CFB Zeitgeist Score
7
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 15th percentile.
A.J. Turner
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
64 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 16 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Minnesota for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Minnesota
Returning around him
- 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 1 Minnesota player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Minnesota · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #41 · 2026 recruiting class #49
RB · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN
A.J. Turner
- 3
- #2
- 6-0 | 195 lb
- Hampton, VA
Heisman Heat
#187
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Marshall · RB
—
2023
Marshall · RB
—
★
2024
Marshall · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Minnesota · RB
—
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025-36%
Sharp dropoff (-36%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8170 | No. 1918 recruit | HighSchool | Marshall |
| 2015 | 3-star | 0.8869 | No. 371 recruit | HighSchool | South Carolina |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Marshall
Composite
0.8170
#1918 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on A.J. Turner
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about A.J. Turner
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 3g
64Rush yards
16Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
21.3Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
277.3Rush yards
69Carries
4Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 64): needs 68.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 64): needs 93.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 64): needs 143.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 10.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.9/game over remaining 10.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. A.J. Turner already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
16 36th
YDS
64 34th
YPC
4.0 34th
TD
1 56th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-10vs Buffalo | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 66-0vs Northwestern State | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 1 | 11 | Season-high 33 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 14-27@ California | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 16 | 64 | 4.0 | 1 | 11 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Marshall9-4HC: Charles Huff · Run-heavy
2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 64 | #486/735 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.0 | #489/735 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.37 | #2/362 | 100th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 100 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.5% | #403/738 | 46th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 16 | #475/739 | 36th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #546/733 | 26th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.4% | #393/738 | 47th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 10.4% | #340/738 | 54th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.3% | #368/738 | 50th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.6% | #531/738 | 28th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.3% | #427/738 | 42nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.2% | #565/738 | 24th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.0% | #564/738 | 24th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 24.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| Road1g | 15.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 24.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| Losses1g | 15.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 21.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
7Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
A.J. TurnerMinnesotaRashod DubinionApp State· 38% simTae MeadowsTroy· 38% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 37% sim
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
P.J. Fleck
Pass share
51.7%
397 pass / 371 run
Plays / game
59.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.3%
302 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2023
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2024
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHampton, VA
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMinnesota
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Marshall | Sun Belt | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.