cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / A'Marion Peterson /UTSA

A'Marion Peterson

RB · UTSA · So · #28

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

177 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 49 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

RB · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

A'Marion Peterson

  • 2
  • #28
  • 6-0 | 215 lb
  • Wichita Falls, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

15

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#674

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
14.02023
65.02024
1772025

+1164%

Up 1164% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#370 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey28
Measurements6-0 | 215 lb
HometownWichita Falls, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 370 recruit
Composite rating 0.8967 HighSchool
Signed with USC 2023
Origin Hirschi Wichita Falls, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.8967 No. 370 recruit | HighSchool | USC

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UTSA 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 30, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 USC -> UTSA 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#674Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#668Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to USC

Composite

0.8967

#370 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on A'Marion Peterson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about A'Marion Peterson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
177Rush yards
49Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
17.7Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
230.1Rush yards
64Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 177): needs 191/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 177): needs 274.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 177): needs 441/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 4/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 5.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

A'Marion Peterson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UTSA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #674 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 370 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 184 177 rush | 7 rec | #359/735 (51st pct)
Rush TD 3 49 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 3.6 Per-rush efficiency | #561/735 (24th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
49 58th
YDS
177 51st
YPC
3.6 24th
TD
3 73rd

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
7 13th
YPR
3.5 13th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M6264.3010Season-high 38 yds
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State210.511
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word591.804
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice263.007
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas3186.0013
Wk 10W 48-26vs Tulane133.003
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida6183.008
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte6264.307
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina10323.2114
BowlW 57-20vs Florida International8384.8111
Total491773.4314
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023USC8-5HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning, slow tempo
2024USC7-6HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA491773.63--
2024USC16654.11--
2023USC2147.00--
Career3 loaded seasons672563.84--
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA273.50--
2024USC2136.50--
2023USC----------
Career3 loaded seasons4205.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 7 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 7.2% 13.9% rush share | #421/738 (43rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.06 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #279/362 (23rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 177 #359/735 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.6 #561/735 24th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 7 #479/548 13th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.06 #279/362 23rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 43 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.2% #421/738 43rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 49 #314/739 58th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #488/733 34th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 7 #455/540 16th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 3.5 #480/548 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 13.9% #382/738 48th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 9.0% #378/738 49th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 7.6% #438/738 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.5% #449/738 39th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.2% #389/738 47th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.3% #560/738 24th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.9% #518/738 30th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g14.82.70.5
Road4g22.04.40.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g19.03.40.3
Losses4g15.83.50.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g16.02.90.4
Weeks 8+5g19.43.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

15Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: long run (2nd).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Carries#314 / 349 · 9th pct
49rush
Yards / carry#326 / 349 · 6th pct
3.6rush
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Rec yards#324 / 338 · 4th pct
7rece
Rush yards#335 / 349 · 4th pct
177rush
Long run#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
14rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
A'Marion PetersonUTSAChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 52% simTae MeadowsTroy· 51% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 51% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Peterson
49
Wright
49
Meadows
49
Brunson
Rush TDs
38
Peterson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
50
Brunson
Carries
9
Peterson
92
Wright
84
Meadows
85
Brunson
Yards / carry
6
Peterson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
41
Brunson
Receptions
5
Peterson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
2
Brunson
Rec yards
4
Peterson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
3
Brunson
Rush yards
4
Peterson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
80
Brunson
Long run
3
Peterson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
73
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Samuel Brown V’s 2023 season.

Samuel Brown V

68%match

Rutgers · 2023

#2

Delbert Mimms III

NC State · 2023

72%
#3

Markese Stepp

Nebraska · 2021

70%
#4

Austyn Dendy

Bowling Green · 2025

68%
#5

Deion Hankins

UTEP · 2021

68%

Matches Samuel on

Weight
Yards / carry

Differs from Samuel on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Height (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Julien Gums’s path through Nicholls.

Julien Gums

100%match

Nicholls · 2022

#2

Jonathan DeBique

Long Island University · 2022

99%
#3

Jason Collins Jr.

Morgan State · 2025

96%
#4

Stevie Scott

Indiana · 2020

91%
#5

Ayden Pereira

Merrimack · 2025

91%

Matches Julien on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Lew Nichols's junior season at Central Michigan (2022).

Lew Nichols

64%match

Central Michigan · 2022

#2

Kanye Udoh

Arizona State · 2025

All-AAC
64%
#3

CJ Ogbonna

Buffalo · 2024

55%
#4

Parker Jenkins

East Carolina · 2025

59%
#5

Brian Snead

Arkansas State · 2022

59%

Matches Lew on

Height
Weight

Differs from Lew on

Rush TD rate (higher)
Receiving share (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWichita Falls, TX
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 USC RB2 #674 #668 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 USC RB2 #1739 #1694 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic RB 2 No. 28 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Wichita Falls, TX
2024 USC Big Ten RB 2 No. 28 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Wichita Falls, TX
2023 USC Pac-12 RB 2 No. 28 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Wichita Falls, TX