cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Todd Pelino /Duke

Todd Pelino

PK · Duke · Sr · #29

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Duke for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Duke for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

PK · Duke

Returning around him

  • 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30

PK · DUKE · ACC

Todd Pelino

  • 4
  • #29
  • 6-3 | 190 lb
  • Cornelius, NC

CFB Zeitgeist PK Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#11978

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP K AWARD

Lou Groza

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Duke
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionPK
Class4
Jersey29
Measurements6-3 | 190 lb
HometownCornelius, NC
Primary teamDuke

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11978Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11839Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Todd Pelino

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Todd Pelino

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Todd Pelino's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Duke, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #11978 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 26 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Usage -- Role share still loading
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppFGM/FGALONGXPPTSNote
Wk 1W 45-17vs Elon1/2416/69
Wk 2L 19-45vs Illinois2/2401/17
Wk 3L 27-34@ Tulane2/4471/17
Wk 4W 45-33vs NC State1/1436/69
Wk 5W 38-3@ Syracuse1/2225/58
Wk 6W 45-21@ California1/1256/69
Wk 8L 18-27vs Georgia Tech1/2231/14
Wk 10W 46-45@ Clemson1/1375/58
Wk 11L 34-37@ UConn0/004/44
Wk 12L 17-34vs Virginia1/1492/25
Wk 13W 32-25@ North Carolina1/1333/36
Wk 14W 49-32vs Wake Forest0/007/77
Wk 15W 27-20@ Virginia2/2292/28
BowlW 42-39vs Arizona State0/006/66
Total14/194997
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing LONG 26 #3/29 93rd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Rushing Rushing yards 26 #4/53 94th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Yards / carry 26.0 #2/49 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Rushing Carries 1 #9/50 84th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Rush TD 0 #5/54 93rd pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Defense Solo tackles 1 #63/282 78th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Defense Total tackles 1 #109/388 72nd pct Volumevs FBS peers
Defense Sacks 0.0 #15/390 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS peers
Defense TFL 0.0 #20/390 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS peers
Kicking Kicking points 97 #39/221 83rd pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Kicking Kicking XPA 55 #13/213 94th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking Kicking XPM 55 #13/213 94th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking Kicking LONG 49 #88/175 50th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking Kicking FGA 19 #62/188 68th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Kicking FG made 14 #70/175 61st pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Kicking FG % 73.7% #109/175 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Groza award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g
Road7g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins9g
Losses5g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g
Weeks 8+7g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · PK · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Pass share

53.3%

506 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

67.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Mike Elko
Duke
2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
era →
2024
Manny Diaz
Duke
era →
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke

Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Elko, Trooper Taylor, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCornelius, NC
Height6'3"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionPK
Jersey29

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Duke PK4 #11978 #11839 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Duke PK4 #12702 #12740 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Duke PK4 #13577 #13264 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Duke ACC PK 4 No. 29 | 6-3 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC
2024 Duke ACC PK 4 No. 29 | 6-3 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC
2023 Duke ACC PK 4 No. 29 | 6-3 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC
2022 Duke ACC PK 4 No. 29 | 6-3 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC