CFB Zeitgeist Score
73
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 98th percentile.
Ahmaad Moses
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
104 TACKLES · 1 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to SMU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Safety · SMU
Returning around him
- 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 SMU player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -11 net (14 in / 25 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31
S · SMU · ACC
Ahmaad Moses
- 4
- #3
- 5-10 | 205 lb
- Arlington, TX
Heisman Heat
#2985
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
SMU
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8511 | No. 1231 recruit | HighSchool | SMU |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to SMU
Composite
0.8511
#1231 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ahmaad Moses
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ahmaad Moses
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
104Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
104Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 104.
✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 104.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ahmaad Moses is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on SMU's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 5 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
104 99th
SOLO
54 99th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
1.0 82nd
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
3 76th
INT
5 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-13vs East Texas A&M | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 45-48vs Baylor | 8 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 28-10@ Missouri State | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 24-35@ TCU | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-18vs Syracuse | 9 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 34-10vs Stanford | 11 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 35-24@ Clemson | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 9 | L 12-13@ Wake Forest | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 26-20vs Miami | 15 | 5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | Season-high 15 tackles |
| Wk 11 | W 45-13@ Boston College | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-6vs Louisville | 8 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 35-38@ California | 10 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Bowl | W 24-19vs Arizona | 13 | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Total | 104 | 54 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022SMU7-6HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced, fast tempo
2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2025SMU9-4HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 104 | #41/4942 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 5.5 | #477/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.0 | #872/4972 | 82nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 5 | #6/869 | 99th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 3 | #521/2184 | 76th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 110 | #11/578 | 98th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 54 | #46/4584 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 22.0 | #184/578 | 68th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 2 | #13/736 | 98th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Defensive TD | 1 | #23/200 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pick-six TD | 1 | #13/119 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 9.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Road6g | 6.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 8.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 7.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 8.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort
73Solid starter
Elite: tackles (98th). Strength: solo tackles (98th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · S · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ahmaad MosesSMUOwen LongColorado State· 92% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 91% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 88% sim
Tackles
Solo tackles
Interceptions
Tackles for loss
Passes defended
Sacks
Forced fumbles
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Khoury Bethley’s 2021 season.
Khoury Bethley
74%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Khoury Bethley
71%
#3
Nick Andersen
All-ACC
70%
#4
Louis Moore
All-Big Ten
71%
#5
Christian Izien
64%
Matches Khoury on
Tackle volume
Interceptions
PD rate
Differs from Khoury on
Height (lower)
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Mason Woods's senior season at Kent State (2025).
Mason Woods
76%match
#2
Treylin Payne
75%
#3
Louis Moore
All-Big Ten
76%
#4
Jaylen Wester
72%
#5
Jusfin Meyers
71%
Matches Mason on
Class year
Weight
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Rhett Lashlee
Pass share
53.7%
460 pass / 396 run
Plays / game
65.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
333 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2024
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2025
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
Played his entire career under Rhett Lashlee.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownArlington, TX
Height5'10"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSMU
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.