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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ahmani Marshall /App State

Ahmani Marshall

RB · App State · Sr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSApp State 2023 alumnus

RB · APP STATE · SUN BELT

Ahmani Marshall

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-1 | 220 lb
  • Kernersville, NC

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3622

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2023
1032021
3892022
65.02023

-37%

Sharp dropoff (-37%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1090 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-1 | 220 lb
HometownKernersville, NC
Primary teamApp State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1090 recruit
Composite rating 0.8541 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin East Forsyth Kernersville, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8541 No. 1090 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination App State 2022
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 6, 2021
Season Move Context
2022 Wake Forest -> App State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3622Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3845Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8541

#1090 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ahmani Marshall

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ahmani Marshall

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ahmani Marshall already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #3622 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 65 65 rush | -- rec | #485/735 (34th pct)
Rush TD 2 20 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.3 Per-rush efficiency | #602/735 (18th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
20 39th
YDS
65 34th
YPC
3.3 18th
TD
2 67th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Wake Forest10-3HC: Dave Clawson · Balanced, fast tempo
2022App State6-6HC: Shawn Clark · Run-leaning
2023App State9-5HC: Shawn Clark · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2023App State20653.22--
2022App State763895.14--
2021Wake Forest231034.50--
Career3 loaded seasons1195574.76--
SeasonTeam
2023App State----------
2022App State4225.50--
2021Wake Forest----------
Career3 loaded seasons4225.50--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 5.1% 10.8% rush share | #532/738 (28th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 65 #485/735 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.3 #602/735 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 5.1% #532/738 28th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 20 #449/739 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #546/733 26th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 10.8% #459/738 38th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.0% #345/738 53rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.9% #570/738 23rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.9% #445/738 40th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 4.5% #572/738 23rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.3% #596/738 19th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback—
awaiting
CPOE—
awaiting
Success rate—
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)—
awaiting
aDOT—
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy—
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack—
awaiting
3rd-down EPA—
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate—
awaiting
Play-action EPA—
awaiting
Scramble EPA—
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate—
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dowell Loggains

Pass share

55.6%

508 pass / 405 run

Plays / game

70.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

389 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Shawn Clark
App State
2022
Shawn Clark
App State
2023
Shawn Clark
App State

Played his entire career under Shawn Clark.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKernersville, NC
Height6'1"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Sun Belt RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 App State RB4 #3622 #3845 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 App State RB4 #1738 #1717 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 App State RB4 #1057 #1196 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Wake Forest RB4 #1071 #845 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 App State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Kernersville, NC
2023 App State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Kernersville, NC
2022 App State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Kernersville, NC
2021 Wake Forest ACC RB 4 No. 3 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Kernersville, NC