CFB Zeitgeist P Score
Awaiting
Luke Larsen
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
P · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Luke Larsen
- 4
- 6-2 | 225 lb
- Keilor Park, VIC
Heisman Heat
#15950
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP P AWARD
Ray Guy
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
East Carolina
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2-star | 0.7956 | No. 3023 recruit | HighSchool | East Carolina |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | East Carolina -> Villanova | 2-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to East Carolina
Composite
0.7956
#3023 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Luke Larsen
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Luke Larsen
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What we can say about this player
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Luke Larsen's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for East Carolina yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
OTHER season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | PUNT | YDS | AVG | LONG | IN20 | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | L 6-52@ Penn State | 8 | 327 | 40.9 | 54 | 1 | |
| Total | 8 | 327 | 40.9 | 54 | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021East Carolina7-5HC: Mike Houston · Balanced, fast tempo
2022East Carolina8-5HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
2023East Carolina2-10HC: Mike Houston · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #9/50 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #5/54 | 93rd pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -13 | #47/53 | 13th pct | Volumevs FBS peers |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -13.0 | #44/49 | 12th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
| Defense | Forced fumbles | 1 | #1/10 | 100th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS peers |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #29/34 | 18th pct | Turnoversvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YDS | 2,453 | #34/179 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting NO | 60 | #23/179 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting LONG | 56 | #126/179 | 30th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting YPP | 41 | #137/179 | 24th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting IN 20 | 19 | #36/166 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Punting | Punting TB | 1 | #111/142 | 23rd pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road1g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses1g | — | — | — | — |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | — | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · P · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Blake Harrell
Pass share
44.5%
440 pass / 548 run
Plays / game
76.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.7%
343 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
1 coach2021
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2022
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2023
Mike Houston
East Carolina
Played his entire career under Mike Houston.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownKeilor Park, VIC
Height6'2"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionP
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamEast Carolina
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | East Carolina | P4 | #15950 | #15917 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | East Carolina | P4 | #16064 | #16070 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | East Carolina | P4 | #15338 | #15277 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | East Carolina | P4 | #14829 | #14814 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | East Carolina | American Athletic | P | 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Keilor Park, VIC |
| 2023 | East Carolina | American Athletic | P | 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Keilor Park, VIC |
| 2022 | East Carolina | American Athletic | P | 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Keilor Park, VIC |
| 2021 | East Carolina | American Athletic | P | 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Keilor Park, VIC |