CAROLINAS CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Wilson
Rank #384
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Wilson fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Content Mid-Major
Primary: 68% confidence
Programs that win more than they should, given resources. The fanbase is proud but realistic. They know the ceiling. They celebrate the overachievements.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Punching above our weight”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
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Week 11 · vs ERSKINE
Week 12 · vs Chowan
Week 7 · @ Ferrum
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -3.5
Currently -3.5 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 16
Body of work: best signal beat ERSKINE 37-7. Closest call lost to Chowan 6-20. 16th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12)
Last four games: 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12). Power is 26 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 3-8. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#384
Inside DII#114 of 163
Inside Carolinas#6 of 7
Power-3.5pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume1616th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborRandolph-Macon
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume +17
#383 Ohio Dominican
DII | Great Midwest Athletic
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume -10
#385 UVA Wise
DII | South Atlantic
DII Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume +17
#383 Ohio Dominican
DII | Great Midwest Athletic
Carolinas Ahead
Power +0.2 | Resume +7
#377 Chowan
DII | Carolinas
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power -0.1 | Resume +59
#388 Randolph-Macon
DIII | Old Dominion
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 3-8 in 11 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 3-8 | 11 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 12
Regular Season
vs Chowan
Result
Loss
Pregame
-17.86
Power
-0.75
Resume
-0.03
Postgame
-18.61
Week 11
Regular Season
vs ERSKINE
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.22
Power
+1.36
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-17.86
Week 10
Regular Season
@ UNC Pembroke
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.52
Power
+0.30
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-19.22
Week 9
Regular Season
vs Shorter
Result
Loss
Pregame
-18.91
Power
-0.61
Resume
-0.05
Postgame
-19.52
Week 8
Regular Season
vs Chowan
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.37
Power
+0.46
Resume
+0.08
Postgame
-18.91
Week 7
Regular Season
@ Ferrum
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.10
Power
+0.73
Resume
+0.26
Postgame
-19.37
Week 6
Regular Season
vs Delta State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.80
Power
-0.30
Resume
-0.07
Postgame
-20.10
Week 4
Regular Season
@ West Alabama
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.79
Power
-0.20
Resume
-0.07
Postgame
-19.99
Week 3
Regular Season
@ North Greenville
Result
Loss
Pregame
-20.04
Power
+0.25
Resume
+0.32
Postgame
-19.79
Week 2
Regular Season
@ West Virginia State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.86
Power
-0.18
Resume
-0.16
Postgame
-20.04
Week 1
Regular Season
vs Virginia St
Result
Loss
Pregame
-20.59
Power
+0.73
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-19.86
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28, 2025 | vs Virginia St DII | Regular Season | L 7-35 | -- | -- | -- | -20.59 | +0.73 | +0.00 | -19.86 |
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | @ West Virginia State DII | Regular Season | L 14-28 | -- | -- | -- | -19.86 | -0.18 | -0.16 | -20.04 |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | @ North Greenville DII | Regular Season | L 28-41 | -- | -- | -- | -20.04 | +0.25 | +0.32 | -19.79 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ West Alabama DII | Regular Season | L 14-52 | -- | -- | -- | -19.79 | -0.20 | -0.07 | -19.99 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | vs Delta State DII | Regular Season | L 0-45 | -- | -- | -- | -19.80 | -0.30 | -0.07 | -20.10 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | @ Ferrum DII | Regular Season | W 34-20 | -- | -- | -- | -20.10 | +0.73 | +0.26 | -19.37 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | vs Chowan DII | Regular Season | W 28-21 | -- | -- | -- | -19.37 | +0.46 | +0.08 | -18.91 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | vs Shorter DII | Regular Season | L 7-33 | -- | -- | -- | -18.91 | -0.61 | -0.05 | -19.52 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ UNC Pembroke DII | Regular Season | L 17-34 | -- | -- | -- | -19.52 | +0.30 | +0.00 | -19.22 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs ERSKINE DII | Regular Season | W 37-7 | -- | -- | -- | -19.22 | +1.36 | +0.11 | -17.86 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | vs Chowan DII | Regular Season | L 6-20 | -- | -- | -- | -17.86 | -0.75 | -0.03 | -18.61 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|