CFB Zeitgeist P Score
Awaiting
Patrick Rea
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to James Madison for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Punter · James Madison
Returning around him
- 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (37 in / 30 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
James Madison · Last season: 12-2 (AP #19) · Talent rank #127 · 2026 recruiting class #108
P · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT
Patrick Rea
- 3
- #11
- 6-3 | 201 lb
- Melbourne, VIC
Heisman Heat
#16103
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP P AWARD
Ray Guy
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Patrick Rea
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Patrick Rea
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Patrick Rea's story is about how role and output meet each other. For James Madison, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
OTHER season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | PUNT | YDS | AVG | LONG | IN20 | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-10vs Weber State | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 38 | 1 | |
| Wk 2 | L 14-28@ Louisville | 5 | 179 | 35.8 | 48 | 1 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-13@ Liberty | 2 | 87 | 43.5 | 45 | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 35-10vs Georgia Southern | 3 | 123 | 41.0 | 47 | 1 | |
| Wk 6 | W 14-7@ Georgia State | 5 | 212 | 42.4 | 52 | 4 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-14vs Louisiana | 4 | 164 | 41.0 | 45 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | W 63-27vs Old Dominion | 3 | 116 | 38.7 | 41 | 2 | |
| Wk 10 | W 52-20@ Texas State | 3 | 120 | 40.0 | 44 | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | W 35-23@ Marshall | 4 | 185 | 46.3 | 61 | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 58-10vs App State | 2 | 73 | 36.5 | 39 | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 24-20vs Washington State | 4 | 190 | 47.5 | 52 | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 30 | 0 | |
| Wk 15 | W 31-14vs Troy | 6 | 232 | 38.7 | 46 | 1 | |
| Bowl | L 34-51@ Oregon | 5 | 219 | 43.8 | 54 | 1 | |
| Total | 48 | 1968 | 40.2 | 61 | 16 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 7 | #18/29 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 7 | #19/53 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 7.0 | #14/49 | 73rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #9/50 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #5/54 | 93rd pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Defense | Total tackles | 1 | #109/388 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #15/390 | 96th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Defense | TFL | 0.0 | #20/390 | 95th pct | Disruptionvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YDS | 1,968 | #81/179 | 55th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting LONG | 61 | #77/179 | 58th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting NO | 48 | #68/179 | 63rd pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YPP | 41 | #134/179 | 26th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting IN 20 | 16 | #59/166 | 65th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting TB | 3 | #55/142 | 62nd pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | — | — | — | — |
| Road7g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins12g | — | — | — | — |
| Losses2g | — | — | — | — |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | — | — | — | — |
| Weeks 8+7g | — | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · P · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bob Chesney
Pass share
39.7%
385 pass / 584 run
Plays / game
69.2
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
269 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Curt Cignetti
James Madison
2025era →
Bob Chesney
James Madison
Coaching transition mid-career: Curt Cignetti → Bob Chesney. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMelbourne, VIC
Height6'3"
Weight201 lb
Class3
PositionP
Jersey11
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamJames Madison
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | P3 | #16103 | #16104 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | P3 | #16112 | #16112 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | Louisiana Tech | P3 | #15518 | #15518 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | James Madison | Sun Belt | P | 3 | No. 11 | 6-3 | 201 lb | Melbourne, VIC |
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | P | 3 | No. 11 | 6-3 | 201 lb | Melbourne, VIC |
| 2023 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | P | 3 | No. 11 | 6-3 | 201 lb | Melbourne, VIC |
| 2022 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | P | 3 | No. 11 | 6-3 | 201 lb | Melbourne, VIC |