NORTHERN SUN CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Augustana University (SD)
Rank #329
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Augustana University (SD) fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Quiet Professional
Primary: 72% confidence
Fanbases with no delusions. They know exactly who their team is: good enough to win 8-10 games, not good enough to win it all. They are at peace with this.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“We know what we are”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 1 · vs Missouri Western
Week 7 · vs Concordia University St Paul
Week 11 · vs Minnesota State Mankato
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -0.9
Currently -0.9 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 69
Body of work: best signal beat Concordia University St Paul 50-10. Closest call beat Missouri Western 30-26. 69th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2-2 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 L12)
Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 L12). Resume is 18 points ahead of power through the most recent season — results are outpacing the underlying strength rating.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 9-2. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#329
Inside DII#62 of 163
Inside Northern Sun#5 of 14
Power-0.9pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume6969th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborMary Hardin-Baylor
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +11
#328 University Of Charleston (WV)
DII | Mountain East
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume -42
#330 Anderson (Sc)
DII | South Atlantic
DII Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +11
#328 University Of Charleston (WV)
DII | Mountain East
Northern Sun Ahead
Power +0.2 | Resume +13
#322 Minnesota Duluth
DII | Northern Sun
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power +0.8 | Resume -13
#315 Mary Hardin-Baylor
DIII | American Southwest
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 9-2 in 11 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 9-2 | 11 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 12
Regular Season
@ Wayne State (NE)
Result
Loss
Pregame
-14.10
Power
-0.00
Resume
-0.17
Postgame
-14.10
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Minnesota State Mankato
Result
Loss
Pregame
-13.39
Power
-0.71
Resume
-1.03
Postgame
-14.10
Week 10
Regular Season
vs Northern State
Result
Win
Pregame
-13.74
Power
+0.35
Resume
+0.09
Postgame
-13.39
Week 9
Regular Season
@ Southwest Minnesota State
Result
Win
Pregame
-14.22
Power
+0.48
Resume
+0.10
Postgame
-13.74
Week 7
Regular Season
vs Concordia University St Paul
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.17
Power
+0.78
Resume
+0.09
Postgame
-14.40
Week 6
Regular Season
@ Sioux Falls
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.74
Power
+0.57
Resume
+0.16
Postgame
-15.17
Week 5
Regular Season
vs Winona State
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.88
Power
+0.13
Resume
-0.01
Postgame
-15.74
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Bemidji State
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.51
Power
+0.64
Resume
+0.29
Postgame
-15.88
Week 3
Regular Season
@ University of Mary
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.77
Power
+0.26
Resume
+0.28
Postgame
-16.51
Week 2
Regular Season
vs Jamestown College
Result
Win
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
Week 1
Regular Season
vs Missouri Western
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.98
Power
-0.92
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-18.90
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30, 2025 | vs Missouri Western DII | Regular Season | W 30-26 | -- | -- | -- | -17.98 | -0.92 | +0.00 | -18.90 |
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | vs Jamestown College DII | Regular Season | W 37-7 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | @ University of Mary DII | Regular Season | W 21-20 | -- | -- | -- | -16.77 | +0.26 | +0.28 | -16.51 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Bemidji State DII | Regular Season | W 42-14 | -- | -- | -- | -16.51 | +0.64 | +0.29 | -15.88 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | vs Winona State DII | Regular Season | W 34-26 | -- | -- | -- | -15.88 | +0.13 | -0.01 | -15.74 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | @ Sioux Falls DII | Regular Season | W 29-28 | -- | -- | -- | -15.74 | +0.57 | +0.16 | -15.17 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | vs Concordia University St Paul DII | Regular Season | W 50-10 | -- | -- | -- | -15.17 | +0.78 | +0.09 | -14.40 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | @ Southwest Minnesota State DII | Regular Season | W 57-29 | -- | -- | -- | -14.22 | +0.48 | +0.10 | -13.74 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | vs Northern State DII | Regular Season | W 27-14 | -- | -- | -- | -13.74 | +0.35 | +0.09 | -13.39 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Minnesota State Mankato DII | Regular Season | L 21-45 | -- | -- | -- | -13.39 | -0.71 | -1.03 | -14.10 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | @ Wayne State (NE) DII | Regular Season | L 31-38 | -- | -- | -- | -14.10 | -0.00 | -0.17 | -14.10 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|