. 11 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Orlando, FL
2023 Florida SEC WR 2 No. 11 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Orlando, FL